Celje v Red Bull Salzburg prediction
Team pages: Celje · Red Bull Salzburg
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Celje v Red Bull Salzburg, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Celje host Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Red Bull Salzburg, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Celje are winless in their last four matches.
Form and the table
Nine of Celje’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Celje’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Celje have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71.
Eight of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Red Bull Salzburg have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71.
Celje (35th) and Red Bull Salzburg (21st) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Red Bull Salzburg the stronger side, 241 rating points above Celje (Red Bull Salzburg 1606, Celje 1365, after at least nine rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Celje XI (4-4-2): Ž. Leban, A. Tutyškinas, M. Avdyli, Ł. Bejger, P. Širvys, M. Zabukovnik, L. Tičić, Y. Dukuly, B. Verbič, B. Kramer, S. Sešlar — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Svit Sešlar (5.0 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Mario Kvesić (4.5 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Celje’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celje (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Svit Sešlar averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 390 minutes.
Predicted Red Bull Salzburg XI (4-2-3-1): C. Zawieschitzky, D. Schmid, K. Boma, T. Drexler, N. Veratschnig, A. Barry, B. Mazurek, E. Baidoo, S. Kitano, V. Zabransky, H. Tabaković — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Bartosz Mazurek (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) and Kévin Boma (4.4 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Red Bull Salzburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Red Bull Salzburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bartosz Mazurek averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Kévin Boma averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 800 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Celje 1W 1D 3L · Red Bull Salzburg 2W 2D 1L
Celje v Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Celje for / against | Line | Red Bull Salzburg for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.4 for · 6.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 for · 5.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.6 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.4 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Celje
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Tusha n 8 | 32.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | — |
| B. Verbič n 8 | 51.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | — |
| L. Koutris n 8 | 28.4 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| B. Kramer n 8 | 47.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| D. Hrka n 8 | 70.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Tusha n 8 | 32.5 | 2.8 | 1 |
| B. Kramer n 8 | 47.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| A. Kotnik n 8 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Armandas Kučys n 8 | 56.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| B. Verbič n 8 | 51.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sešlar n 8 | 89.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| B. Kramer n 8 | 47.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| D. Hrka n 8 | 70.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Armandas Kučys n 8 | 56.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| L. Koutris n 8 | 28.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Papa Mustapha Daniel n 8 | 54 | 2.5 |
| M. Avdyli n 8 | 69.4 | 2.4 |
| A. Dionkou n 8 | 44.6 | 2 |
| P. Širvys n 7 | 75.1 | 1.9 |
| D. Hrka n 8 | 70.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Žan-Luk Leban n 8 | 93.8 | 4.2 |
Red Bull Salzburg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Tabaković n 8 | 69.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| U. Tohumcu n 8 | 59.1 | 1.7 | 2.5 | — |
| A. Barry n 8 | 84.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | — |
| K. Konaté n 8 | 48.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| S. Kitano n 8 | 61.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Konaté n 8 | 48.8 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Y. Vertessen n 8 | 55.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Aboubacar Camara n 7 | 36 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Gaoussou Diakite n 8 | 57 | 3 | 1.6 |
| J. Lindstrøm n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Konaté n 8 | 48.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Aboubacar Camara n 7 | 36 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| B. Mazurek n 8 | 71.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| S. Kitano n 8 | 61.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| U. Tohumcu n 8 | 59.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Mazurek n 8 | 71.4 | 3.8 |
| A. Barry n 8 | 84.3 | 2.9 |
| John Mellberg n 8 | 40.8 | 2.5 |
| J. Lindstrøm n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 |
| N. Veratschnig n 8 | 82.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Früchtl n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| Christian Zawieschitzky n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Celje v Red Bull Salzburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Celje v Red Bull Salzburg?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Celje v Red Bull Salzburg is Draw or Away.
- What is the recent form of Celje and Red Bull Salzburg?
- Recent form — Celje 1W 1D 3L; Red Bull Salzburg 2W 2D 1L.
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