Real Madrid W v Ajax W result

Full-time · Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W

UEFA Champions League Women · · Estadio Alfredo di Stefano

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid W · Ajax W

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W — Real Madrid W won this UEFA Champions League Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.08 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Real Madrid W beat Ajax W 2–1 at Estadio Alfredo di Stefano in UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 2 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax W: K. Snoeijs (48’, assisted by E. Touon); Real Madrid W: F. Schröder (58’, assisted by Eva Navarro) and L. Caicedo (90’, assisted by F. Schröder).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Caicedo’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Real Madrid W 0.00, Ajax W 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Real Madrid W: J. Levels (36’), Eva Navarro (65’) and E. Senß (90+6’); Ajax W: K. Deitelzweig (85’).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Real Madrid W or Ajax W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Real Madrid W next travel to Bayern Munich W on 28 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid W: Bayern Munich W v Real Madrid W, Wednesday 28 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W · UEFA Champions League Women
  • Venue: Estadio Alfredo di Stefano · Madrid
  • Referee: F. Klarlund
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Real Madrid W 1 · draws 0 · Ajax W 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid W 3W 0D 2L · Ajax W 3W 0D 2L

Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W (UEFA Champions League Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5 / 2.33
Corners
against 3 / 1.33 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 3 matches
3.71 / 2.33
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2.14 / 0.33
Cards
against 0.86 / 0.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Madrid W for / againstLineAjax W for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.75our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3 against n 7
9.5standard
2.33 for · 1.33 against n 3
Shots
10 for · 12.57 against n 7
19.5standard
6.33 for · 7 against n 3
Shots on target
3.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
2.33 for · 3 against n 3
Fouls committed
10 for · 7.57 against n 7
21.5standard
6 for · 4.33 against n 3
Cards shown
2.14 for · 0.86 against n 7
3.5standard
0.33 for · 0.67 against n 3

Referee: F. Klarlund.

Real Madrid W
Real Madrid W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Athenea del Castillo n 856.5
36/4
2.67/4
—
I. Santiago n 417.5
2.62/0
1.31/0
—
N. Feller n 869.6
1.87/3
1.65/4
—
Paula Comendador n 413.8
1.61/0
00/0
—
F. Angeldahl n 887.8
1.25/3
0.85/1
—
Real Madrid W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Weir n 875
2.77/5
1.86/4
Alba Redondo n 849.1
2.54/3
1.43/2
L. Caicedo n 884.9
2.36/6
1.36/3
N. Feller n 869.6
1.87/3
14/1
S. Däbritz n 876.5
1.66/3
0.43/0
Real Madrid W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alba Redondo n 849.1
0.72/1
0.21/0
C. Weir n 875
0.63/1
0.21/0
L. Caicedo n 884.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
S. Holmgaard n 653
0.31/0
0.31/0
Athenea del Castillo n 856.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Real Madrid W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Paula Comendador n 413.8
9.83/1
S. Däbritz n 876.5
3.27/5
Yasmim n 774.9
2.66/6
I. Santiago n 417.5
2.62/0
Eva Navarro n 889.9
2.37/4
Real Madrid W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Misa n 888
3.25/4
Ajax W
Ajax W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Isa Kardinaal n 385.3
1.42/1
0.41/0
—
Romee Leuchter n 670.7
1.13/1
0.62/1
—
Lily Yohannes n 850.9
1.14/1
0.93/1
—
Rosa van Gool n 781.1
14/2
1.67/3
—
Chasity Grant n 672.7
14/1
0.21/0
—
Ajax W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Romee Leuchter n 670.7
2.15/3
0.83/1
Lily Yohannes n 850.9
0.92/1
0.41/1
Chasity Grant n 672.7
0.63/0
0.21/0
Nadine Noordam n 558
0.62/0
0.31/0
Rosa van Gool n 781.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Ajax W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lily Yohannes n 850.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Chasity Grant n 672.7
0.21/0
00/0
Isa Kardinaal n 385.3
00/0
00/0
Rosa van Gool n 781.1
00/0
00/0
Romee Leuchter n 670.7
00/0
00/0
Ajax W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Isa Kardinaal n 385.3
3.53/3
Rosa van Gool n 781.1
3.27/6
Nadine Noordam n 558
2.84/2
Lily Yohannes n 850.9
26/2
Chasity Grant n 672.7
1.94/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real Madrid WAjax W
49%Possession51%
10Shots on target2
9Shots off target0
3Blocked shots0
9Corners1
3Offsides0
10Fouls12
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid W v Ajax W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real Madrid WWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Ajax WWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Real Madrid W 1 · 0 draws · Ajax W 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-26 Ajax W 0–2 Real Madrid W
League standing · 2026/27
Real Madrid W#12 pos2 pts2 pl0 GD
Ajax WNot in this league table
Goals per game
Real Madrid W scored1
Ajax W scored1.6
Real Madrid W conceded1
Ajax W conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid W v Ajax W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid W v Ajax W was Home or Away (best price 1.08 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid W and Ajax W?
In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid W won 1, Ajax W won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid W and Ajax W?
Recent form — Real Madrid W 3W 0D 2L; Ajax W 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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