Juventus v Rennes prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Juventus v Rennes, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.
The match
Juventus host Rennes in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).
Form and the table
Five of Juventus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Juventus’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Juventus have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.88.
Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Rennes have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.29.
Juventus (first) and Rennes (13th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Juventus the stronger side, 88 rating points above Rennes (Juventus 1903, Rennes 1816, after at least 10 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Juventus XI (4-4-2): K. Grabara, P. Kalulu, F. Gatti, J. Lucumí, Z. Çelik, P. Sarr, W. McKennie, K. Alajbegović, T. Koopmeiners, N. Woltemade, A. Cambiaso — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Manuel Locatelli (4.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Randal Kolo Muani (3.7 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Juventus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Juventus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Manuel Locatelli averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes. Randal Kolo Muani averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 707 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Rennes XI (4-4-2): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, M. Nagida, A. Ait Boudlal, B. Reynolds, M. Camara, S. Szymański, A. Thomasson, V. Rongier, E. Lepaul, M. Tamari — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.0 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Adrien Thomasson (4.4 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrien Thomasson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 575 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Allianz Stadium
- Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Juventus 3W 1D 1L · Rennes 2W 1D 2L
Juventus v Rennes (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Juventus for / against | Line | Rennes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.5 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Juventus
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Locatelli n 8 | 90 | 2.4 | 1.9 | — |
| F. Gatti n 8 | 38.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 59.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | — |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| L. Kelly n 8 | 60.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 41.1 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 48.8 | 3 | 1.2 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 60.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Francisco Conceição n 8 | 54.3 | 2.3 | 1 |
| P. Sarr n 8 | 60.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 41.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 60.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| T. Koopmeiners n 8 | 41.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović n 8 | 67 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. González n 8 | 54.5 | 2.9 |
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 41.1 | 2.7 |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 84.8 | 2.4 |
| A. Cambiaso n 8 | 47.3 | 2.4 |
| Pierre Kalulu n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Grabara n 8 | 93.8 | 3.5 |
| Guglielmo Vicario n 8 | 89.9 | 1.4 |
Rennes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cissé n 8 | 26.1 | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 56.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Q. Merlin n 8 | 73.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 67.3 | 4.9 | 2.2 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| L. Blas n 8 | 50.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| D. Cissé n 8 | 26.1 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 59.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dia n 8 | 25.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 67.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 72.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Nagida n 8 | 56.4 | 3.4 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 56.3 | 3.2 |
| V. Rongier n 8 | 70.4 | 2.7 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 72.4 | 2.2 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| N. Lemaitre n 8 | 83.5 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Juventus v Rennes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Juventus v Rennes?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Juventus v Rennes is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betvictor).
- What is the recent form of Juventus and Rennes?
- Recent form — Juventus 3W 1D 1L; Rennes 2W 1D 2L.
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