Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.15 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Olympiakos Piraeus host Sparta Praha in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Olympiakos Piraeus or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last five matches in all competitions. Olympiakos Piraeus have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Three of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%). Both teams scored in six of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Olympiakos Piraeus have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.43.

Nine of Sparta Praha’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Sparta Praha’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sparta Praha have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.25.

Olympiakos Piraeus (10th) and Sparta Praha (11th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Olympiakos Piraeus the stronger side, 158 rating points above Sparta Praha (Olympiakos Piraeus 1856, Sparta Praha 1697, after at least 32 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Olympiakos Piraeus XI (4-4-2): S. Ortega, P. Retsos, L. Pirola, M. Saliakas, S. Onyemaechi, G. Martins, S. Hezze, J. Silva, Chiquinho, R. Yaremchuk, A. Gonzalez — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rodinei (3.5 per match over three appearances) and Jota Silva (3.3 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Olympiakos Piraeus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Olympiakos Piraeus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rodinei averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jota Silva averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 659 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sparta Praha XI (4-4-2): J. Surovčík, T. Guddal, M. Suchomel, L. Mbe Soh, A. Ševínský, H. Sochurek, R. Macek, A. Irving, M. Jurásek, J. Brunes, J. Alcócer — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Mercado (5.1 per match over four appearances, two goals) and J. Alcócer (4.5 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Sparta Praha’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sparta Praha (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Mercado averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in four of the last six appearances. J. Alcócer averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 913 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Olympiakos Piraeus 5W 0D 0L · Sparta Praha 2W 1D 2L

Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.38 / 5.88
Corners
against 3.75 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 3.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOlympiakos Piraeus for / againstLineSparta Praha for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
17.13 for · 9.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jota Silva n 874.3
2.77/5
2.67/4
—
Dani García n 878.8
2.37/6
0.64/0
—
L. Scipioni n 847.6
2.15/2
0.52/0
—
S. Onyemaechi n 872.8
26/5
1.14/3
—
G. Puerta n 865.9
25/3
27/4
—
Olympiakos Piraeus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jota Silva n 874.3
3.28/6
1.46/3
Joel Roca n 850
3.27/4
1.14/1
A. El Kaabi n 870
2.77/5
1.86/3
Gustavo Sá n 842
2.44/2
0.82/1
A. Gonzalez n 841.5
2.45/3
1.13/1
Olympiakos Piraeus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jota Silva n 874.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
R. Yaremchuk n 842.4
0.52/0
00/0
R. Freuler n 881.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Chiquinho n 872.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. El Kaabi n 870
0.32/0
00/0
Olympiakos Piraeus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Scipioni n 847.6
4.57/6
Gustavo Sá n 842
48/4
P. Retsos n 880.3
2.48/5
Dani García n 878.8
2.48/4
R. Freuler n 881.6
2.37/5
Olympiakos Piraeus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Ortega n 890.4
2.97/5
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kaan Kairinen n 853.5
3.46/3
00/0
—
M. Vojta n 853.3
2.57/4
1.34/1
—
P. Vydra n 866.3
1.96/4
14/2
—
S. Mannsverk n 867.5
1.85/4
1.35/2
—
Adam Karabec n 851.3
1.85/1
1.14/1
—
Sparta Praha — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Haraslín n 876.4
2.16/5
14/2
A. Rrahmani n 831.8
2.14/2
0.72/0
J. Mercado n 856.4
25/2
0.63/0
P. Vydra n 866.3
1.96/4
14/2
J. Brunes n 879.1
1.75/4
0.94/1
Sparta Praha — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Vojta n 853.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Ryneš n 866.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. Alcócer n 878.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Haraslín n 876.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Mercado n 856.4
0.42/0
00/0
Sparta Praha — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Roman Macek n 856.4
3.47/5
Kaan Kairinen n 853.5
2.96/4
P. Kadeřábek n 876
2.47/5
M. Suchomel n 861.1
2.25/3
J. Alcócer n 878.9
1.65/3
Sparta Praha — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Surovčík n 690.7
3.33/3
P. Vindahl n 890
1.94/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Olympiakos PiraeusWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Sparta PrahaLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Olympiakos Piraeus#10 pos6 pts2 pl+2 GD
Sparta Praha#11 pos4 pts2 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Olympiakos Piraeus scored1.5
Sparta Praha scored2.5
Olympiakos Piraeus conceded0.5
Sparta Praha conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha is Home or Draw (best price 1.15 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha?
Recent form — Olympiakos Piraeus 5W 0D 0L; Sparta Praha 2W 1D 2L.

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