1. FC Magdeburg v SpVgg Greuther Fürth result

Full-time · 1. FC Magdeburg 4–5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Magdeburg · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Magdeburg 4–5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — SpVgg Greuther Fürth won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 5–4 at 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 31 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Noel Futkeu (24’, assisted by B. Hrgota; 69’, assisted by P. Ziereis), F. Klaus (62’; 76’, assisted by Noel Futkeu) and M. John (90’, assisted by F. Klaus); 1. FC Magdeburg: A. Ahl-Holmström (28’, assisted by Laurin Ulrich; 64’, assisted by J. Hugonet), R. Ghrieb (83’, assisted by E. Džogović) and Noah Pesch (90’). A. Nollenberger (71’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s 10 key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noah Pesch’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: 1. FC Magdeburg 0.00, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.00, from 19 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Alt showed nine yellow cards and one red — against 5.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Magdeburg: M. Geschwill (59’), A. Nollenberger (67’), B. Atik (71’), A. Nollenberger (71’) and R. Ghrieb (84’); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: A. Keller (14’), P. Ziereis (87’), J. Dehm (90+1’) and F. Klaus (90+10’).

What it changes

1. FC Magdeburg move down from 13th to 15th (four league matches played).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move up from 13th to 10th (four league matches played).

With nine goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 4, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Klaus (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 12.6, Noel Futkeu (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 9.4 and A. Ahl-Holmström (1. FC Magdeburg) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

1. FC Magdeburg next host Karlsruher SC on 24 October 2026.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next travel to VfL Osnabrück on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Magdeburg: 1. FC Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: 1. FC Magdeburg 4–5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
Referee: P. Alt
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Magdeburg 1 · draws 4 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: 1. FC Magdeburg 3W 0D 2L · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 0D 2L

1. FC Magdeburg 4–5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38

Goals

against 2 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 8

Corners

against 4.5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 4 matches

5 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 4 matches

2.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.25 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 4 matches

5.71 yellows

Referee · P. Alt

2.57 home / 3.14 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	1. FC Magdeburg for / against	Line	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 4.5 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	8 for · 4.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 19.25 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	18.5 for · 13.25 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3.25 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 12.25 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 15.5 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2.25 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 3.75 against n 4 Last 5

Referee: P. Alt — 5.71 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 24.71 fouls over 7 matches (2.57 to the home side, 3.14 to the away side).

Home 2.57Away 3.14

1. FC Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Michel n 5	30	3.6 3/2	2.4 3/1	—
E. Džogović n 4	30	2.3 1/1	0.8 1/0	P. Ziereis
A. Nollenberger n 7	48.3	1.9 4/2	1.3 2/1	Mathias Olesen
P. Hercher n 3	16	1.9 1/0	5.6 2/1	—
M. Mathisen n 8	88.9	1.8 6/4	0.3 2/0	P. Ziereis

1. FC Magdeburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Hercher n 3	16	5.6 3/0	3.8 2/0
R. Ghrieb n 8	54.4	2.7 6/5	1.7 6/2
M. Kaars n 6	78.5	2.3 6/3	1.1 5/1
A. Ahl-Holmström n 8	53	1.7 4/2	0.4 2/0
B. Atik n 8	80.4	1.5 7/3	0.7 5/0

1. FC Magdeburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Hercher n 3	16	1.9 1/0	0 0/0
R. Ghrieb n 8	54.4	1 4/1	0.2 1/0
M. Kaars n 6	78.5	0.8 4/0	0 0/0
F. Michel n 5	30	0 0/0	0.6 1/0
L. Ulrich n 4	62	0 0/0	0.4 1/0

1. FC Magdeburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Džogović n 4	30	4.5 3/1
R. Ghrieb n 8	54.4	2.9 6/3
M. Mathisen n 8	88.9	2.3 8/5
D. Heber n 7	67.9	2.3 6/3
J. Hugonet n 8	78.9	1.9 6/5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	2.3 3/1	0.5 1/0	—
Mathias Olesen n 8	68.9	1.8 5/4	0.7 4/0	A. Nollenberger
N. Futkeu n 3	85	1.4 3/1	1.1 2/1	—
F. Klaus n 8	68.3	1.3 5/2	2.1 5/3	—
P. Ziereis n 8	74.4	1.2 7/1	0.6 3/1	M. Mathisen

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Higl n 4	28.3	4.8 2/2	3.2 2/2
O. Sillah n 3	14.7	4.1 1/1	0 0/0
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	2.7 4/2	1.4 3/0
F. Klaus n 8	68.3	2.6 7/5	1 3/2
J. Green n 5	82	2.4 4/3	1.5 4/2

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	0.9 2/0	0.5 1/0
N. Futkeu n 3	85	0.7 1/1	0.4 1/0
F. Higl n 4	28.3	0.8 1/0	0 0/0
J. Consbruch n 6	25.8	0 0/0	0.6 1/0
F. Klaus n 8	68.3	0.5 3/0	0 0/0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	2.3 3/2
P. Ziereis n 8	74.4	2.1 6/5
B. Bjarnason n 8	83.9	2 7/5
M. Dietz n 5	91	1.6 5/3
F. Higl n 4	28.3	1.6 2/0

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Magdeburg		SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%	Possession	47%
19	Shots	13
7	Shots on target	7
4	Shots off target	2
8	Blocked shots	4
13	Shots inside the box	10
2	Corners	3
2	Offsides	0
16	Fouls	10
5	Yellow cards	4
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
452	Passes	399
84%	Pass accuracy	79%

1. FC Magdeburg player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Reimann	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
J. Hugonet	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
M. Mathisen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Ghrieb	90	1	0	5	3	0	0	Y	8.3
A. Ahl-Holmström	90	2	0	2	2	0	0	0	9.2
E. Džogović	89	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	5.9
L. Ulrich	89	0	1	1	1	5	0	0	7.2
M. Geschwill	82	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.7
L. Hyryläinen	82	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.9
B. Atik	82	0	0	0	0	3	1	Y	6.3
A. Nollenberger	71	0	0	1	0	0	0	RY	5.7
A. Hoti sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
F. Michel sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
P. Hercher sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Dariusz Stalmach sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Noah Pesch sub	8	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3

SpVgg Greuther Fürth player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Boevink	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.2
P. Ziereis	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	Y	6.5
B. Bjarnason	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	5.9
G. Itter	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.3
Mathias Olesen	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
F. Klaus	90	2	1	3	2	3	3	Y	9.5
B. Hrgota	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
J. Dehm	89	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
A. Keller	82	0	0	1	1	2	5	Y	6.9
N. Futkeu	82	2	0	2	2	0	1	0	8.5
S. Banse	62	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
J. Green sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
N. König sub	11	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.5
M. John sub	8	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
F. Higl sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Magdeburg v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1. FC MagdeburgWLWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

SpVgg Greuther FürthWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

1. FC Magdeburg 1 · 4 draws · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-03-08 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg
2024-10-06 1. FC Magdeburg 2–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2024-05-10 FC Magdeburg 0–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2023-12-09 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–1 FC Magdeburg
2023-03-18 SpVgg Greuther Furth 3–0 FC Magdeburg
2022-09-11 FC Magdeburg 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth

League standing · 2025/26

1. FC Magdeburg#14 pos39 pts34 pl-6 GD

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#16 pos37 pts34 pl-19 GD

Goals per game

1. FC Magdeburg scored1.53

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.44

1. FC Magdeburg conceded1.71

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded2

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Magdeburg v SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Magdeburg v SpVgg Greuther Fürth was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Magdeburg and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Magdeburg and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: Recent form — 1. FC Magdeburg 3W 0D 2L; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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