LASK v Liverpool prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for LASK vs Liverpool, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 14 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.
The match
LASK host Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is LASK or Liverpool (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
LASK are winless in their last four matches. 12 of LASK’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in eight of LASK’s last 15 results (53%). At home, LASK have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.57 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 0.86.
Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Liverpool have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.67.
LASK (27th) and Liverpool (15th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 411 rating points above LASK (Liverpool 1961, LASK 1550, after at least seven rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 30 November 2023, finished Liverpool 4–0 LASK.
Team news
LASK have five names on the availability list: A. Smakaj (out, Off the roster), G. Bello (out, Muscle Injury), K. Cheikne (out, Off the roster), M. Usor (out, Shoulder Injury) and R. Harakate (out, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. By TACTIX Impact, A. Andrade (5.3 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Samuel Adeniran (4.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) have been LASK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for LASK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Andrade averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1919 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Samuel Adeniran averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 462 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances.
Liverpool have eight names on the availability list: A. Isak (out, Thigh Injury), C. Bradley (out, Knee Injury), C. Gakpo (out, Ankle Injury), D. Szoboszlai (out, Hamstring Injury), F. Chiesa (out, Off the roster), G. Leoni (out, Knee Injury) and two more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (6.5 per match over six appearances, two goals and four assists) and Dominik Szoboszlai (5.0 per match over seven appearances, three goals) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 1237 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Dominik Szoboszlai averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 1268 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Raiffeisen Arena
- Referee: Tobias Stieler
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): LASK 0 · draws 0 · Liverpool 2 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: LASK 1W 1D 3L · Liverpool 3W 1D 1L
As of 14 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers LASK vs Liverpool across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | LASK for / against | Line | Liverpool for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 21.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.75 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
LASK
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kane n 4 | 8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | — |
| M. Bogarde n 8 | 79.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Schopf n 8 | 33.1 | 1.7 | 2 | — |
| Alemão n 8 | 85.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| R. Ljubičić n 8 | 70.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kane n 4 | 8 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| S. Adeniran n 8 | 69 | 3.8 | 2 |
| S. Kalajdzic n 8 | 47.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| M. Usor n 8 | 72.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| A. Andrade n 8 | 93.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Flecker n 8 | 27.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| S. Adeniran n 8 | 69 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| C. Lang n 8 | 61 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| K. Daněk n 8 | 50.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| S. Horvath n 8 | 75.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Kane n 4 | 8 | 5.6 |
| M. Bogarde n 8 | 79.9 | 2.7 |
| G. Bello n 8 | 82.3 | 2.1 |
| Alemão n 8 | 85.1 | 1.9 |
| F. Flecker n 8 | 27.1 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Jungwirth n 8 | 93.8 | 2.3 |
Liverpool
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Chiesa n 8 | 9.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | — |
| J. Gomez n 8 | 24 | 2.3 | 0 | — |
| L. Koumas n 8 | 52.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| J. McConnell n 8 | 35.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Víctor Muñoz n 8 | 42.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Isak n 8 | 74.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Víctor Muñoz n 8 | 42.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| A. Mac Allister n 8 | 67.6 | 2 | 0.8 |
| D. Szoboszlai n 8 | 79.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| F. Wirtz n 8 | 76.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gakpo n 8 | 71 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| A. Isak n 8 | 74.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| A. Mac Allister n 8 | 67.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| D. Szoboszlai n 8 | 79.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| K. Tsimikas n 8 | 58.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Nyoni n 8 | 18.8 | 4.2 |
| Jérémy Jacquet n 8 | 84.1 | 2.7 |
| J. Gomez n 8 | 24 | 2.3 |
| J. McConnell n 8 | 35.1 | 2.2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong n 8 | 52.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili n 8 | 86 | 3.9 |
| Alisson Becker n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
The day’s free picks, by email
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind LASK v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-11-30 Liverpool 4–0 LASK
- 2023-09-21 LASK 1–3 Liverpool
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win LASK vs Liverpool?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for LASK vs Liverpool is Home or Away (best price 1.14 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between LASK and Liverpool?
- In their last 2 meetings, LASK won 0, Liverpool won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of LASK and Liverpool?
- Recent form — LASK 1W 1D 3L; Liverpool 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.