Dynamo Dresden v VfL Wolfsburg prediction

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 16 Jan 2027 12:30 GMT · Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · VfL Wolfsburg

TACTIX’s free model pick for Dynamo Dresden v VfL Wolfsburg, 2. Bundesliga on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 12:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Dynamo Dresden host VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 12:30 UK).

The key numbers

VfL Wolfsburg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Dynamo Dresden’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Dynamo Dresden’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Dynamo Dresden have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. Dynamo Dresden have scored 15 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Dynamo Dresden have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, VfL Wolfsburg have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00. VfL Wolfsburg have scored 26 goals, the most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Dynamo Dresden (14th) and VfL Wolfsburg (fourth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have VfL Wolfsburg the stronger side, 204 rating points above Dynamo Dresden (VfL Wolfsburg 1696, Dynamo Dresden 1492, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Dynamo Dresden XI (4-2-3-1): L. Grill, J. Sterner, N. Rapp, S. Straudi, F. Muller, R. Wagner, T. Raschl, P. Čović, N. Hauptmann, B. Bobzien, V. Vermeij — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Bobzien (5.3 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and four assists) and N. Hauptmann (4.4 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Dynamo Dresden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dynamo Dresden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Bobzien averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1068 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. N. Hauptmann averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 998 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted VfL Wolfsburg XI (4-3-3): T. Wellenreuther, J. Mæhle, H. Wahl, S. Kumbedi, Cleiton, V. Souza, M. Damar, M. Arnold, R. Glatzel, A. Bernhardsson, F. Reese — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Reese (6.9 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and seven assists) and A. Bernhardsson (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been VfL Wolfsburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Wolfsburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Reese averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1105 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. A. Bernhardsson averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1607 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 16 Jan 2027 12:30 GMT · 2. Bundesliga · Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion
Recent form: Dynamo Dresden 3W 0D 2L · VfL Wolfsburg 2W 1D 2L

Dynamo Dresden v VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 5.88

Corners

against 4.38 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.63

Cards

against 2.75 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Dynamo Dresden for / against	Line	VfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.63 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden Goalkeeper

Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Schreiber	7	90630 min	253.6 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90
L. Grill	6	90540 min	223.7 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90

Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Schreiber n 8	90	3.4 6/5
L. Grill n 8	90	3.2 6/6

Dynamo Dresden Defensive

Dynamo Dresden — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Sterner	13	77995 min	171.5 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90	353.2 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
N. Rapp	12	78938 min	141.3 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90	353.4 /90	111.1 /90	30.3 /90
F. Muller	11	78858 min	121.3 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	404.2 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
A. Rossipal	9	81726 min	151.9 /90	121.5 /90	40.5 /90	324 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
Simon Straudi	8	74588 min	101.5 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90	203.1 /90	71.1 /90	30.5 /90
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Dynamo Dresden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	1.5 5/4	0.5 4/0	—
B. Bobzien n 8	79.6	0.7 4/1	3 8/7	—
N. Hauptmann n 8	75.5	0.9 5/1	1 5/2	—
J. Sterner n 8	75.1	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0	—
V. Vermeij n 8	72.3	0.9 4/2	0.6 4/0	—
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Dynamo Dresden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	1.3 7/1
B. Bobzien n 8	79.6	0.8 5/1
N. Hauptmann n 8	75.5	1.9 5/4
J. Sterner n 8	75.1	1.2 6/2
V. Vermeij n 8	72.3	1.2 4/2
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Dynamo Dresden Attacking

Dynamo Dresden — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
V. Vermeij	13	75976 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	191.8 /90	40.4 /90	80.7 /90	40.4 /90
K. Inanoglu	6	46276 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90
C. Daferner	5	30148 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.6 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
R. Wagner	13	871125 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	70.6 /90	30.2 /90	40.3 /90	30.2 /90
B. Bobzien	13	821068 min	30.3 /90	40.3 /90	151.3 /90	80.7 /90	252.1 /90	363 /90
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Dynamo Dresden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0
B. Bobzien n 8	79.6	1 5/2	0.4 3/0
N. Hauptmann n 8	75.5	1.2 4/2	0.6 3/1
J. Sterner n 8	75.1	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
V. Vermeij n 8	72.3	1.4 6/2	0.3 2/0
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Dynamo Dresden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Bobzien n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
N. Hauptmann n 8	75.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. Sterner n 8	75.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
V. Vermeij n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Zieliński	7	91635 min	223.1 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
T. Wellenreuther	5	90450 min	193.8 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Zieliński n 7	90.7	3.1 7/5
T. Wellenreuther n 5	90	3.8 4/4

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Wahl	12	901085 min	131.1 /90	231.9 /90	60.5 /90	363 /90	80.7 /90	20.2 /90
J. Mæhle	11	90989 min	201.8 /90	151.4 /90	40.4 /90	464.2 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
S. Kumbedi	8	90718 min	131.6 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90	374.6 /90	111.4 /90	30.4 /90
Cleiton	7	77537 min	61 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	305 /90	122 /90	10.2 /90
K. Fischer	5	91455 min	142.8 /90	71.4 /90	20.4 /90	275.3 /90	142.8 /90	00 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.9 5/2	—
F. Reese n 8	79	1.1 4/3	0.6 4/0	—
Vinicius Souza n 8	80.4	1.5 7/2	0.8 3/2	—
M. Damar n 8	81.6	1.1 7/1	1 6/1	—
J. Mæhle n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.6 4/1	—
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Wahl n 8	90	1 5/3
F. Reese n 8	79	1.3 5/4
Vinicius Souza n 8	80.4	2.7 8/5
M. Damar n 8	81.6	1.4 6/3
J. Mæhle n 8	90	1.4 5/4
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Reese	12	82985 min	50.5 /90	60.5 /90	403.7 /90	121.1 /90	312.8 /90	181.6 /90
A. Bernhardsson	10	79790 min	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	161.8 /90	80.9 /90	293.3 /90	121.4 /90
R. Glatzel	10	65648 min	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	192.6 /90	101.4 /90	101.4 /90	71 /90
K. Shiogai	9	41370 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	122.9 /90	61.5 /90	30.7 /90	61.5 /90
A. Besio	4	2288 min	22 /90	00 /90	55.1 /90	33.1 /90	44.1 /90	33.1 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
F. Reese n 8	79	3.7 6/6	1.1 5/3
Vinicius Souza n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Damar n 8	81.6	3 8/6	1.8 5/3
J. Mæhle n 8	90	1 3/2	0.1 1/0
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
F. Reese n 8	79	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/1
Vinicius Souza n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Damar n 8	81.6	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
J. Mæhle n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dynamo Dresden v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Dynamo DresdenWLWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

VfL WolfsburgWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Dynamo Dresden#14 pos11 pts11 pl-5 GD

VfL Wolfsburg#4 pos19 pts11 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Dynamo Dresden scored1.36

VfL Wolfsburg scored2.36

Dynamo Dresden conceded1.82

VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.45

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