New England Revolution v Orlando City SC result

Full-time · New England Revolution 3–4 Orlando City SC

US Open Cup · · Gillette Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

New England Revolution 3–4 Orlando City SC — Orlando City SC won this US Open Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Orlando City SC won 4–3 at Gillette Stadium in the US Open Cup on Thursday 30 April. New England Revolution have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — New England Revolution: Malcolm Fry (21’, assisted by Eric Klein), Andrew Farrell (37’, assisted by Gabriel Dahlin) and Marcos Zambrano (58’, assisted by Eric Klein); Orlando City SC: Iago Silva (31’, assisted by Tiago Souza), Griffin Dorsey (39’, assisted by Justin Ellis), Justin Ellis (70’) and Zakaria Taifi (90’, assisted by Tyrese Spicer).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zakaria Taifi’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

A. Ndiaye showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — New England Revolution: Diego Fagúndez (78’) and Allan Oyirwoth (87’); Orlando City SC: Colin Guske (1’) and I. Gomez (41’).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

New England Revolution next travel to Philadelphia Union on 24 October 2026.

Orlando City SC next host New York City FC on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for New England Revolution: Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC v New York City FC, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: New England Revolution 3–4 Orlando City SC · US Open Cup
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Referee: A. Ndiaye
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): New England Revolution 1 · draws 1 · Orlando City SC 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: New England Revolution 3W 2D 0L · Orlando City SC 2W 1D 2L

New England Revolution 3–4 Orlando City SC (US Open Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2 / 4.43
Corners
against 5.43 / 6.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 4
Shots on target
against 6.57 / 6.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNew England Revolution for / againstLineOrlando City SC for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
2 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.43 for · 6.43 against n 7
Shots
10.86 for · 15.43 against n 7
19.5standard
11 for · 17.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.86 for · 6.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 6.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 14.14 against n 7
21.5standard
11.71 for · 12 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: A. Ndiaye.

New England Revolution
New England Revolution — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Brooklyn Raines n 887.9
3.58/6
1.56/4
—
Peyton Miller n 843.4
1.84/2
0.31/0
—
Diego Fagúndez n 842.9
1.83/2
0.31/0
—
M. Polster n 878.6
1.76/4
0.95/1
—
B. Ceballos n 881.9
1.55/5
1.47/2
—
New England Revolution — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dor Turgeman n 886.4
2.18/5
1.27/1
Peyton Miller n 843.4
1.86/1
14/0
Griffin Yow n 852.3
1.74/3
1.14/1
L. Campana n 847.3
1.75/2
13/1
Luca Langoni n 868.8
1.15/1
0.84/1
New England Revolution — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luca Langoni n 868.8
0.21/0
14/1
Peyton Miller n 843.4
0.83/0
00/0
Dor Turgeman n 886.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
L. Campana n 847.3
0.52/0
00/0
Carles Gil n 889.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
New England Revolution — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Eric Klein n 51
181/0
Alhassan Yusuf n 876.9
2.57/4
Tanner Beason n 872.5
2.56/5
Mamadou Fofana n 891
2.28/6
Griffin Yow n 852.3
2.26/3
New England Revolution — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matt Turner n 891
5.38/8
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Tsukada n 510.2
5.33/0
3.52/0
—
Colin Guske n 839.5
2.65/3
2.34/2
—
Tiago Souza n 853.9
2.55/4
2.16/4
—
Eduard Atuesta n 862.3
25/3
1.14/2
—
Braian Ojeda n 889.1
1.34/3
27/4
—
Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tyrese Spicer n 842.9
2.97/2
1.34/1
Justin Ellis n 453
2.13/1
1.72/1
Martín Ojeda n 889.1
1.86/4
0.94/3
Y. Tsukada n 510.2
1.81/0
00/0
Duncan McGuire n 868.3
1.25/2
1.25/2
Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Justin Ellis n 453
0.41/0
0.41/0
Zakaria Taifi n 844.8
00/0
0.52/0
Tyrese Spicer n 842.9
0.52/0
00/0
Martín Ojeda n 889.1
0.42/1
00/0
Marco Pasalic n 877.8
0.32/0
00/0
Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrián Marín n 873.9
2.77/5
Tyrese Spicer n 842.9
2.63/3
Luis Otávio n 850.3
2.56/3
Griffin Dorsey n 879.4
27/4
Eduard Atuesta n 862.3
25/4
Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maxime Crépeau n 884.1
3.77/6
Javier Otero n 581.4
22/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind New England Revolution v Orlando City SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New England RevolutionWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Orlando City SCDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
New England Revolution 1 · 1 draw · Orlando City SC 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2025-07-19 New England Revolution 1–2 Orlando City SC
  • 2025-05-10 Orlando City SC 3–3 New England Revolution
  • 2024-09-14 Orlando City SC 3–0 New England Revolution
  • 2024-07-13 New England Revolution 1–3 Orlando City SC
  • 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution
  • 2023-06-17 New England Revolution 3–1 Orlando City SC
Goals per game
New England Revolution scored1.4
Orlando City SC scored1.6
New England Revolution conceded0.8
Orlando City SC conceded1.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for New England Revolution v Orlando City SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for New England Revolution v Orlando City SC was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between New England Revolution and Orlando City SC?
In their last 6 meetings, New England Revolution won 1, Orlando City SC won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New England Revolution and Orlando City SC?
Recent form — New England Revolution 3W 2D 0L; Orlando City SC 2W 1D 2L.

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