Hertha BSCVfL Wolfsburg

Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg prediction

2. Bundesliga · · Olympiastadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg, 2. Bundesliga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.39 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hertha BSC host VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

VfL Wolfsburg have scored 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions. VfL Wolfsburg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Hertha BSC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Hertha BSC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hertha BSC have five wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.20 and conceding 0.80. Hertha BSC have scored 23 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Hertha BSC have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nine of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, VfL Wolfsburg have three wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.89. VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Hertha BSC have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. Hertha BSC (first) and VfL Wolfsburg (third) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hertha BSC the stronger side, 126 rating points above VfL Wolfsburg (Hertha BSC 1850, VfL Wolfsburg 1724, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Hertha BSC, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 27 May 2023, finished VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hertha Berlin.

Team news

Predicted Hertha BSC XI (4-2-3-1): M. Gersbeck, N. Kolbe, L. Gechter, J. Eitschberger, M. Pedersen, J. Brekalo, K. Sessa, P. Seguin, J. Þórsteinsson, O. Adewumi, S. Grønning — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Brekalo (6.3 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and five assists) and Oluwaseun Adewumi (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Hertha BSC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hertha BSC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Brekalo averages 3.7 key passes per 90 over 1098 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Oluwaseun Adewumi averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 621 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted VfL Wolfsburg XI (4-3-3): T. Wellenreuther, J. Mæhle, H. Wahl, Cleiton, S. Kumbedi, V. Souza, M. Damar, M. Arnold, R. Glatzel, A. Bernhardsson, K. Shiogai — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Reese (7.4 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and seven assists) and A. Bernhardsson (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been VfL Wolfsburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Wolfsburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Reese averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1015 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Bernhardsson averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1531 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga · Olympiastadion
  • Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hertha BSC 1 · draws 2 · VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L · VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L

Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.63
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6
Corners
against 4.5 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 6
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHertha BSC for / againstLineVfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.5our book
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
19.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
17.75 for · 17.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC Goalkeeper

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Gersbeck1190993 min343.1 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Gersbeck n 890
35/5

Hertha BSC Defensive

Hertha BSC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Gechter1190993 min191.7 /90222 /9050.5 /90635.7 /90161.5 /9040.4 /90
N. Kolbe1190993 min181.6 /90151.4 /9050.5 /90686.2 /9050.5 /9000 /90
J. Eitschberger1180878 min282.9 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90616.3 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90
M. Pedersen974663 min91.2 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90192.6 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
D. Zeefuik756394 min102.3 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90317.1 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
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Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Gechter n 890
1.67/4
0.85/1
—
N. Kolbe n 890
0.53/1
1.66/5
—
M. Gersbeck n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Brekalo n 889
0.96/1
0.84/2
—
K. Sessa n 886.3
1.66/2
16/2
—
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Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Kolbe n 890
1.87/4
L. Gechter n 890
1.47/3
J. Brekalo n 889
0.54/0
K. Sessa n 886.3
2.38/5
J. Eitschberger n 877.4
2.87/5
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Hertha BSC Attacking

Hertha BSC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Grønning1067669 min40.5 /9000 /90223 /9091.2 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Oluwaseun Adewumi1057567 min40.6 /9010.2 /90193 /90142.2 /9050.8 /9071.1 /90
L. Schuler730207 min00 /9010.4 /9073 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht433130 min00 /9010.7 /9064.2 /9010.7 /9064.2 /9021.4 /90
G. Nilsson33193 min00 /9000 /9087.7 /9043.9 /9011 /9000 /90
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Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kolbe n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Gechter n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Gersbeck n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brekalo n 889
1.46/3
0.85/1
K. Sessa n 886.3
27/6
0.54/0
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Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Gersbeck n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Kolbe n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Gechter n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brekalo n 889
0.54/0
0.42/1
K. Sessa n 886.3
0.11/0
00/0
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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Zieliński791635 min223.1 /9091.3 /9000 /90
T. Wellenreuther490360 min153.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Zieliński n 790.7
3.17/5
T. Wellenreuther n 490
3.83/3

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Wahl1190995 min131.2 /90232.1 /9060.5 /90353.2 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
J. Mæhle1090899 min181.8 /90141.4 /9040.4 /90444.4 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
S. Kumbedi790628 min101.4 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90334.7 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90
Cleiton686515 min61 /9040.7 /9030.5 /90305.2 /90111.9 /9010.2 /90
K. Fischer591455 min142.8 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90275.3 /90142.8 /9000 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Wahl n 890
0.64/1
0.84/2
—
Vinicius Souza n 879.5
1.87/3
14/2
—
F. Reese n 877.5
0.73/2
0.43/0
—
M. Damar n 876.8
16/1
16/1
—
J. Mæhle n 890
0.11/0
15/2
—
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Wahl n 890
1.16/3
Vinicius Souza n 879.5
2.57/5
F. Reese n 877.5
1.35/4
M. Damar n 876.8
1.56/3
J. Mæhle n 890
1.55/4
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Reese1181895 min50.5 /9060.6 /90363.6 /90101 /90313.1 /90171.7 /90
A. Bernhardsson979714 min40.5 /9020.3 /90162 /9081 /90273.4 /90121.5 /90
R. Glatzel969623 min50.7 /9010.1 /90182.6 /9091.3 /90101.4 /9071 /90
K. Shiogai841325 min20.6 /9000 /9092.5 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9051.4 /90
A. Besio42288 min22 /9000 /9055.1 /9033.1 /9044.1 /9033.1 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wahl n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
Vinicius Souza n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Reese n 877.5
3.66/6
15/2
M. Damar n 876.8
3.48/7
2.26/4
J. Mæhle n 890
1.14/2
0.11/0
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Wahl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Vinicius Souza n 879.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
F. Reese n 877.5
0.32/0
0.94/1
M. Damar n 876.8
0.64/0
0.32/0
J. Mæhle n 890
00/0
0.32/0
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The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hertha BSCWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
VfL WolfsburgDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hertha BSC 1 · 2 draws · VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2023-05-27 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hertha Berlin
  • 2023-01-24 Hertha Berlin 0–5 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2022-01-15 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Hertha Berlin
  • 2021-08-21 Hertha Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2021-02-27 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 Hertha Berlin
  • 2020-11-01 Hertha Berlin 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
League standing · 2026/27
Hertha BSC#1 pos28 pts10 pl+15 GD
VfL Wolfsburg#3 pos19 pts10 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Hertha BSC scored2.3
VfL Wolfsburg scored2.5
Hertha BSC conceded0.8
VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg?
In their last 6 meetings, Hertha BSC won 1, VfL Wolfsburg won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg?
Recent form — Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L; VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L.

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