Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Elversberg result

Full-time · Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 10 May 2026 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fortuna Düsseldorf · SV Elversberg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg — Fortuna Düsseldorf won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat SV Elversberg 3–1 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 10 May. SV Elversberg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — SV Elversberg: an own goal by Florian Le Joncour (26’); Fortuna Düsseldorf: Cedric Itten (43’, assisted by S. Appelkamp; 51’, assisted by T. Breithaupt) and an own goal by T. Oberdorf (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cedric Itten’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Fortuna Düsseldorf 0.65, SV Elversberg 0.77, from 9 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Haslberger showed three yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fortuna Düsseldorf: M. Zimmermann (30’), Cedric Itten (64’) and L. Raimund (90+8’).

What it changes

Fortuna Düsseldorf stay 15th after this result (33 league matches played).

SV Elversberg stay second after this result (33 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cedric Itten (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 7.9, E. Iyoha (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 5.9 and S. Appelkamp (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

SV Elversberg are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Fortuna Düsseldorf, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fortuna Düsseldorf or SV Elversberg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

SV Elversberg next host SC Freiburg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SV Elversberg: SV Elversberg v SC Freiburg, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg · 2. Bundesliga
Referee: W. Haslberger
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 · draws 2 · SV Elversberg 2 · 2.4 goals/game
Recent form: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1W 0D 4L · SV Elversberg 2W 2D 1L

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.88 / 6.13

Corners

against 4.63 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.57 yellows

Referee · W. Haslberger

21.29 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fortuna Düsseldorf for / against	Line	SV Elversberg for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: W. Haslberger — 5.57 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf Defensive

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.5 2/1	—
A. El Azzouzi n 8	89.3	1.5 6/4	1.1 6/3	—
C. Itten n 8	86	2.4 8/6	1.2 5/3	—
F. Muslija n 8	84.4	0.8 5/1	1.2 6/3	—
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Fortuna Düsseldorf — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	2.4 6/6
A. El Azzouzi n 8	89.3	2.3 6/4
C. Itten n 8	86	0.8 4/2
F. Muslija n 8	84.4	1.2 4/3
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Fortuna Düsseldorf Attacking

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. El Azzouzi n 8	89.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
C. Itten n 8	86	2.4 7/5	1.6 6/4
F. Muslija n 8	84.4	1.1 4/3	0.4 3/0
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Fortuna Düsseldorf — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Düsseldorf before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Kastenmeier n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Oberdorf n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. El Azzouzi n 8	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Itten n 8	86	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
F. Muslija n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg Defensive

SV Elversberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Ł. Poręba n 8	86.6	1.2 6/2	0.8 6/0	—
L. Petkov n 8	87.4	0.5 4/0	1.3 7/2	—
T. Zimmerschied n 8	85.5	0.8 4/2	1.7 6/4	—
L. Pinckert n 8	89	0.8 5/1	1.4 6/3	—
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SV Elversberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0
Ł. Poręba n 8	86.6	1.4 5/3
L. Petkov n 8	87.4	1.5 7/3
T. Zimmerschied n 8	85.5	0.5 2/1
L. Pinckert n 8	89	1.9 6/3
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SV Elversberg Attacking

SV Elversberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ł. Poręba n 8	86.6	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
L. Petkov n 8	87.4	2.3 8/6	1.3 7/3
T. Zimmerschied n 8	85.5	1.6 4/3	1.1 4/3
L. Pinckert n 8	89	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
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SV Elversberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ł. Poręba n 8	86.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Petkov n 8	87.4	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
T. Zimmerschied n 8	85.5	0.3 2/0	0.5 4/0
L. Pinckert n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fortuna Düsseldorf		SV Elversberg
44%	Possession	56%
0.65	Expected goals (xG)	0.77
9	Shots	16
2	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	5
0	Blocked shots	9
6	Shots inside the box	5
2	Corners	5
0	Offsides	3
6	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	0
342	Passes	441
73%	Pass accuracy	79%

Fortuna Düsseldorf Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Kastenmeier	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
T. Oberdorf	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
E. Egouli	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
S. Alexandropoulos	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.7
E. Iyoha	90	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	6.6
C. Itten	90	2	0	6	2	0	0	Y	8.5
S. Appelkamp	83	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7.2
T. Breithaupt	70	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
M. LjubiÄiÄ	70	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Zimmermann	56	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7
C. Lenz	56	0	0	0	0	2	5	0	7.6
V. Lunddal Friðriksson sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Suso sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
M. Heyer sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
L. Raimund sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
J. Daland sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6

SV Elversberg Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
N. Kristof	90	0	0	0	0	5.5
F. Le Joncour	90	0	0	1	1	5.5
L. Günther	90	1	1	2	2	6.2
A. Condé	90	0	0	0	2	6.6
I. Pherai	90	2	0	2	1	5.9
D. Mokwa	90	1	1	0	0	6.2
T. Zimmerschied	88	0	0	2	2	6.2
J. Gyamerah	81	0	0	1	2	5.9
M. Rohr	66	1	0	0	0	6.2
Ł. Poręba	66	0	0	1	1	6.5
L. Petkov	66	1	0	0	2	6.2
L. Pinckert sub	24	0	0	0	1	7.2
B. Conté sub	24	0	0	0	0	6.3
R. Adam sub	24	0	0	1	0	6.5
L. Schnellbacher sub	11	1	0	0	0	6.7
N. Mickelson sub	9	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Elversberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Fortuna DüsseldorfLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

SV ElversbergDLWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 · 2 draws · SV Elversberg 2 · 2.4 goals/game

2025-12-14 SV Elversberg 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
2025-04-19 SV Elversberg 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
2024-11-23 Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–2 SV Elversberg
2024-02-10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–1 SV Elversberg
2023-08-26 SV Elversberg 0–5 Fortuna Dusseldorf

League standing · 2025/26

Fortuna Düsseldorf#17 pos37 pts34 pl-20 GD

SV Elversberg#2 pos62 pts34 pl+25 GD

Goals per game

Fortuna Düsseldorf scored0.97

SV Elversberg scored1.88

Fortuna Düsseldorf conceded1.56

SV Elversberg conceded1.15

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Elversberg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Elversberg was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Elversberg?: In their last 5 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 1, SV Elversberg won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Elversberg?: Recent form — Fortuna Düsseldorf 1W 0D 4L; SV Elversberg 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.