Oliveirense v Penalva Castelo result

Full-time · Oliveirense 4–0 Penalva Castelo

Taça de Portugal · · Estádio Carlos Osório

Updated · refreshed continuously

Oliveirense 4–0 Penalva Castelo — Oliveirense won this Taça de Portugal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

The numbers

Oliveirense 4–0 Penalva Castelo (Taça de Portugal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The model’s pre-match pick

The TACTIX model has priced Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo across 19 betting markets. The model’s pre-match pick for this fixture:

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.22 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65% of 626 landed (95% range 61.2–68.7%); it had given them 76.7% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Oliveirense v Penalva Castelo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OliveirenseDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Penalva CasteloL
Last 1: 0W 0D 1L · 1 scored / 3 conceded per game
Goals per game
Oliveirense scored1.4
Penalva Castelo scored1
Oliveirense conceded1.6
Penalva Castelo conceded3

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Oliveirense and Penalva Castelo?
Recent form — Oliveirense 1W 2D 2L; Penalva Castelo 0W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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