Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Besiktas Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Beşiktaş host Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Beşiktaş or Crystal Palace (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Beşiktaş have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Beşiktaş’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Beşiktaş have eight wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 0.50.

Both teams scored in nine of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.00.

Beşiktaş (fourth) and Crystal Palace (15th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Beşiktaş XI (4-1-4-1): A. Nübel, A. Murillo, E. Topçu, K. Ouattara, E. Agbadou, I. Fakili, J. Olaitan, O. Kökçü, W. Ndidi, S. Özcan, O. Hyeon-Gyu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dušan Vlahović (5.1 per match over six appearances, six goals) and J. Olaitan (4.2 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Beşiktaş’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Beşiktaş (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dušan Vlahović averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 459 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances. J. Olaitan averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 611 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Crystal Palace XI (4-4-2): W. Benítez, A. Disasi, C. Richards, J. Canvot, H. Ahanor, T. Mitchell, A. Wharton, Q. Timber, Ó. Mingueza, J. Strand Larsen, Y. Pino — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Daichi Kamada (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Anan Khalaili (3.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daichi Kamada averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1259 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Anan Khalaili averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 871 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Besiktas Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Beşiktaş 4W 0D 1L · Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L

Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.38
Cards
against 3.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBeşiktaş for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
15.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 15.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Ndidi n 833.8
2.74/2
0.71/1
—
Ü. Akdağ n 870.4
1.96/5
0.64/0
—
E. Agbadou n 874.1
1.86/4
0.32/0
—
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
1.86/3
0.83/1
—
A. Murillo n 878.9
1.66/4
1.47/3
—
Beşiktaş — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rashica n 822.9
4.46/2
2.53/1
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 853.4
46/3
2.15/3
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
3.78/8
2.18/4
V. Černý n 867.3
2.37/4
1.25/1
I. Fakili n 847.9
2.36/2
0.94/0
Beşiktaş — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dušan Vlahović n 876.4
1.25/2
00/0
Oh Hyeon-Gyu n 853.4
0.62/1
0.42/0
O. Kökçü n 870.8
0.32/0
0.63/1
V. Černý n 867.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Olaitan n 865.3
00/0
0.73/1
Beşiktaş — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Ouattara n 847.4
2.86/2
Ü. Akdağ n 870.4
2.67/5
Emirhan Topçu n 880.4
2.55/5
E. Agbadou n 874.1
2.37/4
Tiago Djaló n 867.9
2.37/4
Beşiktaş — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
1.93/2
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
Z. Gozo n 855.9
2.26/3
0.42/0
—
H. Ahanor n 864.6
2.15/4
1.44/1
—
W. Hughes n 843.3
2.16/2
2.15/3
—
Q. Timber n 856
25/4
25/3
—
Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Strand Larsen n 854
3.16/4
1.54/3
I. Sarr n 858
2.75/4
1.23/2
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.55/3
0.83/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
24/3
0.82/1
E. Nketiah n 833
24/2
13/0
Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Kamada n 860.8
0.63/0
0.41/1
I. Sarr n 858
0.83/1
0.21/0
Yeremy Pino n 861
0.63/0
00/0
E. Nketiah n 833
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Wharton n 881
00/0
0.43/0
Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Óscar Mingueza n 833.6
3.76/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
3.27/4
T. Mitchell n 886.4
2.97/6
W. Hughes n 843.3
2.63/2
D. McNeil n 826.1
2.63/2
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 882.1
3.35/5
W. Benítez n 893.8
37/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BeşiktaşWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Beşiktaş#4 pos6 pts2 pl+4 GD
Crystal Palace#15 pos3 pts2 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Beşiktaş scored3.5
Crystal Palace scored3
Beşiktaş conceded1.5
Crystal Palace conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Beşiktaş 4W 0D 1L; Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L.

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