Lille v Real Madrid result
Team pages: Lille · Real Madrid
Lille 1–0 Real Madrid — Lille won this UEFA Champions League match.
The result
Lille beat Real Madrid 1–0 in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 2 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Real Madrid out-shot Lille 12 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.09 xG to 1.29 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
Lille led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Jonathan David (45’ pen).
Discipline
M. Mariani showed seven yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lille: Jonathan David (90+3’) and Bafodé Diakité (90+6’); Real Madrid: Endrick (46’), Eduardo Camavinga (59’), Jude Bellingham (78’), Antonio Rüdiger (79’) and Luka Modrić (81’).
What it changes
Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tiago Santos (Lille) 6.9, Dani Carvajal (Real Madrid) 6.3 and Jonathan David (Lille) 5.2 led the match.
Next up
Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.
Real Madrid next host RB Leipzig on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Lille 1–0 Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League
- Referee: M. Mariani
- Recent form: Lille 1W 1D 3L · Real Madrid 4W 1D 0L
Lille 1–0 Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 September 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lille for / against | Line | Real Madrid for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.14 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.57 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.71 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.14 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.88 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Mariani — 3.86 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.14 fouls over 7 matches (1.86 to the home side, 2 to the away side).
Lille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 19.8 | 4 | 0.6 | — |
| E. Mbappé n 8 | 18.4 | 3.1 | 0.6 | — |
| André Gomes n 8 | 55.6 | 2.8 | 1 | — |
| M. Bakker n 8 | 28.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | Endrick |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 46.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | Vinícius Júnior |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bayo n 8 | 29.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 84 | 2 | 1.1 |
| E. Mbappé n 8 | 18.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 70.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 65.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bayo n 8 | 29.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 65.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 70.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 84 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| H. Haraldsson n 8 | 73 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 19.8 | 4.6 |
| N. Mukau n 8 | 44.8 | 4.3 |
| M. Bakker n 8 | 28.6 | 3.5 |
| Ismaily n 8 | 68.6 | 3 |
| R. Cabella n 8 | 46.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Chevalier n 8 | 90 | 4 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 81.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | R. Cabella |
| L. Modrić n 8 | 57.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| Endrick n 8 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 3.2 | M. Bakker |
| Éder Militão n 8 | 83.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| Lucas Vázquez n 8 | 35.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endrick n 8 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 4.3 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 79 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 81.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| F. Valverde n 8 | 87.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 86.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endrick n 8 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 36.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 79 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 81.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Rodrygo n 8 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Vallejo n 8 | 26.6 | 2.5 |
| Dani Ceballos n 8 | 46.1 | 2.4 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 86.9 | 2.3 |
| A. Tchouaméni n 8 | 84.1 | 2 |
| F. Mendy n 8 | 79.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 2 |
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Match statistics & details
| Lille | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 1.29 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.09 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 4 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 436 | Passes | 598 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
Lille player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chevalier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Tiago Santos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| B. Diakité | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Gudmundsson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Bouaddi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. André | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Zhegrova | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jonathan David | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| M. Bakker | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Cabella | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Sahraoui sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Meunier sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Real Madrid player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lunin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Dani Carvajal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Rüdiger | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| F. Valverde | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Tchouaméni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Bellingham | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Y | 7.2 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| Éder Militão | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Endrick | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| F. Mendy | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Fran García sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Modrić sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| Kylian Mbappé sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Güler sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lille v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
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