Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund prediction
Team pages: Bodo/Glimt · Borussia Dortmund
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 14 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Bodo/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
14 of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (93%).
Borussia Dortmund have scored in 10 consecutive matches. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last seven matches.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in nine of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Bodo/Glimt have eight wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.88.
Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Borussia Dortmund have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.71.
Bodo/Glimt (36th) and Borussia Dortmund (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bodo/Glimt the stronger side, 230 rating points above Borussia Dortmund (Bodo/Glimt 1905, Borussia Dortmund 1675, after at least 35 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 10 December 2025, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Bodo/Glimt.
Team news
Bodo/Glimt have six names on the availability list: A. Mikkelsen (out, Groin Injury), H. Evjen (out, Knee Injury), I. Sjong (out, Injury), J. Kitolano (out, Knee Injury), M. Riisnaes (out, Knee Injury) and O. L. Bjortuft (out, Red Card) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. By TACTIX Impact, Kasper Høgh (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and Jens Hauge (4.6 per match over 23 appearances, six goals and seven assists) have been Bodo/Glimt’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bodo/Glimt (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kasper Høgh averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1668 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances. Jens Hauge averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1619 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Borussia Dortmund have six names on the availability list: E. Can (out, Knee Injury), G. Konstantelias (out, Knee Injury), C. Chukwuemeka (doubtful, Muscle Injury), F. Mane (doubtful, Muscle Injury), J. Lerma (doubtful, Muscle Injury) and J. Ryerson (doubtful, Ribs Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (7.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Serhou Guirassy (5.1 per match over seven appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 842 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Serhou Guirassy averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 584 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Aspmyra Stadion
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Bodo/Glimt 0 · draws 1 · Borussia Dortmund 0 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Bodo/Glimt 3W 0D 2L · Borussia Dortmund 4W 1D 0L
As of 12 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bodo/Glimt for / against | Line | Borussia Dortmund for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 2.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 18.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.25 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.38 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Bodo/Glimt
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Helmersen n 8 | 76.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 | — |
| U. Saltnes n 8 | 12.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Sondre Auklend n 8 | 83.8 | 1.6 | 2.3 | — |
| Haitam Aleesami n 8 | 70.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | — |
| Jostein Gundersen n 8 | 69.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Brynhildsen n 8 | 38.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| Andreas Helmersen n 8 | 76.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| U. Saltnes n 8 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 0 |
| Jens Hauge n 8 | 63 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Patrick Berg n 8 | 83.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jens Hauge n 8 | 63 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Andreas Helmersen n 8 | 76.3 | 1 | 0 |
| Fredrik André Bjørkan n 8 | 73.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Sondre Auklend n 8 | 83.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Ole Didrik Blomberg n 8 | 73.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sondre Fet n 8 | 81.8 | 2.9 |
| Sondre Auklend n 8 | 83.8 | 2.8 |
| Patrick Berg n 8 | 83.4 | 2.6 |
| J. Kitolano n 8 | 30.5 | 2.6 |
| Fredrik André Bjørkan n 8 | 73.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Haikin n 8 | 88.1 | 2.9 |
| Julian Lund n 8 | 84.4 | 1.6 |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Karetsas n 8 | 53.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka n 8 | 27.6 | 2 | 3.3 | — |
| Joey Veerman n 8 | 63.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| S. Inacio n 8 | 56.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | — |
| M. Albert n 6 | 33.7 | 1.8 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Silva n 8 | 34 | 4.3 | 3 |
| S. Guirassy n 8 | 83.4 | 3 | 2.2 |
| M. Beier n 8 | 63.1 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| S. Inacio n 8 | 56.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| M. Sabitzer n 8 | 40.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Silva n 8 | 34 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| S. Guirassy n 8 | 83.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| S. Inacio n 8 | 56.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| M. Sabitzer n 8 | 40.4 | 0 | 0.6 |
| F. Nmecha n 8 | 64.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kauã Prates n 8 | 24.4 | 4.2 |
| N. Schlotterbeck n 8 | 82.8 | 3.3 |
| R. Bensebaïni n 8 | 69 | 3.1 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 68.6 | 3.1 |
| Joey Veerman n 8 | 63.3 | 2.7 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Bodo/Glimt
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund?
- In their last 1 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund?
- Recent form — Bodo/Glimt 3W 0D 2L; Borussia Dortmund 4W 1D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.