Kauno Žalgiris v Brann prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kauno Žalgiris · Brann

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 92 landed (95% range 76.1–90.7%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kauno Žalgiris host Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Brann to win.

Form and the table

Seven of Kauno Žalgiris’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Kauno Žalgiris’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Kauno Žalgiris have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.71.

10 of Brann’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brann’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Brann have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 away matches — 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.40.

Kauno Žalgiris (36th) and Brann (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brann the stronger side, 427 rating points above Kauno Žalgiris (Brann 1789, Kauno Žalgiris 1361, after at least 15 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Niklas Castro (4.8 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Denzel De Roeve (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Brann’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brann (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Niklas Castro averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 741 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Denzel De Roeve averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 1239 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Kauno Žalgiris 1W 0D 4L · Brann 2W 0D 3L

TACTIX runs Kauno Žalgiris v Brann (UEFA Europa Conference League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.8 / 8.75
Corners
against 7.8 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.8 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 5.6 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.8 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.4 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKauno Žalgiris for / againstLineBrann for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.8 for · 7.8 against n 5
9.5standard
8.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
6.8 for · 13.6 against n 5
19.5standard
13.75 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.8 for · 5.6 against n 5
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 7.75 against n 4
21.5standard
12.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.8 for · 1.4 against n 5
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rokas Lekiatas n 372.7
1.72/2
0.82/0
—
G. Debeljuh n 858.5
1.76/3
3.58/6
—
L. Kreković n 354.3
1.72/1
0.61/0
—
A. Benchaib n 377
1.21/1
00/0
—
M. Burba n 722
1.22/0
0.61/0
—
Kauno Žalgiris — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Burba n 722
2.33/1
1.82/1
G. Debeljuh n 858.5
1.33/3
0.62/1
A. Benchaib n 377
1.21/1
0.81/1
Renan Oliveira n 773.9
1.24/2
0.53/0
Vykintas Slivka n 858
0.83/1
0.63/0
Kauno Žalgiris — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Benchaib n 377
1.22/1
0.41/0
Renan Oliveira n 773.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Debeljuh n 858.5
0.41/1
00/0
Vykintas Slivka n 858
0.41/1
00/0
J. Moutachy n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Kauno Žalgiris — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Kreković n 354.3
2.82/2
Y. Karashima n 552.4
2.75/2
Rokas Lekiatas n 372.7
2.13/1
A. Kalik n 712.9
21/1
M. Burba n 722
1.82/1
Kauno Žalgiris — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Svedkauskas n 590
44/4
Brann
Brann — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Kjartansson n 819.1
2.94/1
1.22/0
—
L. Remmem n 811.6
2.93/0
11/0
—
E. Guðmundsson n 873.5
26/3
1.46/3
—
Kristian Eriksen n 862.4
25/4
0.42/0
—
Jonas Torsvik n 819.3
1.82/1
1.82/1
—
Brann — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Lægreid n 514.4
3.83/0
00/0
Bård Finne n 835.5
3.24/2
1.63/2
Noah Jean Holm n 873.8
2.98/7
1.25/3
Kristall Máni Ingason n 856.6
2.87/4
26/3
Joachim Soltvedt n 874.5
1.86/4
0.32/0
Brann — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Remmem n 811.6
00/0
11/0
Kristall Máni Ingason n 856.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
N. Castro n 885.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
Bård Finne n 835.5
0.62/0
00/0
Jonas Torsvik n 819.3
00/0
0.61/0
Brann — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Kjartansson n 819.1
4.13/2
Denzel De Roeve n 825.4
2.75/1
Niklas Jensen Wassberg n 857.4
2.46/5
Kristall Máni Ingason n 856.6
2.26/4
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 890
2.16/6
Brann — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dyngeland n 890
47/5
Simen Vidtun Nilsen n 890
3.18/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kauno Žalgiris v Brann — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kauno ŽalgirisLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
BrannLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Kauno Žalgiris#36 pos0 pts1 pl-4 GD
Brann#12 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Kauno Žalgiris scored0
Brann scored2
Kauno Žalgiris conceded4
Brann conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kauno Žalgiris v Brann is Away win.
What is the recent form of Kauno Žalgiris and Brann?
Recent form — Kauno Žalgiris 1W 0D 4L; Brann 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

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