Qarabag v Ferencvarosi TC result

Full-time · Qarabag 2–3 Ferencvarosi TC

UEFA Champions League · Wed, 27 Aug 2025 17:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Qarabag 2–3 Ferencvarosi TC — Ferencvarosi TC won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Ferencvarosi TC won 3–2 at Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 27 August. Qarabag have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ferencvarosi TC came from behind: Qarabag led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Ferencvarosi TC: Lenny Joseph (12’, assisted by Barnabás Varga), Barnabás Varga (55’ pen) and Alex Tóth (81’); Qarabag: Leandro Andrade (25’, assisted by Nariman Akhundzade) and A. Zoubir (45’, assisted by Leandro Andrade).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alex Tóth’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Qarabag 0.00, Ferencvarosi TC 0.00, from 10 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Turpin showed six yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Qarabag: Pedro Bicalho (37’), K. Medina (53’) and Matheus Silva (81’); Ferencvarosi TC: Gavriel Kanichowsky (42’), Naby Keïta (56’) and I. Cissé (90’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Barnabás Varga (Ferencvarosi TC) 13.3, Lenny Joseph (Ferencvarosi TC) 7.7 and Leandro Andrade (Qarabag) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Qarabag or Ferencvarosi TC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Ferencvarosi TC next host Torreense on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ferencvarosi TC: Ferencvarosi TC v Torreense, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Qarabag 2–3 Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Champions League
Referee: C. Turpin
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Qarabag 2 · draws 1 · Ferencvarosi TC 0 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Qarabag 5W 0D 0L · Ferencvarosi TC 3W 1D 1L

Qarabag 2–3 Ferencvarosi TC (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.75

Corners

against 4.25 / 4.38 · 0 of the last 1 over 9.5

over 4 matches

2 / 4

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 4 · 0 of the last 1 over 8.5

over 4 matches

2.5 / 2

Cards

against 2 / 2 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3 yellows

Referee · C. Turpin

1.57 home / 1.43 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Qarabag for / against	Line	Ferencvarosi TC for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 4.25 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.25 for · 13.5 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2 for · 5.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.5 for · 19.5 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Turpin — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 21.57 fouls over 7 matches (1.57 to the home side, 1.43 to the away side).

Home 1.57Away 1.43

Qarabag

Qarabag — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Juninho n 8	13.1	3.4 3/1	2.6 3/0	—
Pedro Bicalho n 4	66.5	2.4 4/3	0.3 1/0	Č. Makreckis
Patrick Andrade n 8	56.1	2 7/2	0.6 2/1	—
K. Medina n 8	89.8	1.9 6/6	1.8 7/3	—
M. Qurbanly n 8	23.9	1.9 3/1	0 0/0	—

Qarabag — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kady Borges n 8	53.4	2.7 6/3	1.9 5/2
M. Qurbanly n 8	23.9	1.9 4/0	0.5 1/0
Y. Benzia n 8	79.1	1.4 6/3	0.6 4/0
T. Bayramov n 8	40	1.4 3/1	0.8 2/1
O. Kashchuk n 6	52	1.2 3/1	0 0/0

Qarabag — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kady Borges n 8	53.4	0.2 1/0	0.8 3/1
T. Bayramov n 8	40	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
M. Qurbanly n 8	23.9	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Leandro Andrade n 8	54.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Vesovic n 8	43.8	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Qarabag — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Chris Kouakou n 3	6	10 2/0
Júlio Romão n 8	60.6	4.6 6/6
Patrick Andrade n 8	56.1	4 5/5
K. Medina n 8	89.8	3.4 8/7
Juninho n 8	13.1	3.4 4/0

Qarabag — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Kochalski n 8	90	4 7/5

Ferencvarosi TC

Ferencvarosi TC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Zachariassen n 8	35.9	3.4 5/4	1.9 4/2	—
M. Ben Romdhane n 8	51.4	2.2 8/1	1.8 4/3	—
B. Varga n 8	71	2.1 7/4	2.7 6/5	—
A. Pešić n 8	32.1	2.1 4/2	0.7 2/0	—
Č. Makreckis n 8	87.6	1.8 8/4	0.8 4/2	Pedro Bicalho

Ferencvarosi TC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Pešić n 8	32.1	3.2 6/3	1.4 4/0
B. Varga n 8	71	2.2 7/5	0.8 4/1
L. Joseph n 8	78.4	1.9 6/5	1 5/2
Saldanha n 8	46.4	1.9 5/3	0.5 2/0
A. Traoré n 8	63.4	1.6 8/1	0.5 3/0

Ferencvarosi TC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Varga n 8	71	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
M. Ben Romdhane n 8	51.4	0.7 2/1	0 0/0
A. Tóth n 8	72.8	0 0/0	0.5 3/0
Mohammad Abu Fani n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Traoré n 8	63.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Ferencvarosi TC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Júlio Romão n 8	60.6	4.6 6/6
E. Ćivić n 8	59.6	3.2 7/5
J. Levi n 8	32.6	2.8 4/2
Raul Gustavo n 8	66.4	2.4 5/4
A. Tóth n 8	72.8	2.3 5/3

Ferencvarosi TC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Dibusz n 8	82.9	2.2 4/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Qarabag		Ferencvarosi TC
41%	Possession	59%
10	Shots	17
2	Shots on target	6
8	Shots off target	8
0	Blocked shots	3
4	Shots inside the box	15
1	Corners	2
3	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	21
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	0
288	Passes	396
73%	Pass accuracy	80%

Qarabag player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Kochalski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Matheus Silva	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.7
B. Mustafazadə	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.6
K. Medina	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.7
Pedro Bicalho	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
M. Jankovic	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.2
Kady Borges	89	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.2
Nariman Akhundzade	89	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	7.5
Abdellah Zoubir	85	1	0	3	1	2	1	0	7.3
E. Cəfərquliyev	84	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Leandro Andrade	69	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	8.2
E. Addai sub	21	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
T. Bayramov sub	12	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
Chris Kouakou sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
O. Kashchuk sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
M. Qurbanly sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Ferencvarosi TC player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Dibusz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
I. Cissé	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.7
T. Raemaekers	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Č. Makreckis	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.3
G. Kanichowsky	90	0	0	1	1	4	1	Y	7.3
B. Varga	90	1	1	7	3	2	4	0	7.7
N. Keïta	73	0	0	1	0	2	7	Y	7.2
L. Joseph	73	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.5
C. O'Dowda	69	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
B. Ötvös	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Levi	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
Cadu sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
A. Pešić sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
B. Nagy sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
A. Tóth sub	17	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
Z. Gruber sub	17	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Qarabag v Ferencvarosi TC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

QarabagWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Ferencvarosi TCWWDWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Qarabag 2 · 1 draw · Ferencvarosi TC 0 · 3.33 goals/game

2025-08-19 Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag
2022-08-09 Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag
2022-08-03 Qarabag 1–1 Ferencvarosi TC

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Qarabag#22 pos10 pts8 pl-8 GD

Ferencvarosi TC#4 pos1 pts6 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Qarabag scored1.63

Ferencvarosi TC scored0.83

Qarabag conceded2.63

Ferencvarosi TC conceded2.83

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Qarabag v Ferencvarosi TC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Qarabag v Ferencvarosi TC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabag and Ferencvarosi TC?: In their last 3 meetings, Qarabag won 2, Ferencvarosi TC won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Qarabag and Ferencvarosi TC?: Recent form — Qarabag 5W 0D 0L; Ferencvarosi TC 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.