Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel result

Full-time · Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga · Fri, 10 Apr 2026 17:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fortuna Düsseldorf · Holstein Kiel · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel — Holstein Kiel won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick

Both teams to score: Yes

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: 4 of 6 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Holstein Kiel won 2–1 at Fortuna Düsseldorf in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 10 April. Holstein Kiel are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Fortuna Düsseldorf, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Holstein Kiel: P. Harres (50’, assisted by A. Kaprálik) and I. Nekić (79’, assisted by Umut Tohumcu); Fortuna Düsseldorf: Cedric Itten (71’, assisted by Satoshi Tanaka).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with I. Nekić’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.10, Holstein Kiel 1.42, from 14 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Jollenbeck showed six yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Fortuna Düsseldorf: F. Muslija (26’) and M. Heyer (90+1’); Holstein Kiel: J. Meffert (10’), Umut Tohumcu (24’), S. Skrzybski (44’) and A. Kaprálik (90+1’).

What it changes

Fortuna Düsseldorf move down from 12th to 13th (29 league matches played). Fortuna Düsseldorf have scored 33 goals, the second-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Fortuna Düsseldorf have conceded 53 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Holstein Kiel move up from 16th to 11th (29 league matches played). Holstein Kiel have scored 44 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Holstein Kiel have conceded 48 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs.

Fortuna Düsseldorf have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Holstein Kiel are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Satoshi Tanaka (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 6.9, I. Nekić (Holstein Kiel) 6.5 and Cedric Itten (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Holstein Kiel next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Holstein Kiel: VfL Wolfsburg v Holstein Kiel, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga
Referee: M. Jollenbeck
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 · draws 1 · Holstein Kiel 3 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Fortuna Düsseldorf 2W 0D 3L · Holstein Kiel 1W 2D 2L

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 6

Corners

against 3.63 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 3.38

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 3.5

Cards

against 1.88 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Fortuna Düsseldorf for / against	Line	Holstein Kiel for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.75 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	16.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Jollenbeck.

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf Defensive

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Muslija n 8	87.5	0.8 5/1	1.3 7/3	P. Harres
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/3	J. Tolkin
A. El Azzouzi n 8	88.9	1.9 6/5	1.3 6/3	P. Harres
C. Itten n 8	85	1.5 7/3	1.9 8/5	—
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Fortuna Düsseldorf — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Muslija n 8	87.5	1 4/2
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	2.4 7/6
A. El Azzouzi n 8	88.9	2 6/5
C. Itten n 8	85	0.5 3/1
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Fortuna Düsseldorf Attacking

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Muslija n 8	87.5	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.4 3/0
A. El Azzouzi n 8	88.9	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
C. Itten n 8	85	2.5 7/5	1.6 5/4
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Fortuna Düsseldorf — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Muslija n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. El Azzouzi n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Itten n 8	85	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
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Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Defensive

Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Therkelsen n 8	78.9	1.1 5/2	1.4 6/2	—
J. Tolkin n 8	87.4	1 5/2	0.8 5/1	T. Oberdorf
D. Zec n 8	90	0.8 4/2	1.4 5/4	—
P. Harres n 8	80.4	1.8 5/4	1.1 6/2	A. El Azzouzi
A. Kaprálik n 8	78	2 6/4	1.6 4/3	—
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Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Therkelsen n 8	78.9	0.6 3/1
J. Tolkin n 8	87.4	1.5 7/2
D. Zec n 8	90	2 8/4
P. Harres n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0
A. Kaprálik n 8	78	1 4/3
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Holstein Kiel Attacking

Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Therkelsen n 8	78.9	1.3 8/1	0.7 5/0
J. Tolkin n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Zec n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.3 2/0
P. Harres n 8	80.4	2.4 7/5	0.8 4/2
A. Kaprálik n 8	78	1.2 4/2	0.7 3/1
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Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Therkelsen n 8	78.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Tolkin n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Zec n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Harres n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Kaprálik n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fortuna Düsseldorf		Holstein Kiel
58%	Possession	42%
1.10	Expected goals (xG)	1.42
14	Shots	11
5	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	6
5	Blocked shots	2
8	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	3
3	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
476	Passes	357
84%	Pass accuracy	82%

Fortuna Düsseldorf Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Kastenmeier	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
T. Oberdorf	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
E. Egouli	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7
S. Tanaka	90	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	7.2
A. El Azzouzi	90	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	7.2
S. Appelkamp	90	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	7.3
C. Itten	90	1	0	4	2	1	1	0	7.3
J. Daland	65	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
F. Muslija	65	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.6
L. Raimund	61	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.5
C. Rasmussen	16	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
M. LjubiÄiÄ sub	74	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
V. Lunddal Friðriksson sub	29	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	7
M. Heyer sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
J. Paulina sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2

Holstein Kiel Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Weiner	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Rosenboom	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.7
I. Nekić	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	8.2
D. Zec	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.5
A. Kaprálik	90	0	1	0	0	3	1	Y	6.6
J. Meffert	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.7
P. Harres	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
U. Tohumcu	89	0	1	2	0	2	1	Y	7
I. Ugoh	89	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Skrzybski	60	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	7.2
J. Tolkin	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
M. Ivezić sub	83	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.5
J. Therkelsen sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
N. Niehoff sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
F. Roslyng sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Fortuna DüsseldorfWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

Holstein KielDLLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 · 1 draw · Holstein Kiel 3 · 1.83 goals/game

2025-11-09 Holstein Kiel 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
2024-05-11 Holstein Kiel 1–1 Fortuna Dusseldorf
2023-12-10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 0–1 Holstein Kiel
2023-05-06 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3–0 Holstein Kiel
2022-10-29 Holstein Kiel 1–2 Fortuna Dusseldorf
2022-02-06 Holstein Kiel 1–0 Fortuna Dusseldorf

League standing · 2025/26

Fortuna Düsseldorf#17 pos37 pts34 pl-20 GD

Holstein Kiel#12 pos41 pts34 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Fortuna Düsseldorf scored0.97

Holstein Kiel scored1.29

Fortuna Düsseldorf conceded1.56

Holstein Kiel conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel?: In their last 6 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2, Holstein Kiel won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel?: Recent form — Fortuna Düsseldorf 2W 0D 3L; Holstein Kiel 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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