Slovenia v Switzerland prediction

UEFA Nations League · Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Ljudski vrt

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 23:26 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Slovenia v Switzerland, UEFA Nations League on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.72 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Slovenia host Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Switzerland have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Switzerland have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Slovenia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Slovenia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Slovenia have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.14.

Nine of Switzerland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Switzerland’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Switzerland have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.71.

Slovenia (second) and Switzerland (first) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Switzerland the stronger side, 181 rating points above Slovenia (Switzerland 1846, Slovenia 1664, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Switzerland are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Slovenia, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 3 October 2026, finished Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia.

Team news

Predicted Slovenia XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, J. Bijol, E. Janža, Ž. Karničnik, D. Brekalo, D. Šturm, A. Čerin, M. Zabukovnik, A. Matko, Z. Vipotnik, S. Lovrić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jan Oblak (3.8 per match over five appearances) and Danijel Šturm (3.3 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Slovenia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Slovenia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jan Oblak averages 3.2 saves per 90 over 1890 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Danijel Šturm averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 819 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Switzerland XI (4-2-3-1): G. Kobel, M. Akanji, N. Elvedi, R. Rodríguez, Z. Athekame, R. Freuler, D. Ndoye, A. Jashari, J. Manzambi, F. Rieder, Z. Amdouni — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dan Ndoye (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and Granit Xhaka (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Switzerland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Switzerland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dan Ndoye averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1610 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Granit Xhaka averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1874 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League · Ljudski vrt
Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Slovenia 0 · draws 1 · Switzerland 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Slovenia 2W 2D 1L · Switzerland 4W 0D 1L

Slovenia v Switzerland (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2

Goals

against 0.75 / 0.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.83

Corners

against 3.88 / 2.83 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

2.38 / 7

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.63 / 0.33

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

210

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Slovenia for / against	Line	Switzerland for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	2 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.83 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	9.75 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16 for · 6.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	2.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 13 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.33 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5

Slovenia

Slovenia Goalkeeper

Slovenia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jan Oblak	4	90360 min	174.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90

Slovenia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovenia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	3.5 6/5

Slovenia Defensive

Slovenia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Janža	4	90360 min	41 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90	164 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90
J. Bijol	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	61.5 /90	174.3 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Ž. Karničnik	4	90360 min	82 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90	133.3 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
David Brekalo	4	75299 min	103 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	206 /90	61.8 /90	00 /90
D. Zec	3	69206 min	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90	83.5 /90	62.6 /90	20.9 /90
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Slovenia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovenia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ž. Karničnik n 8	90	1 6/2	0.3 1/1	—
J. Bijol n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0	—
E. Janža n 8	75.3	0.9 4/2	0.9 4/2	—
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
D. Šturm n 6	84.2	0.7 4/0	1.4 5/2	—
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Slovenia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovenia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ž. Karničnik n 8	90	2 7/3
E. Janža n 8	75.3	1.5 4/4
J. Bijol n 8	90	1.3 5/3
D. Šturm n 6	84.2	0.5 3/0
David Brekalo n 8	73.4	1.7 5/2
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Slovenia Attacking

Slovenia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Z. Vipotnik	4	61244 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	83 /90	20.7 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90
T. Begić	2	4997 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	10.9 /90
A. Šporar	1	7474 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Šturm	4	90359 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	112.8 /90	10.3 /90
A. Čerin	4	70281 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90
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Slovenia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovenia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ž. Karničnik n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
E. Janža n 8	75.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bijol n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Šturm n 6	84.2	0.9 3/2	0.5 3/0
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Slovenia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovenia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bijol n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ž. Karničnik n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Janža n 8	75.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Šturm n 6	84.2	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
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Switzerland

Switzerland Goalkeeper

Switzerland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Kobel	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90

Switzerland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 8	90	2 5/2

Switzerland Defensive

Switzerland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Akanji	8	90720 min	151.9 /90	121.5 /90	00 /90	293.6 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
N. Elvedi	8	90720 min	81 /90	70.9 /90	30.4 /90	324 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
R. Rodríguez	8	78621 min	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	243.5 /90	111.6 /90	00 /90
Zachary Athekame	4	72287 min	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	92.8 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90
Sascha Britschgi	4	42168 min	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Switzerland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Elvedi n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1 5/2	—
M. Akanji n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1	—
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	1.4 7/4	0.5 4/0	—
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	1.6 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	1 5/0	3.1 6/5	—
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Switzerland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Akanji n 8	90	1.9 8/4
N. Elvedi n 8	90	1 5/2
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	1.8 8/4
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	1.3 4/3
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	0.6 2/1
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Switzerland Attacking

Switzerland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Embolo	4	87347 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	41 /90	82.1 /90	30.8 /90
Zeki Amdouni	4	80319 min	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	133.7 /90	92.5 /90	82.3 /90	51.4 /90
Winsley Boteli Mokango	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Freuler	8	90719 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	50.6 /90	20.3 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
J. Manzambi	8	58461 min	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	112.1 /90	91.8 /90	91.8 /90	142.7 /90
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Switzerland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Akanji n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
N. Elvedi n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	2.1 7/3	1.8 5/3
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Switzerland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Elvedi n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Akanji n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Slovenia v Switzerland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SloveniaDDWLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

SwitzerlandLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Slovenia 0 · 1 draw · Switzerland 2 · 2 goals/game

2026-10-03 Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia
2025-10-13 Slovenia 0–0 Switzerland
2025-09-08 Switzerland 3–0 Slovenia

League standing · 2026/27

Slovenia#2 pos7 pts4 pl+2 GD

Switzerland#1 pos12 pts4 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Slovenia scored1.25

Switzerland scored2.75

Slovenia conceded0.75

Switzerland conceded0.25

Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off

Slovenia: Elo rating 1664, rising over the last five rated matches.
Switzerland: Elo rating 1846, rising over the last five rated matches.

Switzerland are rated 182 points higher.

Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Slovenia v Switzerland?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Slovenia v Switzerland is Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Slovenia and Switzerland?: In their last 3 meetings, Slovenia won 0, Switzerland won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Slovenia and Switzerland?: Recent form — Slovenia 2W 2D 1L; Switzerland 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 23:26 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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