Paredes v Famalicao prediction

Taça de Portugal · · Municipal das Laranjeiras

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Paredes vs Famalicao, Taça de Portugal on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.6% of 91 landed (95% range 75.8–90.6%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Paredes host Famalicao in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Famalicao to win.

Form and the table

Eight of Paredes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Paredes’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Paredes have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.25 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.25.

Seven of Famalicao’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Famalicao’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Famalicao have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Famalicao the stronger side, 434 rating points above Paredes (Famalicao 2156, Paredes 1722, after at least 23 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Sorriso (5.3 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) and Mathias De Amorim (5.1 per match over eight appearances, three assists) have been Famalicao’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Famalicao (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sorriso averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 666 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Mathias De Amorim averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 707 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal · Municipal das Laranjeiras
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Paredes 3W 0D 2L · Famalicao 1W 3D 1L

Paredes v Famalicao (Taça de Portugal): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 19 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Paredes v Famalicao — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParedesWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
FamalicaoDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Paredes scored2.4
Famalicao scored1.6
Paredes conceded2
Famalicao conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Paredes vs Famalicao?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paredes v Famalicao is Away win.
What is the recent form of Paredes and Famalicao?
Recent form — Paredes 3W 0D 2L; Famalicao 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →