FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Stockhorn Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Thun · HNK Hajduk Split

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Thun host HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Thun or HNK Hajduk Split (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of FC Thun’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

12 of HNK Hajduk Split’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of FC Thun’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, FC Thun have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.17.

Both teams scored in eight of HNK Hajduk Split’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, HNK Hajduk Split have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.67.

HNK Hajduk Split have won their last three matches in all competitions. FC Thun (30th) and HNK Hajduk Split (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Fabio Fehr (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Fabio Saiz (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been FC Thun’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Thun (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fabio Fehr averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 823 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Fabio Saiz averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 683 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Rokas Pukštas (7.9 per match over four appearances, three goals and one assist) and Khalil Fayad (5.0 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been HNK Hajduk Split’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Hajduk Split (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rokas Pukštas averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 412 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Khalil Fayad averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 404 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Stockhorn Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: FC Thun 1W 0D 4L · HNK Hajduk Split 4W 0D 1L

FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.38 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Thun for / againstLineHNK Hajduk Split for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 16.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
17.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
FC Thun
FC Thun — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Reichmuth n 871.6
2.88/5
1.14/3
—
P. Kristal n 852.5
2.86/6
1.94/3
—
Simon Lengen n 448.3
2.83/2
00/0
—
F. Dursun n 856.8
2.65/4
1.64/3
—
Nico Maier n 837.4
2.45/2
0.93/0
—
FC Thun — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Braschi n 626.3
2.84/1
0.61/0
N. Reichmuth n 871.6
2.76/3
0.83/1
F. Fehr n 870.1
2.16/3
0.53/0
Nico Maier n 837.4
2.13/3
0.31/0
F. Dursun n 856.8
25/3
0.63/0
FC Thun — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Dursun n 856.8
0.42/0
0.83/1
D. Derbaci n 555.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Fabio Saiz n 873.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
F. Fehr n 870.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
Simon Lengen n 448.3
0.51/0
00/0
FC Thun — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Louis Passavant  n 411.5
5.92/1
F. Fehr n 870.1
3.57/6
N. Zoukit n 864.1
3.37/5
Nico Maier n 837.4
3.35/3
Tom Strannegård n 860.1
37/4
FC Thun — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Steffen n 890
2.56/5
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Pukštas n 863.1
3.47/7
1.85/3
—
Carlos Martín n 823.1
2.93/1
0.51/0
—
M. Livaja n 829.8
2.63/3
1.53/1
—
Dali n 888.3
2.47/6
2.27/6
—
K. Fayad n 860
2.45/4
37/6
—
HNK Hajduk Split — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Livaja n 829.8
3.87/2
1.54/0
Dali n 888.3
2.87/5
1.56/2
R. Pukštas n 863.1
2.56/3
1.45/2
A. Sutalo n 846.9
2.47/2
1.75/1
Carlos Martín n 823.1
2.44/1
0.51/0
HNK Hajduk Split — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Livaja n 829.8
1.13/0
00/0
M. Šego n 877.5
0.63/1
0.32/0
A. Sanyang n 863.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
A. Guram n 826.8
00/0
0.82/0
M. Šotiček n 875.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
HNK Hajduk Split — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Brruti n 345.7
4.63/3
K. Fayad n 860
3.96/5
M. Acapandié n 883.4
3.87/6
Alberto del Moral n 868
36/5
D. Melnjak n 834.6
2.97/2
HNK Hajduk Split — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Silić n 893.8
1.75/2

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC ThunLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
HNK Hajduk SplitWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
FC Thun#30 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
HNK Hajduk Split#10 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
FC Thun scored0
HNK Hajduk Split scored2
FC Thun conceded1
HNK Hajduk Split conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split?
Recent form — FC Thun 1W 0D 4L; HNK Hajduk Split 4W 0D 1L.

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