CSKA Sofia v Monaco prediction
Team pages: CSKA Sofia · Monaco
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.
The match
CSKA Sofia host Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Monaco, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Both teams scored in three of CSKA Sofia’s last 15 results (20%).
Monaco have scored in nine consecutive matches. Monaco are unbeaten in their last eight matches.
Form and the table
CSKA Sofia have lost their last three matches. Seven of CSKA Sofia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). At home, CSKA Sofia have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.25.
11 of Monaco’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Monaco’s last 15 results (80%). Away from home, Monaco have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00.
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Camara (5.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Paris Josua Brunner (5.5 per match over seven appearances, six goals) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Camara averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1095 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 570 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · National Stadium Vasil Levski
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: CSKA Sofia 1W 1D 3L · Monaco 3W 2D 0L
As of 15 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers CSKA Sofia v Monaco across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | CSKA Sofia for / against | Line | Monaco for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 2.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 1.86 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 0 for · 0 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.71 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 6.14 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.29 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Monaco
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Toure n 4 | 14.3 | 3.2 | 0 | — |
| A. Soubeir n 6 | 23.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | — |
| M. Detourbet n 8 | 37.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Flávio Nazinho n 8 | 78.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | — |
| Vanderson n 8 | 72.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Josua Brunner n 8 | 73 | 3.2 | 2 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 60.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| Ansu Fati n 8 | 51.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| M. Abline n 8 | 54.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Edan Diop n 8 | 73.8 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edan Diop n 8 | 73.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Paris Josua Brunner n 8 | 73 | 0.9 | 0 |
| M. Biereth n 8 | 26.1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| A. Golovin n 8 | 83.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| M. Abline n 8 | 54.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Camara n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
| A. Soubeir n 6 | 23.5 | 3.8 |
| Vanderson n 8 | 72.4 | 3 |
| Edan Diop n 8 | 73.8 | 2.6 |
| M. Coulibaly n 8 | 47 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
The day’s free picks, by email
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind CSKA Sofia v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for CSKA Sofia v Monaco is Draw or Away (best price 1.16 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of CSKA Sofia and Monaco?
- Recent form — CSKA Sofia 1W 1D 3L; Monaco 3W 2D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.