Sparta Praha v Lillestrom prediction
Team pages: Sparta Praha · Lillestrom
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.
The match
Sparta Praha host Lillestrom in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Sparta Praha to win.
Form and the table
10 of Sparta Praha’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Sparta Praha’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Sparta Praha have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.00.
Lillestrom are winless in their last three matches. Nine of Lillestrom’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Lillestrom’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Lillestrom have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.57.
Sparta Praha (third) and Lillestrom (24th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sparta Praha the stronger side, 351 rating points above Lillestrom (Sparta Praha 1750, Lillestrom 1399, after at least five rated matches each).
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, J. Mercado (5.4 per match over three appearances, two goals) and J. Alcócer (3.9 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Sparta Praha’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sparta Praha (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Mercado averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 287 minutes, with a shot in three of the last five appearances. J. Alcócer averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 868 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
By TACTIX Impact, Felix Vá (5.2 per match over 23 appearances, six goals and six assists) and Lars Ranger (4.7 per match over 21 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lillestrom’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lillestrom (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Felix Vá averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1900 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lars Ranger averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 1773 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · epet ARENA
- Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Sparta Praha 2W 0D 3L · Lillestrom 2W 1D 2L
As of 13 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Sparta Praha v Lillestrom across 242 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sparta Praha for / against | Line | Lillestrom for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.63 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.75 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Sparta Praha
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Kairinen n 8 | 63.3 | 3.4 | 0 | — |
| M. Vojta n 8 | 53.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | — |
| S. Mannsverk n 8 | 71.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| P. Vydra n 8 | 66.3 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| A. Preciado n 8 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Vydra n 8 | 66.3 | 1.9 | 1 |
| J. Mercado n 8 | 58.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| J. Kuchta n 8 | 54.1 | 1.9 | 0 |
| A. Rrahmani n 8 | 30.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| L. Haraslín n 8 | 79.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vojta n 8 | 53.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| J. Mercado n 8 | 58.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| M. Ryneš n 8 | 66.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Irving n 8 | 51.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Adam Karabec n 8 | 51.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Macek n 8 | 54.9 | 3.7 |
| A. Preciado n 8 | 59 | 3.2 |
| M. Suchomel n 8 | 54.9 | 2.9 |
| Kaan Kairinen n 8 | 63.3 | 2.7 |
| P. Kadeřábek n 8 | 76 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Surovčík n 5 | 90.8 | 3.8 |
| P. Vindahl n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
Lillestrom
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harald Woxen n 8 | 29.4 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim n 8 | 85 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| Henrik Melland n 8 | 40 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 49.6 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| Sturla Ottesen n 8 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Nordh n 5 | 13.4 | 4 | 4 |
| T. Lehne Olsen n 8 | 51.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 49.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 2 | 0.1 |
| Felix Vá n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Vá n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 49.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Lehne Olsen n 8 | 51.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| F. Ottosson n 8 | 44.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Sander Moen Foss n 8 | 73.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Nordh n 5 | 13.4 | 4 |
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 3.8 |
| K. Krygård n 8 | 44.9 | 3.5 |
| Harald Woxen n 8 | 29.4 | 3.1 |
| Frederik Elkær n 8 | 79.6 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sparta Praha v Lillestrom — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sparta Praha v Lillestrom is Home win (best price 1.38 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Sparta Praha and Lillestrom?
- Recent form — Sparta Praha 2W 0D 3L; Lillestrom 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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