Sturm Graz v Celje prediction
Team pages: Sturm Graz · Celje
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sturm Graz v Celje, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Sturm Graz host Celje in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK).
The key numbers
Celje are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Five of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Sturm Graz have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.57.
Nine of Celje’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Celje’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Celje have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86.
Sturm Graz (18th) and Celje (28th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sturm Graz the stronger side, 119 rating points above Celje (Sturm Graz 1514, Celje 1395, after at least 10 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Sturm Graz XI (5-3-2): D. Khudyakov, J. Quarshie, A. Malic, P. Koller, J. Heil, L. Balbo, V. Matoshi, J. Hödl, J. Stankovic, B. Beganović, S. Seidl — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Emran Soglo (5.1 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Oumar Diakité (4.5 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Sturm Graz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sturm Graz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Emran Soglo averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Oumar Diakité averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 378 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Celje XI (4-3-3): Ž. Leban, A. Tutyškinas, M. Avdyli, Ł. Bejger, P. Širvys, M. Zabukovnik, S. Sešlar, M. Kvesić, B. Kramer, A. Kučys, V. Tusha — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Svit Sešlar (5.1 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and Milot Avdyli (4.8 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Celje’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celje (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Svit Sešlar averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 480 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Milot Avdyli averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 567 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Merkur-Arena
- Recent form: Sturm Graz 3W 0D 2L · Celje 0W 2D 3L
Sturm Graz v Celje (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sturm Graz for / against | Line | Celje for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 6 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.13 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9 for · 12.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.63 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.83 for · 11.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.17 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5 |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Diakité n 8 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| F. Rózga n 3 | 27.3 | 2.2 | 4.4 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl n 8 | 77.5 | 1.9 | 2 | — |
| Jon Stankovic n 8 | 76.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | — |
| B. Beganović n 8 | 42.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Diakité n 8 | 38.8 | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Otar Kiteishvili n 8 | 51.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| Simon Seidl n 8 | 69.5 | 2.6 | 1 |
| F. Rózga n 3 | 27.3 | 2.2 | 0 |
| B. Beganović n 8 | 42.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Diakité n 8 | 38.8 | 2 | 0 |
| Simon Seidl n 8 | 69.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Luca Weinhandl n 8 | 77.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| E. Soglo n 8 | 69.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Seedy Jatta n 8 | 60 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Rózga n 3 | 27.3 | 3.3 |
| E. Soglo n 8 | 69.9 | 3.2 |
| A. Malic n 8 | 72.6 | 2.6 |
| J. Heil n 8 | 77.6 | 2.5 |
| Petar Petrović n 7 | 51.1 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov n 8 | 82.6 | 3.3 |
| A. Helac n 8 | 86.5 | 3.1 |
Celje
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Tusha n 8 | 39.9 | 3.1 | 2.3 | — |
| B. Verbič n 8 | 52.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | — |
| L. Koutris n 8 | 28.4 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| D. Hrka n 8 | 70.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| B. Kramer n 8 | 54.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Tusha n 8 | 39.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| Armandas Kučys n 8 | 54.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| A. Kotnik n 8 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| B. Kramer n 8 | 54.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| B. Verbič n 8 | 52.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sešlar n 8 | 89.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Armandas Kučys n 8 | 54.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. Hrka n 8 | 70.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Y. Dukuly n 8 | 61 | 0 | 0.4 |
| B. Kramer n 8 | 54.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Avdyli n 8 | 76.5 | 2.5 |
| Papa Mustapha Daniel n 8 | 54 | 2.5 |
| P. Širvys n 8 | 75.9 | 2.2 |
| A. Dionkou n 8 | 44.6 | 2 |
| D. Hrka n 8 | 70.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Žan-Luk Leban n 8 | 93.8 | 4 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sturm Graz v Celje — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.