Luxembourg v Bulgaria result

Full-time · Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria

UEFA Nations League · Tue, 06 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Stade de Luxembourg

Updated 9 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Luxembourg · Bulgaria · Head-to-head

Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria — Bulgaria won this UEFA Nations League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total offsides under 5.5.

The numbers

Result: Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria · UEFA Nations League
Venue: Stade de Luxembourg · Luxembourg
Referee: Andris Treimanis
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Luxembourg 1 · draws 3 · Bulgaria 2 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Luxembourg 2W 0D 3L · Bulgaria 0W 2D 3L

Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria (UEFA Nations League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 0.63

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

3 / 3

Corners

against 4.71 / 7.17 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.14 / 2.83

Shots on target

against 4.86 / 5.83 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.86 / 1.83

Cards

against 2.71 / 1.83 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Luxembourg for / against	Line	Bulgaria for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 7.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	8.67 for · 16.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.14 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.83 for · 5.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.71 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.67 for · 13.5 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.86 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.83 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Andris Treimanis.

Luxembourg

Luxembourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Barreiro n 8	65	2.6 8/3	2.9 7/5	—
V. Selimović n 4	66.5	2 3/2	0.3 1/0	Stefan Velkov
C. Martins n 8	88.9	1.8 7/3	1.3 6/3	—
Jayson Videira Pereira n 5	32.4	1.7 2/1	0.6 1/0	—
S. Korač n 8	63.8	1.6 6/3	0.2 1/0	—

Luxembourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Omar Natami n 4	49.3	2.3 3/2	0.5 1/0
D. Sinani n 8	60.5	1.9 6/3	0.6 2/1
V. Thill n 8	63.6	1.6 7/2	0.9 5/0
Timothé Rupil n 6	24.2	1.2 2/0	1.2 2/0
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz n 8	51.9	1.1 4/1	0.7 3/0

Luxembourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Barreiro n 8	65	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
V. Thill n 8	63.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Mathias Olesen n 8	43.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz n 8	51.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Carlson n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0 0/0

Luxembourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Omar Natami n 4	49.3	4.1 2/2
V. Thill n 8	63.6	3.5 5/5
Hamza Kadamani n 8	42.4	3.2 6/4
Enzo Duarte n 4	23	2.9 2/1
Timothé Rupil n 6	24.2	2.5 4/0

Luxembourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Moris n 8	90	3 5/3

Bulgaria

Bulgaria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Krastev n 8	34	5.6 7/4	1 3/0	—
P. Panayotov n 3	30	3 2/1	0 0/0	—
A. Chernev n 8	46.6	2.9 6/2	1.4 4/2	—
Stefan Velkov n 8	71.4	2.4 6/4	0.2 1/0	V. Selimović
A. Kraev n 8	69.3	2.3 6/4	0.6 4/0	—

Bulgaria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Minchev n 8	65.6	2.2 5/4	1.2 5/2
Emil Tsenov n 3	64.3	1.9 2/1	0.5 1/0
M. Petkov n 8	71.5	1.7 6/4	0.6 4/0
K. Despodov n 8	42.8	1.6 3/2	0.8 3/0
Georgi Rusev n 8	58.9	1.5 5/2	1.1 5/1

Bulgaria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Despodov n 8	42.8	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
S. Shopov n 6	32.3	0 0/0	0.5 1/0
Georgi Rusev n 8	58.9	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Asen Chandarov n 4	53.3	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
M. Minchev n 8	65.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Bulgaria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Krastev n 8	34	5.6 8/5
Asen Chandarov n 4	53.3	3.8 4/2
K. Stoyanov n 4	55.3	3.3 3/2
P. Panayotov n 3	30	3 3/0
H. Petrov n 8	18.5	3 4/1

Bulgaria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Naumov n 4	90	3.5 3/3
D. Mitov n 8	90	2.6 6/4

The model’s pre-match pick

The TACTIX model has priced Luxembourg vs Bulgaria across 246 betting markets. The model’s pre-match pick for this fixture:

Free pick

Total offsides under 5.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Luxembourg		Bulgaria
63%	Possession	37%
18	Shots	13
7	Shots on target	5
9	Shots off target	7
2	Blocked shots	1
11	Shots inside the box	10
5	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	15
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	7
583	Passes	350

Luxembourg player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Bohnert	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
V. Selimović	90	3	0	1	1	0	7.4
D. Carlson	90	0	0	1	0	Y	6.5
Omar Natami	90	6	1	2	2	0	6.5
V. Thill	90	3	2	3	1	0	6.4
Hamza Kadamani	90	1	0	2	0	0	6.4
E. Veiga	78	1	0	1	3	0	6.7
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz	67	1	1	1	1	0	6.2
E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos	45	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Jayson Videira Pereira	45	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Aiman Dardari	45	1	1	1	1	0	6.8
A. Moris	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Mathias Olesen	45	2	2	0	1	0	6.3
T. Pereira Cardoso	45	0	0	0	0	0	5.5
Timothé Rupil	23	0	0	1	0	0	6.1
S. Thill	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.1

Bulgaria player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Yoni Stoyanov	90	0	0	2	0	1	5	Y	7.1
Stefan Velkov	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.9
Emil Tsenov	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
H. Petrov	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.2
A. Kraev	90	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	6.4
Ilia Gruev	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
D. Naumov	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
M. Minchev	83	0	0	1	1	3	1	0	7.1
Atanas Iliev	66	1	0	4	2	1	0	0	8.2
Kristiyan Balov	66	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.8
Georgi Rusev	50	0	1	1	1	2	0	Y	7.3
P. Panayotov	40	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Stanislav Ivanov	24	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
V. Nikolov	24	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Dimitrov	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Luxembourg v Bulgaria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LuxembourgLWWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

BulgariaLDLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Luxembourg 1 · 3 draws · Bulgaria 2 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-09-26 Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg
2024-11-15 Luxembourg 0–1 Bulgaria
2024-10-12 Bulgaria 0–0 Luxembourg
2022-11-20 Luxembourg 0–0 Bulgaria
2017-10-10 Luxembourg 1–1 Bulgaria
2016-09-06 Bulgaria 4–3 Luxembourg

League standing · 2026/27

Luxembourg#4 pos3 pts4 pl-5 GD

Bulgaria#3 pos4 pts4 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Luxembourg scored0.5

Bulgaria scored0.75

Luxembourg conceded1.75

Bulgaria conceded1.25

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Luxembourg vs Bulgaria was Total offsides under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Luxembourg and Bulgaria?: In their last 6 meetings, Luxembourg won 1, Bulgaria won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luxembourg and Bulgaria?: Recent form — Luxembourg 2W 0D 3L; Bulgaria 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 9 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works →

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