1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück result

Full-time · 1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 08 Aug 2026 12:00 BST · Voith-Arena

Updated 22 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Heidenheim · VfL Osnabrück

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück — 1. FC Heidenheim won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.68 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

1. FC Heidenheim beat VfL Osnabrück 4–3 at Voith-Arena in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 8 August.

The goals

1. FC Heidenheim led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Heidenheim: B. Zivzivadze (10’, assisted by M. Costly), M. Costly (29’, assisted by M. Honsak), J. Schöppner (45’, assisted by J. Föhrenbach) and Marvin Pieringer (89’, assisted by M. Costly); VfL Osnabrück: N. Wiemann (23’, assisted by K. Faber), D. Kopacz (34’, assisted by K. Faber) and R. Meissner (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Schöppner’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: 1. FC Heidenheim 2.59, VfL Osnabrück 1.93, from 20 shots to 26 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Weisbach showed three yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Heidenheim: O. Mhamdi (54’); VfL Osnabrück: Ismail Badjie (13’) and F. Wagner (45’).

What it changes

1. FC Heidenheim are first after this result (one league match played). 1. FC Heidenheim have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Heidenheim have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Osnabrück are 17th after this result (one league match played). VfL Osnabrück have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Costly (1. FC Heidenheim) 13.1, K. Faber (VfL Osnabrück) 8.7 and D. Kopacz (VfL Osnabrück) 7.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

1. FC Heidenheim are unbeaten in the last four meetings with VfL Osnabrück, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (389 of 581).

Next up

1. FC Heidenheim next travel to Karlsruher SC on 31 October 2026.

VfL Osnabrück next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Heidenheim: Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Heidenheim, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for VfL Osnabrück: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: 1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz
Referee: E. Weisbach
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): 1. FC Heidenheim 3 · draws 1 · VfL Osnabrück 0 · 3.25 goals/game
Recent form: 1. FC Heidenheim 2W 1D 2L · VfL Osnabrück 1W 1D 3L

1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5

Corners

against 5.63 / 3.8 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4.63 / 3

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 6.6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.13 / 1.6

Cards

against 2.25 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

4.5 yellows

Referee · E. Weisbach

22.67 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	1. FC Heidenheim for / against	Line	VfL Osnabrück for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	0.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 3.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.6 for · 15.2 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 6.6 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.5 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.8 for · 14.4 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.6 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: E. Weisbach — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 22.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Heidenheim		VfL Osnabrück
53%	Possession	47%
2.59	Expected goals (xG)	1.93
20	Shots	26
6	Shots on target	6
10	Shots off target	8
4	Blocked shots	12
12	Shots inside the box	13
4	Corners	6
9	Offsides	0
6	Fouls	6
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
474	Passes	409
81%	Pass accuracy	70%

1. FC Heidenheim Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Frank Feller	97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.3
P. Mainka	97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
T. Siersleben	97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
J. Föhrenbach	97	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	6.9
M. Costly	97	1	2	2	1	5	1	0	8.2
J. Schöppner	97	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.9
M. Pieringer	97	1	0	3	1	1	0	0	7.6
A. Beck	88	0	0	3	1	2	2	0	7.2
B. Zivzivadze	88	1	0	3	1	2	0	0	7.2
O. Mhamdi	59	0	0	2	0	1	1	Y	6.2
M. Honsak	59	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	7
M. Busch sub	38	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
L. Kerber sub	31	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
P. Hennrich sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Breunig sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
C. Conteh sub	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

VfL Osnabrück Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Krumrey	97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
R. Fabinski	97	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	6.2
J. Muller	97	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Wiemann	97	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.3
B. Jacobsen	97	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.3
R. Meissner	97	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	6.3
P. Kammerbauer	89	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
F. Wagner	80	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.9
D. Kopacz	80	1	0	2	1	3	1	0	7.7
Ismail Badjie	80	0	0	4	2	0	0	Y	6.2
K. Faber	69	0	2	0	0	4	3	0	7.3
T. Lesueur sub	28	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
B. Henning sub	17	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
L. Munst sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Bernd Riesselmann sub	17	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. Opitz sub	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1. FC HeidenheimLWDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

VfL OsnabrückDLLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

1. FC Heidenheim 3 · 1 draw · VfL Osnabrück 0 · 3.25 goals/game

2021-02-20 VfL Osnabruck 1–2 FC Heidenheim
2020-10-25 FC Heidenheim 1–1 VfL Osnabruck
2019-12-22 FC Heidenheim 3–1 VfL Osnabruck
2019-07-27 VfL Osnabruck 1–3 FC Heidenheim

League standing · 2026/27

1. FC Heidenheim#6 pos15 pts9 pl0 GD

VfL Osnabrück#8 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

1. FC Heidenheim scored1.78

VfL Osnabrück scored1.56

1. FC Heidenheim conceded1.78

VfL Osnabrück conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.68 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Heidenheim and VfL Osnabrück?: In their last 4 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 3, VfL Osnabrück won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Heidenheim and VfL Osnabrück?: Recent form — 1. FC Heidenheim 2W 1D 2L; VfL Osnabrück 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 22 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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