Fortuna Düsseldorf v Dynamo Dresden result

Full-time · Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fortuna Düsseldorf · Dynamo Dresden · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Dynamo Dresden — Fortuna Düsseldorf won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Dynamo Dresden 3–1 in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 24 April. Dynamo Dresden are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Fortuna Düsseldorf, every meeting checked.

The goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Fortuna Düsseldorf: Cedric Itten (11’, assisted by Florian Kastenmeier), E. Iyoha (17’, assisted by S. Appelkamp) and L. Raimund (58’, assisted by Cedric Itten); Dynamo Dresden: J. Lemmer (90’, assisted by B. Bobzien).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Iyoha’s goal on 17 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.15, Dynamo Dresden 1.29, from 9 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Bauer showed no yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Fortuna Düsseldorf move up from 15th to 13th (31 league matches played). Fortuna Düsseldorf have scored 33 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fortuna Düsseldorf have conceded 53 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Dynamo Dresden stay 11th after this result (31 league matches played). Dynamo Dresden have scored 54 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Dynamo Dresden have conceded 53 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cedric Itten (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 11.0, B. Bobzien (Dynamo Dresden) 5.7 and Florian Kastenmeier (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Dynamo Dresden, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (971 of 1426).

Next up

Dynamo Dresden next travel to Hannover 96 on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dynamo Dresden: Hannover 96 v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
  • Referee: T. Bauer
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 · draws 1 · Dynamo Dresden 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fortuna Düsseldorf 0W 0D 5L · Dynamo Dresden 3W 0D 2L

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.13
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7 / 4
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · T. Bauer
23.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFortuna Düsseldorf for / againstLineDynamo Dresden for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: T. Bauer — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf Defensive

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kastenmeier n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Oberdorf n 890
0.43/0
0.94/2
—
A. El Azzouzi n 889.3
1.66/5
1.37/3
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
F. Muslija n 884.4
0.85/1
1.26/3
—
C. Itten n 886
1.78/4
1.46/4
—
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Fortuna Düsseldorf — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kastenmeier n 890
00/0
T. Oberdorf n 890
2.16/6
A. El Azzouzi n 889.3
2.46/4
F. Muslija n 884.4
1.24/3
C. Itten n 886
0.85/1
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Fortuna Düsseldorf Attacking

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kastenmeier n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Oberdorf n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
A. El Azzouzi n 889.3
0.64/1
0.32/0
F. Muslija n 884.4
1.14/3
0.43/0
C. Itten n 886
2.47/6
1.35/4
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Fortuna Düsseldorf — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kastenmeier n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Oberdorf n 890
00/0
00/0
A. El Azzouzi n 889.3
00/0
00/0
F. Muslija n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Itten n 886
0.43/0
00/0
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Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden Goalkeeper

Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Schreiber24902160 min702.9 /90381.6 /9000 /90
Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Schreiber n 890
3.28/5

Dynamo Dresden Defensive

Dynamo Dresden — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Rossipal23882019 min442 /90241.1 /9070.3 /90994.4 /90200.9 /9030.1 /90
L. Boeder21721505 min181.1 /90110.7 /9060.4 /90573.4 /9080.5 /9030.2 /90
Julian Andreas Pauli20851709 min321.7 /90271.4 /90150.8 /90703.7 /90170.9 /9030.2 /90
J. Sterner13871129 min231.8 /90100.8 /9020.2 /90504 /90141.1 /9020.2 /90
T. Keller1088880 min90.9 /9070.7 /9090.9 /90394 /90141.4 /9020.2 /90
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Dynamo Dresden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kofi Jeremy Amoako n 879.1
1.36/3
0.94/2
A. El Azzouzi
N. Hauptmann n 873.9
1.26/1
27/5
—
J. Lemmer n 831.4
1.42/1
1.11/1
—
T. Schreiber n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
C. Daferner n 833.4
1.34/0
0.31/0
—
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Dynamo Dresden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kofi Jeremy Amoako n 879.1
2.87/5
N. Hauptmann n 873.9
1.75/4
J. Lemmer n 831.4
1.13/0
C. Daferner n 833.4
00/0
A. Rossipal n 886.8
2.17/5
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Dynamo Dresden Attacking

