Salgueiros v Estoril prediction

Taça de Portugal ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Salgueiros vs Estoril, Taça de Portugal on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.36 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.6% of 91 landed (95% range 75.8–90.6%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Salgueiros host Estoril in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Estoril to win.

The key numbers

Salgueiros have scored in five consecutive matches. 12 of Salgueiros’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Estoril are winless in their last 15 matches — every result checked.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of Salgueiros’s last 15 results (80%). At home, Salgueiros have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 2.50 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 0.83.

Six of Estoril’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Estoril have no wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.63.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Estoril the stronger side, 413 rating points above Salgueiros (Estoril 1948, Salgueiros 1534, after at least 15 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Rafik Guitane (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 387 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Rafik Guitane averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 368 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Salgueiros 3W 0D 2L · Estoril 0W 1D 4L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Salgueiros v Estoril across 19 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Salgueiros v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SalgueirosLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
EstorilLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Salgueiros scored2
Estoril scored0.6
Salgueiros conceded1.8
Estoril conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Salgueiros vs Estoril?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Salgueiros v Estoril is Away win (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Salgueiros and Estoril?
Recent form — Salgueiros 3W 0D 2L; Estoril 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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