Argentina v Switzerland result

Full-time · Argentina 3–1 Switzerland

World Cup · · Arrowhead Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Argentina · Switzerland

The model’s pre-match pick

Argentina 3–1 Switzerland — Argentina won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Argentina beat Switzerland 3–1 at Arrowhead Stadium in the World Cup on Sunday 12 July. Argentina have won their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Argentina led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Argentina: Alexis Mac Allister (10’, assisted by L. Messi), Julián Alvarez (112’, assisted by J. Lopez) and Lautaro Martínez (120’); Switzerland: Dan Ndoye (67’, assisted by R. Rodríguez). B. Embolo (72’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Julián Alvarez’s goal on 112 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Argentina 1.94, Switzerland 0.47, from 22 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Argentina: Thiago Almada (97’), Lautaro Martínez (98’) and J. Lopez (114’); Switzerland: B. Embolo (44’) and B. Embolo (72’).

What it changes

Argentina have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Messi (Argentina) 11.2, Alexis Mac Allister (Argentina) 9.6 and Lisandro Martínez (Argentina) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Switzerland next travel to Slovenia on 13 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Switzerland: Slovenia v Switzerland, Friday 13 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Argentina 3–1 Switzerland · World Cup
  • Venue: Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City
  • Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Argentina 5W 0D 0L · Switzerland 3W 2D 0L

Argentina 3–1 Switzerland (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.63 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4 / 5.13
Corners
against 2.75 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 1.25 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArgentina for / againstLineSwitzerland for / against
Goals scored
3 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 2.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 8.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 1.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal.

Argentina
Argentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lautaro Martínez n 853.6
2.57/5
1.74/4
—
A. Giay n 882.6
1.96/4
1.56/4
—
Cristian Romero n 863.5
1.86/3
0.73/1
R. Rodríguez
N. Paz n 866.8
1.57/1
13/2
—
E. Fernández n 880.9
1.46/3
1.47/3
—
Argentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 874.1
5.38/7
3.37/5
Julián Alvarez n 869
2.36/3
1.35/2
N. Paz n 866.8
26/4
0.83/1
Lautaro Martínez n 853.6
1.95/3
0.83/1
Giuliano Simeone n 860.9
1.74/3
1.13/2
Argentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 874.1
1.57/2
0.63/1
Lautaro Martínez n 853.6
0.42/0
0.42/0
N. González n 843.4
0.51/1
0.31/0
R. de Paul n 874.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
E. Fernández n 880.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Argentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Mac Allister n 873.3
3.17/6
N. Paz n 866.8
2.97/4
Cristian Romero n 863.5
2.57/5
Giuliano Simeone n 860.9
2.47/4
E. Palacios n 883.3
2.36/5
Argentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 890
1.94/2
E. Martínez n 893.8
1.64/3
Switzerland
Switzerland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Itten n 845
3.87/4
13/1
—
Zeki Amdouni n 826.4
2.64/1
3.85/3
—
M. Aebischer n 852.4
2.15/2
0.42/0
—
R. Rodríguez n 879.3
1.65/4
0.11/0
Cristian Romero
L. Jaquez n 850.3
1.65/1
0.21/0
—
Switzerland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 859.6
3.26/5
1.96/3
C. Itten n 845
3.25/3
1.84/2
B. Embolo n 871.6
2.26/5
1.46/2
Zeki Amdouni n 826.4
2.13/2
0.92/0
C. Fassnacht n 833.6
24/2
1.73/2
Switzerland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Fassnacht n 833.6
1.33/1
0.31/0
J. Manzambi n 859.8
0.62/1
0.63/0
C. Itten n 845
0.82/1
0.31/0
B. Embolo n 871.6
0.64/0
0.32/0
R. Vargas n 850.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Switzerland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Fassnacht n 833.6
35/1
L. Jaquez n 850.3
2.95/3
D. Zakaria n 874.8
2.68/4
R. Rodríguez n 879.3
27/5
F. Rieder n 866.6
26/4
Switzerland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 884.4
2.97/5
G. Kobel n 893.8
2.67/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ArgentinaSwitzerland
59%Possession41%
1.94Expected goals (xG)0.47
22Shots11
7Shots on target5
8Shots off target3
7Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box5
8Corners2
4Offsides3
14Fouls18
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
4Saves4
691Passes474
89%Pass accuracy84%

Argentina player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez12000000007.3
Lisandro Martínez12000110407.5
A. Mac Allister12010311307.3
L. Messi12001216309.2
Julián Alvarez12010212207.7
L. Paredes11000002107.3
Cristian Romero10500100207
E. Fernández9000001006.5
Nahuel Molina8500100106.3
R. de Paul8500000006.7
N. Tagliafico7800000006.6
N. González sub4200101007.3
G. Montiel sub3500000006.3
Lautaro Martínez sub35101120Y6.9
Thiago Almada sub30003210Y7.2
N. Otamendi sub1500000107
J. Lopez sub10010010Y6.3

Switzerland player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Kobel12000000006.7
N. Elvedi12000002106.7
M. Akanji12000000105.9
G. Xhaka12000310007.3
R. Freuler11500000306.6
D. Zakaria9600001106.2
R. Rodríguez8901003207.2
F. Rieder8600000106.3
D. Sow8600111006.3
D. Ndoye8610220007.3
B. Embolo72001100RY5.9
M. Muheim sub3400000006.2
S. Widmer sub3400000106.2
Zeki Amdouni sub3400001006.2
E. Cömert sub3100000106.3
A. Jashari sub2400101006.2
R. Vargas sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Argentina v Switzerland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArgentinaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
SwitzerlandDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Argentina#1 pos9 pts3 pl+7 GD
Switzerland#1 pos7 pts3 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Argentina scored2.67
Switzerland scored2.33
Argentina conceded0.33
Switzerland conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Argentina v Switzerland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Argentina v Switzerland was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Argentina and Switzerland?
Recent form — Argentina 5W 0D 0L; Switzerland 3W 2D 0L.

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