NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia prediction
Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Levski Sofia
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
NEC Nijmegen host Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Levski Sofia, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last six matches. 12 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Both teams scored in three of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results (20%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results (73%). At home, NEC Nijmegen have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86.
Levski Sofia are winless in their last three matches. Levski Sofia have failed to score in their last three matches. Four of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Away from home, Levski Sofia have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71.
NEC Nijmegen (36th) and Levski Sofia (27th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
NEC Nijmegen have eight names on the availability list: A. Tahaui (out, Off the roster), A. Thomas (out, Inactive), B. Nuytinck (out, Ankle Injury), E. Mor (out, Groin Injury), I. Hansen-Aaroen (out, Off the roster), P. Sandler (out, Injury) and two more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) and Deveron Fonville (3.8 per match over eight appearances) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 905 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Deveron Fonville averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1016 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Levski Sofia have six names on the availability list: A. Bouras (out, Muscle Injury), M. Sangare (out, Off the roster), N. Serafimov (out, Elbow Injury), O. Kamdem (out, Off the roster), P. Hristov (out, Off the roster) and R. Kirilov (out, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. By TACTIX Impact, El El Moubarik (4.1 per match over three appearances) and Svetoslav Vutsov (4.0 per match over five appearances) have been Levski Sofia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Levski Sofia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), El El Moubarik averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes. Svetoslav Vutsov averages 3.2 saves per 90 over 450 minutes, with two or more saves in three of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Goffertstadion
- Referee: Aliyar Agayev
- Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 0W 3D 2L · Levski Sofia 2W 1D 2L
As of 14 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia across 242 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | NEC Nijmegen for / against | Line | Levski Sofia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.2 for · 13.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.4 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10 for · 16 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 8 | 41.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | — |
| D. Geiger n 8 | 53.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro n 8 | 43.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | — |
| I. Hansen-Aarøen n 8 | 26.8 | 2.1 | 0 | — |
| T. Storm n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sierhuis n 8 | 46.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| A. Thomas n 4 | 67.3 | 2.3 | 1 |
| T. Chery n 8 | 82.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Kevin Kers n 8 | 29.5 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Adam Tahaui n 8 | 49 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schuurs n 8 | 43.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| K. Sierhuis n 8 | 46.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| T. Chery n 8 | 82.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Adam Tahaui n 8 | 49 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Clement Bischoff n 8 | 64.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jamiro Monteiro n 8 | 43.9 | 3.8 |
| A. Thomas n 4 | 67.3 | 2.7 |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 8 | 41.8 | 2.7 |
| P. Schuurs n 8 | 43.3 | 2.6 |
| I. Hansen-Aarøen n 8 | 26.8 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Polster n 8 | 83.8 | 4.2 |
| G. Crettaz n 8 | 77.3 | 1.9 |
Levski Sofia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Perea n 5 | 19.6 | 5.5 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Soula n 6 | 16.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | — |
| David Kusso n 4 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| A. Mitkov n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| Hevertton Santos n 8 | 37.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Kusso n 4 | 26 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Everton Bala n 6 | 80.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Reinaldo n 7 | 60 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| J. Perea n 5 | 19.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| K. Dimitrov n 8 | 79.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Perea n 5 | 19.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Reinaldo n 7 | 60 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Everton Bala n 6 | 80.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Maicon n 7 | 74.9 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Álex Centelles n 8 | 67.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Hevertton Santos n 8 | 37.9 | 3.6 |
| David Kusso n 4 | 26 | 2.6 |
| A. Mitkov n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 |
| Maicon n 7 | 74.9 | 2.2 |
| Aldair n 8 | 69.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Vutsov n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia is Draw or Away (best price 2.00 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia?
- Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 0W 3D 2L; Levski Sofia 2W 1D 2L.
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