Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
Team pages: Aarhus · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Aarhus host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Aarhus or Egnatia Rrogozhinë (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
11 of Aarhus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Aarhus’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Aarhus have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.67.
Seven of Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Aarhus (29th) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë (20th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Egnatia Rrogozhinë the stronger side, 44 rating points above Aarhus (Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1501, Aarhus 1457, after at least five rated matches each).
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, G. Links (4.9 per match over six appearances) and Kristian Arnstad (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Aarhus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aarhus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Links averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 434 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Kristian Arnstad averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1388 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Cepheus Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 2D 2L
Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Aarhus for / against | Line | Egnatia Rrogozhinë for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 4.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.43 for · 17.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 3 for · 3.25 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 2.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.86 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.75 for · 10.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.43 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.25 against n 4 Last 5 |
Aarhus
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tchamche n 8 | 36.3 | 2.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Kristian Arnstad n 8 | 86.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| M. Anderson n 8 | 62.4 | 2 | 2.7 | — |
| Luka Callø n 8 | 40.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | — |
| C. McCowatt n 8 | 57.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Serra n 8 | 52.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| J. Bogere n 8 | 41.1 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| S. Jorgensen n 8 | 62.6 | 2 | 1.1 |
| R. Carstensen n 8 | 53.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Frederik Emmery n 8 | 73.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Serra n 8 | 52.1 | 1.1 | 0 |
| C. McCowatt n 8 | 57.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| S. Jorgensen n 8 | 62.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| F. Tingager n 8 | 57 | 0.4 | 0 |
| R. Carstensen n 8 | 53.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Knudsen n 8 | 80.9 | 2.9 |
| D. L. Gretarsson n 8 | 74.3 | 2.3 |
| J. Andersen n 8 | 41.8 | 2.2 |
| M. Anderson n 8 | 62.4 | 2 |
| Kristian Arnstad n 8 | 86.5 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen n 8 | 83.4 | 3.4 |
| M. Hedenstad n 8 | 90.6 | 2.7 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Albanese n 8 | 49.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| E. Bitri n 8 | 44.9 | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Fernando Medeiros n 6 | 43.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | — |
| J. Montenegro n 4 | 15.5 | 0 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Albanese n 8 | 49.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Fernando Medeiros n 6 | 43.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| E. Bitri n 8 | 44.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| J. Montenegro n 4 | 15.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Albanese n 8 | 49.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| E. Bitri n 8 | 44.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Medeiros n 6 | 43.3 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Montenegro n 4 | 15.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Bitri n 8 | 44.9 | 3.3 |
| A. Albanese n 8 | 49.1 | 1.6 |
| Fernando Medeiros n 6 | 43.3 | 1.4 |
| J. Montenegro n 4 | 15.5 | 0 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë is Home or Away (best price 1.22 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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