AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Stadio Olimpico

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava, UEFA Champions League on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

AS Roma host Slovan Bratislava in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, AS Roma have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.00.

Eight of Slovan Bratislava’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Slovan Bratislava’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Slovan Bratislava have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.13.

AS Roma (25th) and Slovan Bratislava (36th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 105 rating points above Slovan Bratislava (AS Roma 1659, Slovan Bratislava 1554, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Team news

AS Roma have five names on the availability list: B. Cristante (out, Knee Injury), M. Bah (out, Knee Injury), M. Kone (out, Muscle Injury), M. Svilar (out, Toe Injury) and P. Dybala (out, Calf Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-20. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.2 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Paulo Dybala (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 982 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 631 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Slovan Bratislava have five names on the availability list: A. Griger (out, Off the roster), A. Sporar (out, Illness), M. Kianga (out, Off the roster), M. Kukharevych (out, Injury) and R. Cerepkai (out, Back Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-20. By TACTIX Impact, Suleiman Camara (4.2 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Tigran Barseghyan (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Slovan Bratislava’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Slovan Bratislava (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Suleiman Camara averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 344 minutes. Tigran Barseghyan averages 4.2 key passes per 90 over 298 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Stadio Olimpico
  • Referee: Sandro Schärer
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: AS Roma 2W 2D 1L · Slovan Bratislava 2W 1D 2L

AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.4
Corners
against 3.13 / 4.8 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.5 / 3.8
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 7 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.13 / 1.6
Cards
against 2 / 2.6 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAS Roma for / againstLineSlovan Bratislava for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1 against n 8
4our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.4 for · 4.8 against n 5
Shots
16.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 15.8 against n 5
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.8 for · 7 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.2 for · 12 against n 5
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.6 for · 2.6 against n 5
AS Roma
AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Koné n 849.6
3.26/3
2.56/3
—
E. Ndicka n 873
2.57/3
0.83/2
—
S. Castro n 846.9
2.44/3
14/0
—
K. Koulierakis n 854.9
2.36/4
14/1
—
L. Balerdi n 849.8
1.84/3
0.94/0
—
AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Malen n 871.9
3.98/7
26/4
Rodrigo Mora n 838.8
3.25/4
1.54/1
P. Dybala n 878.9
3.18/6
1.15/3
S. Castro n 846.9
3.18/3
0.73/0
M. Soulé n 862.5
2.37/2
1.14/1
AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Malen n 871.9
1.34/3
0.21/0
M. Soulé n 862.5
0.21/0
0.52/1
L. Pellegrini n 860.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Dybala n 878.9
00/0
0.62/1
Rodrigo Mora n 838.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ghilardi n 834.1
4.66/3
Nahuel Molina n 858.3
3.77/5
Wesley n 876.5
2.56/5
L. Balerdi n 849.8
2.55/2
M. de Roon n 843.3
2.35/2
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.87/5
P. Gollini n 890
2.45/4
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rahim Ibrahim n 755.3
2.65/3
1.65/2
—
A. Yirajang n 831.8
2.13/1
2.85/3
—
D. Matsuoka n 871.3
1.66/4
0.63/1
—
P. Pokorný n 868.4
1.54/3
0.84/1
—
Sandro Cruz n 891.5
1.47/4
1.46/3
—
Slovan Bratislava — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Roman Čerepkai n 336.7
4.12/2
2.52/1
M. Kukharevych n 842.1
2.95/2
1.12/1
Suleiman Camara n 855.9
2.25/3
0.62/1
A. Šporar n 863.8
1.66/3
0.94/1
N. Marcelli n 863.6
1.65/3
0.52/1
Slovan Bratislava — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Roman Čerepkai n 336.7
0.81/0
00/0
A. Maroš n 335.7
00/0
0.81/0
A. Yirajang n 831.8
0.72/0
00/0
N. Marcelli n 863.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
A. Šporar n 863.8
0.53/0
00/0
Slovan Bratislava — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Camara n 382.7
2.53/3
P. Pokorný n 868.4
2.55/4
Sandro Cruz n 891.5
2.37/7
Alen Mustafić n 840.3
24/2
C. Blackman n 882.3
1.85/4
Slovan Bratislava — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Takáč n 893.8
4.17/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AS RomaWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Slovan BratislavaWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
AS Roma#25 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD
Slovan Bratislava#36 pos0 pts2 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
AS Roma scored2
Slovan Bratislava scored0.5
AS Roma conceded2.5
Slovan Bratislava conceded4.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Slovan Bratislava?
Recent form — AS Roma 2W 2D 1L; Slovan Bratislava 2W 1D 2L.

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