Bournemouth v Sturm Graz prediction
Team pages: Bournemouth · Sturm Graz
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Bournemouth v Sturm Graz, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Bournemouth host Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Bournemouth or Sturm Graz (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
10 of Bournemouth’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Bournemouth’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Bournemouth have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.00.
Five of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Sturm Graz have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38.
Bournemouth (10th) and Sturm Graz (17th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
Bournemouth have 10 names on the availability list: A. Adli (out, Calf Injury), A. Scott (out, Thigh Injury), D. Jebbison (out, Off the roster), E. J. Kroupi (out, Foot Injury), F. Forster (out, Off the roster), J. Araujo (out, Thigh Injury) and four more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Alex Scott (5.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Adrien Truffert (4.4 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Bournemouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bournemouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alex Scott averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Adrien Truffert averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 804 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.
Sturm Graz have 11 names on the availability list: A. Kayombo (out, Off the roster), E. Soglo (out, Muscle Injury), F. Rozga (out, Inactive), G. Mamageishvili (out, Injury), L. Grgic (out, Knee Injury), N. Geyrhofer (out, Off the roster) and five more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Emran Soglo (5.1 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Luca Weinhandl (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sturm Graz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sturm Graz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Emran Soglo averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Luca Weinhandl averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Vitality Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Bournemouth 2W 1D 2L · Sturm Graz 2W 1D 2L
Bournemouth v Sturm Graz (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 13 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bournemouth for / against | Line | Sturm Graz for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.25 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Bournemouth
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Adams n 8 | 69.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | — |
| D. Brooks n 8 | 30.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Soler n 8 | 39.5 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Á. Rodríguez n 8 | 39 | 2 | 2.9 | — |
| J. Kluivert n 8 | 58.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Rodríguez n 8 | 39 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| R. Christie n 8 | 54.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| B. Doak n 8 | 33.3 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Rayan n 8 | 63.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| J. Kluivert n 8 | 58.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Christie n 8 | 54.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| D. Jebbison n 8 | 35.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Evanilson n 8 | 82.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Rayan n 8 | 63.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Tavernier n 8 | 75.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Juanlu Sánchez n 8 | 23.6 | 4.8 |
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 89.3 | 3.5 |
| A. Tóth n 8 | 36 | 2.8 |
| B. Doak n 8 | 33.3 | 2.7 |
| Alex Scott n 8 | 78.3 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| M. Di Gregorio n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Quarshie n 8 | 61.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Oumar Diakité n 8 | 41.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| F. Rózga n 3 | 27.3 | 2.2 | 4.4 | — |
| N. Weiper n 8 | 31.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl n 8 | 80 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Beganović n 8 | 33.5 | 2.4 | 2 |
| F. Rózga n 3 | 27.3 | 2.2 | 0 |
| Axel Kayombo n 8 | 37.8 | 2.1 | 0 |
| N. Weiper n 8 | 31.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Oumar Diakité n 8 | 41.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Diakité n 8 | 41.6 | 1.1 | 0 |
| N. Weiper n 8 | 31.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Simon Seidl n 8 | 68.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| E. Soglo n 8 | 69.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Seedy Jatta n 8 | 60 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Malic n 8 | 49.6 | 3.4 |
| F. Rózga n 3 | 27.3 | 3.3 |
| E. Soglo n 8 | 69.9 | 3.2 |
| J. Heil n 8 | 80.3 | 2.9 |
| Luca Weinhandl n 8 | 80 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov n 8 | 91 | 3.7 |
| A. Helac n 6 | 90 | 3.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bournemouth v Sturm Graz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Bournemouth v Sturm Graz?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Sturm Graz is Home or Away (best price 1.11 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Sturm Graz?
- Recent form — Bournemouth 2W 1D 2L; Sturm Graz 2W 1D 2L.
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