Maria da Fonte v Uniao Nogueirense result

Full-time · Maria da Fonte 1–0 Uniao Nogueirense

Taça de Portugal · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 17:00 BST

Updated 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Maria da Fonte · Uniao Nogueirense

Maria da Fonte 1–0 Uniao Nogueirense — Maria da Fonte won this Taça de Portugal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

The numbers

Result: Maria da Fonte 1–0 Uniao Nogueirense · Taça de Portugal
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Maria da Fonte 2W 0D 3L · Uniao Nogueirense 1W 0D 1L

Maria da Fonte 1–0 Uniao Nogueirense (Taça de Portugal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

Markets analysed

The model’s pre-match pick

The TACTIX model has priced Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense across 19 betting markets. The model’s pre-match pick for this fixture:

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 185 landed (95% range 45.3–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Maria da Fonte v Uniao Nogueirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Maria da FonteLWWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Uniao NogueirenseWL

Last 2: 1W 0D 1L · 0.5 scored / 0.5 conceded per game

Goals per game

Maria da Fonte scored0.8

Uniao Nogueirense scored0.5

Maria da Fonte conceded2.4

Uniao Nogueirense conceded0.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Maria da Fonte and Uniao Nogueirense?: Recent form — Maria da Fonte 2W 0D 3L; Uniao Nogueirense 1W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.