Dynamo Dresden — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Daferner24471131 min70.6 /9010.1 /90302.4 /90161.3 /9050.4 /9030.2 /90
V. Vermeij20671346 min80.5 /9020.1 /90211.4 /90140.9 /90151 /9060.4 /90
Kofi Jeremy Amoako29702028 min10 /9000 /90170.8 /9080.4 /90210.9 /90100.4 /90
N. Hauptmann28722009 min50.2 /9050.2 /90261.2 /90130.6 /90261.2 /90210.9 /90
L. Herrmann23441006 min10.1 /9010.1 /90111 /9040.4 /90181.6 /9040.4 /90
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Dynamo Dresden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kofi Jeremy Amoako n 879.1
0.64/0
0.43/0
N. Hauptmann n 873.9
1.15/2
0.83/2
J. Lemmer n 831.4
1.84/1
0.72/0
T. Schreiber n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Daferner n 833.4
25/1
13/0
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Dynamo Dresden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kofi Jeremy Amoako n 879.1
00/0
00/0
N. Hauptmann n 873.9
0.62/2
0.52/1
J. Lemmer n 831.4
00/0
0.41/0
T. Schreiber n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Daferner n 833.4
0.72/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fortuna DüsseldorfDynamo Dresden
34%Possession66%
1.15Expected goals (xG)1.29
9Shots17
6Shots on target5
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots8
6Shots inside the box12
3Corners6
0Offsides4
11Fouls6
4Saves3
280Passes549
65%Pass accuracy82%

Fortuna Düsseldorf Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Kastenmeier9001002007
T. Oberdorf9000000407
E. Egouli9000000106.7
A. El Azzouzi9000001206.3
S. Alexandropoulos9000100306.7
S. Appelkamp9001111106.7
M. Ljubičić9000000006.3
C. Itten9011331208.5
E. Iyoha7310111007.9
M. Zimmermann6400100407.3
C. Lenz4400001006.9
L. Raimund sub4610110207.5
J. Daland sub2600000206.9
J. Hettwer sub1700000106.7

Dynamo Dresden Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Schreiber9000000006.5
J. Sterner9000000206.5
Julian Andreas Pauli9000001106.5
T. Keller9000000106.3
R. Wagner9000221306.3
B. Bobzien9001212106.5
V. Vermeij7800100006.5
A. Rossipal7300002005.9
N. Hauptmann7300000006.2
Kofi Jeremy Amoako6200000106.6
J. Çeka6200101306.7
L. Herrmann sub2800000206.7
J. Lemmer sub2810111007.3
K. Faber sub1700002007
S. Kutschke sub1700111006.3
C. Daferner sub1200100006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fortuna Düsseldorf v Dynamo Dresden — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fortuna DüsseldorfLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Dynamo DresdenWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 · 1 draw · Dynamo Dresden 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-30 Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
  • 2024-08-18 Dynamo Dresden 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
  • 2022-04-22 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2–2 Dynamo Dresden
  • 2021-11-21 Dynamo Dresden 1–0 Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • 2018-04-28 Dynamo Dresden 1–2 Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • 2017-11-27 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–3 Dynamo Dresden
League standing · 2025/26
Fortuna Düsseldorf#17 pos37 pts34 pl-20 GD
Dynamo Dresden#11 pos41 pts34 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Fortuna Düsseldorf scored0.97
Dynamo Dresden scored1.59
Fortuna Düsseldorf conceded1.56
Dynamo Dresden conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fortuna Düsseldorf v Dynamo Dresden?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fortuna Düsseldorf v Dynamo Dresden was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and Dynamo Dresden?
In their last 6 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 1, Dynamo Dresden won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Düsseldorf and Dynamo Dresden?
Recent form — Fortuna Düsseldorf 0W 0D 5L; Dynamo Dresden 3W 0D 2L.

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