FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg prediction

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · Millerntor-Stadion

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC St. Pauli · 1. FC Nürnberg · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, 2. Bundesliga on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC St. Pauli host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is FC St. Pauli or 1. FC Nürnberg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. 1. FC Nürnberg are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. FC St. Pauli are unbeaten in the last six meetings with 1. FC Nürnberg, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of FC St. Pauli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC St. Pauli’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC St. Pauli have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. FC St. Pauli have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC St. Pauli have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nine of 1. FC Nürnberg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of 1. FC Nürnberg’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, 1. FC Nürnberg have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.88. 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FC St. Pauli (seventh) and 1. FC Nürnberg (second) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have 1. FC Nürnberg the stronger side, 59 rating points above FC St. Pauli (1. FC Nürnberg 1658, FC St. Pauli 1599, after at least 247 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 March 2024, finished FC Nurnberg 0–2 FC St. Pauli.

Team news

Predicted FC St. Pauli XI (4-1-3-2): B. Voll, D. Nemeth, L. Ritzka, T. Ando, M. Mathisen, J. Fujita, M. Rasmussen, L. Oppie, E. Smith, A. Ceesay, C. Metcalfe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Mathisen (5.7 per match over five appearances, one goal) and D. Nemeth (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been FC St. Pauli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC St. Pauli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Mathisen averages 4.3 tackles per 90 over 415 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances. D. Nemeth averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted 1. FC Nürnberg XI (4-2-3-1): J. Reichert, A. Kalogeropoulos, T. Janisch, F. Otto, E. Porstner, A. Marhiev, J. Fernandez, J. Justvan, R. Lubach, M. Zoma, P. Scobel — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Marhiev (6.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) and M. Zoma (6.1 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) have been 1. FC Nürnberg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Nürnberg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Marhiev averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1481 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. M. Zoma averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · 2. Bundesliga · Millerntor-Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC St. Pauli 5 · draws 1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 0 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: FC St. Pauli 2W 3D 0L · 1. FC Nürnberg 1W 2D 2L

FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2

Goals

against 1 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.75 / 6.25

Corners

against 5.25 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 6

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC St. Pauli for / against	Line	1. FC Nürnberg for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Voll	10	90900 min	323.2 /90	101 /90	00 /90

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Voll n 8	90	2.8 6/4

FC St. Pauli Defensive

FC St. Pauli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Nemeth	10	90900 min	252.5 /90	70.7 /90	60.6 /90	727.2 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
T. Ando	6	79471 min	51 /90	81.5 /90	10.2 /90	254.8 /90	81.5 /90	20.4 /90
M. Mathisen	5	83415 min	204.3 /90	81.7 /90	40.9 /90	378 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
L. Ritzka	5	78390 min	71.6 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90	163.7 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
A. Dźwigała	2	3468 min	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	22.6 /90	22.6 /90	11.3 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Nemeth n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.8 4/2	—
B. Voll n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Oppie n 8	88.4	0.9 4/3	0.8 6/0	—
A. Pyrka n 8	84.4	1.3 8/2	1.7 5/4	—
M. Rasmussen n 8	73.6	0.9 4/2	2.1 6/5	—
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FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 8	90	2.8 6/6
L. Oppie n 8	88.4	1.3 5/3
A. Pyrka n 8	84.4	1.9 7/5
M. Rasmussen n 8	73.6	2.3 6/6
M. Kaars n 8	40.6	0.3 1/0
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FC St. Pauli Attacking

FC St. Pauli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Kaars	10	50500 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	122.2 /90	81.4 /90	61.1 /90	30.5 /90
C. Metcalfe	7	73511 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	132.3 /90	61.1 /90	122.1 /90	61.1 /90
Abdoulie Ceesay	7	61429 min	40.8 /90	00 /90	122.5 /90	61.3 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90
T. Hara	7	57400 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90
B. Hrgota	5	79395 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.6 /90	51.1 /90	81.8 /90	92.1 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
B. Voll n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Oppie n 8	88.4	1 4/3	0.1 1/0
A. Pyrka n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
M. Rasmussen n 8	73.6	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
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FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Voll n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Oppie n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Pyrka n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Rasmussen n 8	73.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg Goalkeeper

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Reichert	10	90900 min	343.4 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 8	90	3.6 6/6

1. FC Nürnberg Defensive

1. FC Nürnberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Kalogeropoulos	10	88876 min	151.5 /90	181.8 /90	90.9 /90	454.6 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
E. Porstner	10	81807 min	171.9 /90	50.6 /90	40.4 /90	364 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
T. Janisch	10	77768 min	80.9 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	333.9 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
F. Otto	9	83746 min	60.7 /90	161.9 /90	50.6 /90	354.2 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
G. Masouras	5	24118 min	53.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	107.6 /90	10.8 /90	21.5 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Marhiev n 8	90	2.1 8/4	2.6 8/8	—
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Fernandez n 8	89.6	1.9 7/6	0.8 4/2	—
A. Kalogeropoulos n 8	87	0.6 4/1	1 5/3	—
E. Porstner n 8	81.4	0.6 4/0	1 3/1	—
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1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	2.3 7/6
J. Fernandez n 8	89.6	1.6 6/4
A. Kalogeropoulos n 8	87	1.8 7/5
E. Porstner n 8	81.4	1.9 7/6
P. Scobel n 8	77	0.3 2/0
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1. FC Nürnberg Attacking

1. FC Nürnberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Scobel	10	79789 min	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	354 /90	171.9 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
W. Bøving	6	41245 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90
S. Haugen	3	3398 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	32.8 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Marhiev	10	90900 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	161.6 /90	60.6 /90	151.5 /90	111.1 /90
J. Fernandez	10	88884 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	121.2 /90	40.4 /90	101 /90	111.1 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	1.9 8/4	0.8 5/1
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fernandez n 8	89.6	1 5/3	0.1 1/0
A. Kalogeropoulos n 8	87	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
E. Porstner n 8	81.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fernandez n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
A. Kalogeropoulos n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Porstner n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC St. PauliWDWDD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

1. FC NürnbergWDDLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC St. Pauli 5 · 1 draw · 1. FC Nürnberg 0 · 3.5 goals/game

2024-03-16 FC Nurnberg 0–2 FC St. Pauli
2023-10-07 FC St. Pauli 5–1 FC Nurnberg
2023-01-29 FC Nurnberg 0–1 FC St. Pauli
2022-07-16 FC St. Pauli 3–2 FC Nurnberg
2022-04-29 FC St. Pauli 1–1 FC Nurnberg
2021-11-28 FC Nurnberg 2–3 FC St. Pauli

League standing · 2026/27

FC St. Pauli#7 pos12 pts9 pl+2 GD

1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts9 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

FC St. Pauli scored1.22

1. FC Nürnberg scored2.33

FC St. Pauli conceded1

1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.33

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Nürnberg?: In their last 6 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 5, 1. FC Nürnberg won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Nürnberg?: Recent form — FC St. Pauli 2W 3D 0L; 1. FC Nürnberg 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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