Getafe v FC Lugano prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Coliseum

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Getafe v FC Lugano, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Getafe host FC Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or FC Lugano, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 15 matches — every result checked. FC Lugano have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. 12 of FC Lugano’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Five of Getafe’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Getafe’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Getafe have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.57.

Both teams scored in 10 of FC Lugano’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, FC Lugano have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches — 2.43 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.00.

Getafe (15th) and FC Lugano (eighth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Getafe XI (4-2-3-1): D. Soria, D. Dakonam, Z. Romero, K. Femenía, A. García, F. Serrano, R. Terrats, O. Mangala, M. Martín, N. Gudelj, M. Satriano — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ramón Terrats (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and M. Satriano (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Getafe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Getafe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ramón Terrats averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 867 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. M. Satriano averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 839 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Lugano XI (3-5-2): D. von Ballmoos, A. Papadopoulos, L. Mai, H. Delcroix, Y. Cimignani, A. Grgic, U. Bislimi, M. Zanotti, E. Pihlstrom, R. Steffen, K. Behrens — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kevin Behrens (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, eight goals and two assists) and Anto Grgic (4.3 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been FC Lugano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Lugano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kevin Behrens averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 622 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Anto Grgic averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1414 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Coliseum
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Getafe 1W 2D 2L · FC Lugano 4W 1D 0L

TACTIX runs Getafe v FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 2.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGetafe for / againstLineFC Lugano for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
4 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Getafe
Getafe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Óscar López n 610.7
4.23/0
1.41/0
—
S. Boselli n 822.4
45/2
0.51/0
—
Davinchi n 824.1
2.85/1
0.91/1
—
Saba Sazonov n 833.5
2.73/2
1.74/1
—
Mario Martín n 875.4
2.56/6
2.17/4
—
Getafe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joselu n 438.3
3.52/1
0.61/0
Ivan Azón n 863.4
2.16/4
1.14/1
Ramón Terrats n 888
26/5
0.63/2
M. Satriano n 873.4
1.86/4
0.53/0
Borja Mayoral n 828.9
1.63/1
0.82/0
Getafe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ivan Azón n 863.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
E. Ünal n 883
0.43/0
00/0
M. Satriano n 873.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Gudelj n 870
0.21/0
00/0
Ramón Terrats n 888
0.11/0
00/0
Getafe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. R. Alcantara n 316.7
3.61/1
S. Boselli n 822.4
34/2
Alberto Risco n 815
2.33/0
Andrés García n 869.3
2.17/4
Mario Martín n 875.4
1.87/4
Getafe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Soria n 890
3.17/4
FC Lugano
FC Lugano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Steffen n 864.8
2.46/5
1.97/3
—
M. Zanotti n 855.3
2.45/4
1.65/3
—
D. Moncada n 853.9
2.38/2
2.15/3
—
Joao Carbone n 723.4
2.23/1
0.51/0
—
A. Ajeti n 834.4
23/2
2.93/2
—
FC Lugano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Beckham Castro n 823.1
4.47/2
2.45/0
K. Behrens n 865.3
3.16/3
2.26/3
D. Moncada n 853.9
2.98/3
15/0
A. Ajeti n 834.4
2.95/3
24/2
Daniel Dos Santos n 876
2.57/4
0.94/1
FC Lugano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Beckham Castro n 823.1
12/0
1.53/0
K. Behrens n 865.3
1.45/2
0.21/0
D. Moncada n 853.9
0.84/0
0.21/0
A. Ajeti n 834.4
13/0
00/0
A. Kendouci n 825.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
FC Lugano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Pihlstrom n 842.8
3.24/3
M. Zanotti n 855.3
3.16/3
A. Kendouci n 825.3
3.14/2
Martim Marques n 830.9
2.96/2
E. Alioski n 865.9
2.68/4
FC Lugano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. von Ballmoos n 884.4
3.67/6
F. Gebhardt n 684.3
2.74/3

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Getafe v FC Lugano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GetafeDLWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC LuganoDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Getafe#15 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD
FC Lugano#8 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Getafe scored1
FC Lugano scored3
Getafe conceded1
FC Lugano conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Getafe v FC Lugano?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Getafe v FC Lugano is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Getafe and FC Lugano?
Recent form — Getafe 1W 2D 2L; FC Lugano 4W 1D 0L.

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