Real Betis v FC Porto prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Real Betis v FC Porto, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 14 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4285 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Betis host FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Real Betis or FC Porto (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Real Betis have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Real Betis are unbeaten in their last six matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Real Betis’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Real Betis’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Real Betis have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.63.

FC Porto have won their last three matches. Seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of FC Porto’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, FC Porto have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00.

Real Betis (12th) and FC Porto (29th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Real Betis have three names on the availability list: A. Ruibal (out, Knee Injury), I. Losada (out, Inactive) and J. Firpo (out, Groin Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Marc Bartra (4.9 per match over six appearances, three goals) and Álvaro Vallés (4.0 per match over nine appearances) have been Real Betis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Betis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marc Bartra averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 423 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances. Álvaro Vallés averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances.

FC Porto have seven names on the availability list: D. Prpic (out, Off the roster), Gabriel Mec (out, Off the roster), J. Bednarek (out, Red Card), N. Perez (out, Muscle Injury), V. Sousa (out, Leg Injury), Zaidu (out, Muscle Injury) and one more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.3 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 612 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
  • Referee: Clement Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Real Betis 4W 1D 0L · FC Porto 4W 0D 1L

TACTIX runs Real Betis v FC Porto (UEFA Champions League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 6.13
Corners
against 6.63 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Betis for / againstLineFC Porto for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
18 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Real Betis
Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Facundo Bernal n 847.3
2.43/3
14/0
—
Marc Roca n 877.4
1.96/4
14/2
—
N. Deossa n 840.9
1.95/2
1.43/1
—
Junior Firpo n 867.9
1.87/3
0.53/0
—
Antony n 867.4
1.37/1
1.24/3
—
Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Deossa n 840.9
4.17/5
1.12/2
Antony n 867.4
3.36/6
26/3
Pablo García n 837.1
37/2
1.85/1
T. Parrott n 864.3
2.58/3
1.88/2
C. Hernández n 865.6
2.15/4
13/2
Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Parrott n 864.3
1.15/1
0.21/0
A. Ezzalzouli n 863.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
Isco n 853.8
0.41/1
0.21/0
C. Hernández n 865.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Pablo García n 837.1
0.62/0
00/0
Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ángel Ortiz n 842.5
5.37/5
Dani Ceballos n 821.9
3.63/2
Fran García n 872.5
3.46/6
N. Deossa n 840.9
35/4
Facundo Bernal n 847.3
2.65/4
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
3.97/6
FC Porto
FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Gül n 832.6
4.84/3
0.72/0
—
Alberto Baio n 878.9
2.47/5
26/5
—
Hwang In-Beom n 847.4
2.45/4
1.23/2
—
P. Rosario n 884.4
1.96/4
1.35/4
—
Gabri Veiga n 867.1
1.77/2
1.24/2
—
FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Borja Sainz n 823.6
4.35/2
3.84/2
D. Gül n 832.6
3.15/2
13/0
Gabri Veiga n 867.1
2.38/3
15/1
André Silva n 867.9
2.26/4
15/1
William n 866.4
2.28/4
1.25/2
FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Borja Sainz n 823.6
1.43/0
00/0
Gabri Veiga n 867.1
0.53/0
0.53/0
O. Pietuszewski n 830.4
0.41/0
0.41/0
André Silva n 867.9
0.32/0
0.31/1
William n 866.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William n 866.4
2.75/4
Francisco Moura n 862.3
2.76/4
Hwang In-Beom n 847.4
2.65/3
Gabri Veiga n 867.1
2.55/5
O. Pietuszewski n 830.4
2.23/2
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 890
35/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Betis v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real BetisWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC PortoWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Real Betis#12 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
FC Porto#29 pos0 pts1 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Real Betis scored3
FC Porto scored0
Real Betis conceded2
FC Porto conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Real Betis v FC Porto?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Betis v FC Porto is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Real Betis and FC Porto?
Recent form — Real Betis 4W 1D 0L; FC Porto 4W 0D 1L.

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