England v Argentina result

Full-time · England 1–2 Argentina

World Cup · · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: England · Argentina

The model’s pre-match pick

England 1–2 Argentina — Argentina won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away saves under 3.5.

Free pick
Away saves under 3.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Argentina won 2–1 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the World Cup on Wednesday 15 July. Argentina have won their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — England: Anthony Gordon (55’, assisted by Morgan Rogers); Argentina: Enzo Fernández (85’, assisted by L. Messi) and Lautaro Martínez (90’, assisted by L. Messi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lautaro Martínez’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: England 0.53, Argentina 1.84, from 5 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ismail Elfath, USA showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — England: Elliot Anderson (37’); Argentina: Lisandro Martínez (42’), Cristian Romero (51’) and R. de Paul (90+4’).

What it changes

England have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Argentina have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Messi (Argentina) 12.7, Enzo Fernández (Argentina) 6.1 and D. Spence (England) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Argentina saves under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

England next host Croatia on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for England: England v Croatia, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: England 1–2 Argentina · World Cup
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, Georgia
  • Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: England 4W 1D 0L · Argentina 5W 0D 0L

England 1–2 Argentina (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 2.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
6.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.88 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEngland for / againstLineArgentina for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
2.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
18.13 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 15.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA.

England
England — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bukayo Saka n 847.1
1.94/2
2.67/2
—
M. Rogers n 841.4
1.94/2
1.44/1
Julián Alvarez
J. Bellingham n 880.5
1.36/3
1.86/3
Julián Alvarez
M. Rashford n 853.4
1.34/2
1.54/2
—
H. Kane n 884
1.26/3
1.16/2
—
England — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 884
3.18/7
2.18/5
O. Watkins n 865.8
2.97/4
2.25/4
M. Rashford n 853.4
2.76/3
0.63/0
J. Bellingham n 880.5
2.26/5
1.55/4
M. Rogers n 841.4
2.24/2
1.13/1
England — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Watkins n 865.8
1.25/2
0.32/0
H. Kane n 884
0.95/2
0.11/0
J. Bellingham n 880.5
0.84/2
0.11/0
A. Gordon n 865.9
0.21/0
0.73/1
Bukayo Saka n 847.1
00/0
0.73/0
England — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bukayo Saka n 847.1
2.96/4
D. Spence n 838.5
2.96/2
E. Anderson n 881.1
2.88/7
J. Bellingham n 880.5
2.27/5
K. Mainoo n 875.5
2.16/5
England — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 886.4
1.74/3
Argentina
Argentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lautaro Martínez n 851.3
2.47/4
1.54/3
—
J. Lopez n 855.4
26/2
25/3
—
A. Giay n 882.6
1.96/4
1.56/4
—
Cristian Romero n 874.8
1.77/3
0.63/1
—
Julián Alvarez n 869
1.55/2
0.52/1
J. Bellingham
Argentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 877.9
4.58/7
2.77/4
Lautaro Martínez n 851.3
2.26/3
1.14/1
N. Paz n 866.8
26/4
0.83/1
Thiago Almada n 847.9
1.95/2
0.93/1
N. González n 841.4
1.94/2
0.51/1
Argentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 877.9
1.36/2
0.63/1
Lautaro Martínez n 851.3
0.73/0
0.42/0
J. Lopez n 855.4
0.21/0
0.82/1
N. González n 841.4
0.51/1
0.31/0
R. de Paul n 874
0.21/0
0.32/0
Argentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Mac Allister n 877
2.97/6
N. Paz n 866.8
2.97/4
Giuliano Simeone n 860.9
2.47/4
E. Palacios n 883.3
2.36/5
Cristian Romero n 874.8
2.17/5
Argentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 897.5
1.54/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EnglandArgentina
36%Possession64%
0.53Expected goals (xG)1.84
5Shots15
2Shots on target5
1Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
2Shots inside the box7
1Corners6
1Offsides3
11Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves1
324Passes590
84%Pass accuracy91%

England player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000000006.3
M. Guéhi9000000006.5
E. Anderson90000003Y7.3
M. Rogers9001001107.2
J. Bellingham9000000106.7
H. Kane9000000006.3
J. Stones8900100106.7
D. Spence8900000506.6
R. James8200001106.9
Declan Rice8200112207.2
A. Gordon7210110007
E. Konsa sub1800000006
N. O'Reilly sub800000006.2
D. Burn sub800000006
M. Rashford sub10000000–
I. Toney sub10000000–

Argentina player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000006.6
Cristian Romero90000004Y7.2
E. Fernández9010411207.6
A. Mac Allister9000210106.2
Julián Alvarez9000311006.6
L. Messi9002004108
N. Tagliafico8100000206.2
Nahuel Molina7200000206.2
Lisandro Martínez72000000Y6.5
Giuliano Simeone7200002206.2
L. Paredes6400102407.2
N. González sub2600111206.6
N. Otamendi sub1800000006.9
G. Montiel sub1800000006.2
R. de Paul sub18000020Y7.2
Lautaro Martínez sub910110007.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind England v Argentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EnglandDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ArgentinaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
England#1 pos7 pts3 pl+4 GD
Argentina#1 pos9 pts3 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
England scored2
Argentina scored2.67
England conceded0.67
Argentina conceded0.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for England v Argentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for England v Argentina was Away saves under 3.5.
What is the recent form of England and Argentina?
Recent form — England 4W 1D 0L; Argentina 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →