VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction

2. Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 2. Bundesliga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

VfL Osnabrück host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

VfL Osnabrück have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. VfL Osnabrück are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SpVgg Greuther Fürth, every meeting checked. VfL Osnabrück are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of VfL Osnabrück’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of VfL Osnabrück’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, VfL Osnabrück have two wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 2.67. VfL Osnabrück have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Osnabrück (11th) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SpVgg Greuther Fürth the stronger side, 122 rating points above VfL Osnabrück (SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1556, VfL Osnabrück 1434, after at least 111 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 April 2024, finished VfL Osnabruck 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth.

Team news

Predicted VfL Osnabrück XI (3-4-2-1): J. Krumrey, N. Wiemann, R. Fabinski, J. Muller, B. Jacobsen, P. Kammerbauer, F. Wagner, J. Gómez, D. Kyereh, L. Flach, R. Meissner — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Beck (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two assists) and R. Fabinski (4.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been VfL Osnabrück’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Osnabrück (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Beck averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 761 minutes, with a shot in five of the last nine appearances. R. Fabinski averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 817 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted SpVgg Greuther Fürth XI (4-4-2): F. Hellstern, J. Heuer, G. Itter, K. Keresztes, J. Dehm, P. Will, S. Banse, O. Pohlmann, S. Appelkamp, F. Klaus, D. Srbeny — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Klaus (6.0 per match over nine appearances, seven goals and one assist) and G. Itter (3.9 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Klaus averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 794 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. G. Itter averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 704 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfL Osnabrück 2 · draws 2 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfL Osnabrück 1W 2D 2L · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L

VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 7.13
Corners
against 7.5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVfL Osnabrück for / againstLineSpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.25 for · 7.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 18.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Opitz n 812
3.83/1
00/0
—
L. Raimund n 811.4
33/0
11/0
—
J. Abu Hanna n 843.3
2.14/2
13/1
—
L. Munst n 842.3
2.16/2
2.46/2
—
Bernd Riesselmann n 827.8
25/0
00/0
—
VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bernd Riesselmann n 827.8
2.84/1
1.22/1
R. Meissner n 885.8
2.68/7
1.46/4
D. Kopacz n 371.7
2.12/2
1.32/1
Ismail Badjie n 760.3
2.17/1
1.14/1
D. Kyereh n 830.6
1.83/1
0.71/1
VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Faber n 829.4
00/0
1.12/1
D. Kopacz n 371.7
0.41/0
0.41/0
R. Meissner n 885.8
0.43/0
00/0
D. Kyereh n 830.6
0.41/0
00/0
A. Beck n 884.1
00/0
0.32/0
VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Fabinski n 890
3.27/7
L. Flach n 850.9
2.95/5
N. Wiemann n 890
2.58/6
F. Wagner n 872.4
2.37/5
B. Henning n 640
2.33/2
VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 890
3.55/5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Keller n 814.4
3.13/1
00/0
—
M. Wallentowitz n 819.4
2.93/2
00/0
—
J. Siebatcheu n 833.3
2.44/2
24/2
—
D. Arifi n 819
2.44/0
00/0
—
O. Sillah n 843.3
1.64/2
13/1
—
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Sillah n 843.3
3.65/4
1.84/3
F. Klaus n 889.8
2.88/7
27/4
M. Wallentowitz n 819.4
1.73/0
0.61/0
S. Banse n 876.5
1.55/2
0.32/0
Ole Pohlmann n 882.5
1.43/3
0.52/1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Klaus n 889.8
0.83/3
0.11/0
O. Sillah n 843.3
0.52/0
0.31/0
A. Keller n 814.4
00/0
0.81/0
M. Wallentowitz n 819.4
00/0
0.61/0
D. Srbeny n 847
00/0
0.52/0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Arifi n 819
4.15/2
A. Keller n 814.4
3.95/0
M. Wallentowitz n 819.4
3.54/2
S. Banse n 876.5
3.47/7
Lukas Reich n 850.6
2.96/4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Florian Hellstern n 890
47/7

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfL OsnabrückWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SpVgg Greuther FürthLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfL Osnabrück 2 · 2 draws · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2024-04-07 VfL Osnabruck 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 2023-10-27 SpVgg Greuther Furth 4–0 VfL Osnabruck
  • 2021-01-26 VfL Osnabruck 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 2020-09-20 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–1 VfL Osnabruck
  • 2020-05-26 SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–2 VfL Osnabruck
  • 2019-10-27 VfL Osnabruck 0–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth
League standing · 2026/27
VfL Osnabrück#11 pos8 pts7 pl-3 GD
SpVgg Greuther Fürth#9 pos9 pts8 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
VfL Osnabrück scored1.43
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.5
VfL Osnabrück conceded1.86
SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded1.63

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between VfL Osnabrück and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
In their last 6 meetings, VfL Osnabrück won 2, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Osnabrück and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Recent form — VfL Osnabrück 1W 2D 2L; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →