FK Jablonec v Brighton prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Stadion Strelnice

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away offsides over 0.5 the free pick for FK Jablonec v Brighton, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Away offsides over 0.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FK Jablonec host Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Brighton offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Brighton have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Brighton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of FK Jablonec’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of FK Jablonec’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, FK Jablonec have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.57.

11 of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Brighton have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.43.

Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. FK Jablonec (23rd) and Brighton (first) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted FK Jablonec XI (4-2-3-1): J. Hanuš, M. Cedidla, D. Pavlović, N. Tekijaški, J. Sláma, V. Tchanturishvili, R. Sedláček, S. Nebyla, M. Polidar, J. Suchan, L. Jawo — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Vakhtang Tchanturishvili (3.8 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Martin Cedidla (3.1 per match over three appearances) have been FK Jablonec’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FK Jablonec (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Vakhtang Tchanturishvili averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 300 minutes. Martin Cedidla averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 300 minutes.

Predicted Brighton XI (4-3-3): B. Verbruggen, O. Boscagli, L. Vušković, M. Wieffer, Costinha, P. Groß, Y. Ayari, M. Yalcouyé, G. Rutter, C. Kostoulas, I. Osman — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.6 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 4.1 key passes per 90 over 955 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Stadion Strelnice
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: FK Jablonec 3W 0D 2L · Brighton 5W 0D 0L

FK Jablonec v Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 3.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.33 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.17 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.5 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 4.33 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 2
Cards
against 1.83 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFK Jablonec for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
3.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.33 for · 4.17 against n 6
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
7.67 for · 9.17 against n 6
19.5standard
20.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.33 against n 6
8.5standard
6.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.67 for · 15.67 against n 6
21.5standard
12.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.83 for · 1.83 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Surzyn n 360.3
32/2
00/0
—
L. Jawo n 459
2.33/2
4.23/3
—
R. Sedláček n 395.3
1.92/2
0.31/0
—
D. Houska n 485
1.94/2
2.64/3
—
S. Nebyla n 458
1.92/2
0.41/0
—
FK Jablonec — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jawo n 459
2.33/2
1.53/1
T. Čvančara n 854.6
1.95/2
14/1
A. Růsek n 765.7
1.67/1
0.84/0
J. Chramosta n 837.3
1.53/1
0.31/0
V. Tchanturishvili n 893.8
1.37/4
0.22/0
FK Jablonec — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Kratochvíl n 883.6
0.43/0
00/0
A. Růsek n 765.7
0.42/0
00/0
L. Jawo n 459
0.41/0
00/0
V. Tchanturishvili n 893.8
0.22/0
00/0
J. Sláma n 883.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
FK Jablonec — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Kratochvíl n 883.6
2.48/5
L. Jawo n 459
1.92/2
J. Sláma n 883.9
1.65/3
A. Růsek n 765.7
1.65/3
Tomas Hubschman n 856.5
1.64/3
FK Jablonec — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Hanuš n 893.8
2.97/3
Brighton
Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José María Andrés Baixauli n 860.5
2.67/5
0.73/1
—
M. Svoboda n 880.1
2.47/4
0.74/1
—
P. David n 829.3
2.34/2
0.82/0
—
Z. Yohanna n 855.5
1.86/2
0.62/1
—
J. Hadjam n 849.1
1.84/3
0.94/0
—
Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. David n 829.3
4.65/3
0.82/0
J. Hinshelwood n 869.3
2.87/5
2.17/4
C. Kostoulas n 867.1
2.76/4
15/1
M. O'Riley n 834.8
2.34/2
12/1
I. Osman n 846.6
2.24/3
0.72/1
Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Rutter n 841.4
0.51/1
0.83/0
P. Groß n 885.9
0.54/0
0.53/1
J. Hinshelwood n 869.3
15/1
00/0
P. David n 829.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
C. Kostoulas n 867.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Gómez n 877.3
3.37/6
J. Hadjam n 849.1
2.57/3
M. Wieffer n 864.4
2.35/5
G. Rutter n 841.4
2.25/3
M. De Cuyper n 864.9
1.96/2
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jason Steele n 890
3.66/4
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.96/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FK Jablonec v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FK JablonecWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
BrightonWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
FK Jablonec#23 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Brighton#1 pos3 pts1 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
FK Jablonec scored2
Brighton scored4
FK Jablonec conceded3
Brighton conceded0

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win FK Jablonec v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FK Jablonec v Brighton is Away offsides over 0.5.
What is the recent form of FK Jablonec and Brighton?
Recent form — FK Jablonec 3W 0D 2L; Brighton 5W 0D 0L.

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