FC St. PauliHertha BSC

FC St. Pauli v Hertha BSC prediction

2. Bundesliga · · Millerntor-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Pauli v Hertha BSC, 2. Bundesliga on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 12:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC St. Pauli host Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 12:30 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of FC St. Pauli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC St. Pauli’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC St. Pauli have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. FC St. Pauli have scored 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). FC St. Pauli have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

10 of Hertha BSC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Hertha BSC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Hertha BSC have six wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.22 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.33. Hertha BSC have scored 25 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hertha BSC have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

FC St. Pauli are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions. FC St. Pauli (eighth) and Hertha BSC (first) are 19 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hertha BSC the stronger side, 358 rating points above FC St. Pauli (Hertha BSC 1873, FC St. Pauli 1515, after at least 113 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 March 2024, finished FC St. Pauli 2–0 Hertha Berlin.

Team news

Predicted FC St. Pauli XI (3-4-1-2): B. Voll, D. Nemeth, L. Ritzka, E. Smith, J. Fujita, M. Rasmussen, L. Oppie, A. Pyrka, S. Klein, A. Ceesay, C. Metcalfe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Mathisen (5.7 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Abdoulie Ceesay (4.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals) have been FC St. Pauli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC St. Pauli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Mathisen averages 4.3 tackles per 90 over 415 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances. Abdoulie Ceesay averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 519 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Hertha BSC XI (4-2-3-1): M. Gersbeck, N. Kolbe, L. Gechter, M. Pedersen, J. Eitschberger, J. Brekalo, K. Sessa, P. Seguin, J. Þórsteinsson, O. Adewumi, S. Grønning — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Brekalo (6.1 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and five assists) and Oluwaseun Adewumi (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Hertha BSC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hertha BSC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Brekalo averages 3.7 key passes per 90 over 1188 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Oluwaseun Adewumi averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 713 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga · Millerntor-Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 2): FC St. Pauli 2 · draws 0 · Hertha BSC 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC St. Pauli 1W 3D 1L · Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L

FC St. Pauli v Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC St. Pauli for / againstLineHertha BSC for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
20.13 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Voll1190990 min363.3 /90100.9 /9000 /90
FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Voll n 890
2.56/4

FC St. Pauli Defensive

FC St. Pauli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Nemeth1190990 min282.5 /90100.9 /9060.5 /90797.2 /9080.7 /9030.3 /90
L. Ritzka679471 min81.5 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90203.8 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
T. Ando679471 min51 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90254.8 /9081.5 /9020.4 /90
M. Mathisen583415 min204.3 /9081.7 /9040.9 /90378 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
A. Dźwigała23468 min11.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9022.6 /9022.6 /9011.3 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Nemeth n 890
0.64/1
0.64/1
—
B. Voll n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Oppie n 890
0.94/3
0.86/0
—
A. Pyrka n 884.4
1.17/1
1.75/4
—
M. Rasmussen n 872.8
0.63/1
2.26/5
—
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FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 890
3.17/7
L. Oppie n 890
1.46/3
A. Pyrka n 884.4
2.38/6
M. Rasmussen n 872.8
25/5
M. Kaars n 833.4
0.31/0
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FC St. Pauli Attacking

FC St. Pauli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Kaars1147519 min20.3 /9000 /90132.3 /9081.4 /9061 /9030.5 /90
Abdoulie Ceesay865519 min50.9 /9000 /90162.8 /9091.6 /9050.9 /9071.2 /90
T. Hara757400 min20.5 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
B. Hrgota678466 min00 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9051 /90122.3 /9091.7 /90
Youssoupha Niang559296 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 890
0.52/2
00/0
B. Voll n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Oppie n 890
1.35/4
0.11/0
A. Pyrka n 884.4
0.42/1
0.42/1
M. Rasmussen n 872.8
0.94/2
00/0
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FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Voll n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Oppie n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. Pyrka n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
M. Rasmussen n 872.8
00/0
00/0
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Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC Goalkeeper

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Gersbeck12901083 min363 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Gersbeck n 890
2.85/4

Hertha BSC Defensive

Hertha BSC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Gechter12901083 min201.7 /90242 /9050.4 /90685.7 /90171.4 /9040.3 /90
N. Kolbe12901083 min191.6 /90161.3 /9050.4 /90726 /9060.5 /9000 /90
J. Eitschberger1180878 min282.9 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90616.3 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90
M. Pedersen1075753 min121.4 /9070.8 /9030.4 /90222.6 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
D. Zeefuik861486 min152.8 /90101.9 /9010.2 /90407.4 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90
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Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Gechter n 890
1.47/3
16/2
—
N. Kolbe n 890
0.64/1
1.66/5
—
M. Gersbeck n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Brekalo n 889
0.96/1
1.15/3
—
K. Sessa n 886.4
1.46/2
0.85/1
—
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Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Kolbe n 890
1.87/4
L. Gechter n 890
1.47/3
J. Brekalo n 889
0.54/0
K. Sessa n 886.4
2.68/6
P. Seguin n 886.5
0.53/1
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Hertha BSC Attacking

Hertha BSC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Grønning1166729 min40.5 /9010.1 /90222.7 /9091.1 /9060.7 /9000 /90
L. Schuler730207 min00 /9010.4 /9073 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht433130 min00 /9010.7 /9064.2 /9010.7 /9064.2 /9021.4 /90
G. Nilsson431123 min00 /9000 /9096.6 /9053.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
M. Winkler285170 min10.5 /9021.1 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9052.6 /9031.6 /90
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Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Gechter n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
N. Kolbe n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Gersbeck n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brekalo n 889
1.66/4
0.64/1
K. Sessa n 886.4
2.27/6
0.75/0
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Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Gersbeck n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Kolbe n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Gechter n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brekalo n 889
0.43/0
0.42/1
K. Sessa n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v Hertha BSC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC St. PauliDWDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Hertha BSCDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
FC St. Pauli 2 · 0 draws · Hertha BSC 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2024-03-10 FC St. Pauli 2–0 Hertha Berlin
  • 2023-09-30 Hertha Berlin 1–2 FC St. Pauli
League standing · 2026/27
FC St. Pauli#8 pos12 pts10 pl0 GD
Hertha BSC#1 pos31 pts11 pl+16 GD
Goals per game
FC St. Pauli scored1.2
Hertha BSC scored2.27
FC St. Pauli conceded1.2
Hertha BSC conceded0.82

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and Hertha BSC?
In their last 2 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 2, Hertha BSC won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and Hertha BSC?
Recent form — FC St. Pauli 1W 3D 1L; Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L.

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