Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg prediction

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Olympiastadion

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hertha BSC · VfL Wolfsburg · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg, 2. Bundesliga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.39 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hertha BSC host VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

VfL Wolfsburg have scored 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions. VfL Wolfsburg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Hertha BSC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Hertha BSC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hertha BSC have five wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.20 and conceding 0.80. Hertha BSC have scored 23 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Hertha BSC have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nine of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, VfL Wolfsburg have three wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.89. VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Hertha BSC have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. Hertha BSC (first) and VfL Wolfsburg (third) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hertha BSC the stronger side, 126 rating points above VfL Wolfsburg (Hertha BSC 1850, VfL Wolfsburg 1724, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Hertha BSC, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 27 May 2023, finished VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hertha Berlin.

Team news

Predicted Hertha BSC XI (4-2-3-1): M. Gersbeck, N. Kolbe, L. Gechter, J. Eitschberger, M. Pedersen, J. Brekalo, K. Sessa, P. Seguin, J. Þórsteinsson, O. Adewumi, S. Grønning — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Brekalo (6.3 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and five assists) and Oluwaseun Adewumi (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Hertha BSC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hertha BSC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Brekalo averages 3.7 key passes per 90 over 1098 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Oluwaseun Adewumi averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 621 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted VfL Wolfsburg XI (4-3-3): T. Wellenreuther, J. Mæhle, H. Wahl, Cleiton, S. Kumbedi, V. Souza, M. Damar, M. Arnold, R. Glatzel, A. Bernhardsson, K. Shiogai — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Reese (7.4 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and seven assists) and A. Bernhardsson (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been VfL Wolfsburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Wolfsburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Reese averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1015 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Bernhardsson averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1531 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · 2. Bundesliga · Olympiastadion
Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hertha BSC 1 · draws 2 · VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L · VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L

Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.63

Goals

against 0.5 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 6

Corners

against 4.5 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.63 / 6

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.75

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hertha BSC for / against	Line	VfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.5 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.75 for · 17.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC Goalkeeper

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Gersbeck	11	90993 min	343.1 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Gersbeck n 8	90	3 5/5

Hertha BSC Defensive

Hertha BSC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Gechter	11	90993 min	191.7 /90	222 /90	50.5 /90	635.7 /90	161.5 /90	40.4 /90
N. Kolbe	11	90993 min	181.6 /90	151.4 /90	50.5 /90	686.2 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
J. Eitschberger	11	80878 min	282.9 /90	111.1 /90	40.4 /90	616.3 /90	80.8 /90	30.3 /90
M. Pedersen	9	74663 min	91.2 /90	50.7 /90	30.4 /90	192.6 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90
D. Zeefuik	7	56394 min	102.3 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90	317.1 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Gechter n 8	90	1.6 7/4	0.8 5/1	—
N. Kolbe n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1.6 6/5	—
M. Gersbeck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. Brekalo n 8	89	0.9 6/1	0.8 4/2	—
K. Sessa n 8	86.3	1.6 6/2	1 6/2	—
See more players · Pro

Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Kolbe n 8	90	1.8 7/4
L. Gechter n 8	90	1.4 7/3
J. Brekalo n 8	89	0.5 4/0
K. Sessa n 8	86.3	2.3 8/5
J. Eitschberger n 8	77.4	2.8 7/5
See more players · Pro

Hertha BSC Attacking

Hertha BSC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Grønning	10	67669 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	223 /90	91.2 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
Oluwaseun Adewumi	10	57567 min	40.6 /90	10.2 /90	193 /90	142.2 /90	50.8 /90	71.1 /90
L. Schuler	7	30207 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	73 /90	41.7 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht	4	33130 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	64.2 /90	10.7 /90	64.2 /90	21.4 /90
G. Nilsson	3	3193 min	00 /90	00 /90	87.7 /90	43.9 /90	11 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kolbe n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
L. Gechter n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
M. Gersbeck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Brekalo n 8	89	1.4 6/3	0.8 5/1
K. Sessa n 8	86.3	2 7/6	0.5 4/0
See more players · Pro

Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Gersbeck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Kolbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Gechter n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Brekalo n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0.4 2/1
K. Sessa n 8	86.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Zieliński	7	91635 min	223.1 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
T. Wellenreuther	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Zieliński n 7	90.7	3.1 7/5
T. Wellenreuther n 4	90	3.8 3/3

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Wahl	11	90995 min	131.2 /90	232.1 /90	60.5 /90	353.2 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90
J. Mæhle	10	90899 min	181.8 /90	141.4 /90	40.4 /90	444.4 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
S. Kumbedi	7	90628 min	101.4 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90	334.7 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90
Cleiton	6	86515 min	61 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	305.2 /90	111.9 /90	10.2 /90
K. Fischer	5	91455 min	142.8 /90	71.4 /90	20.4 /90	275.3 /90	142.8 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.8 4/2	—
Vinicius Souza n 8	79.5	1.8 7/3	1 4/2	—
F. Reese n 8	77.5	0.7 3/2	0.4 3/0	—
M. Damar n 8	76.8	1 6/1	1 6/1	—
J. Mæhle n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1 5/2	—
See more players · Pro

VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Wahl n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Vinicius Souza n 8	79.5	2.5 7/5
F. Reese n 8	77.5	1.3 5/4
M. Damar n 8	76.8	1.5 6/3
J. Mæhle n 8	90	1.5 5/4
See more players · Pro

VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Reese	11	81895 min	50.5 /90	60.6 /90	363.6 /90	101 /90	313.1 /90	171.7 /90
A. Bernhardsson	9	79714 min	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	162 /90	81 /90	273.4 /90	121.5 /90
R. Glatzel	9	69623 min	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	182.6 /90	91.3 /90	101.4 /90	71 /90
K. Shiogai	8	41325 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	92.5 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90	51.4 /90
A. Besio	4	2288 min	22 /90	00 /90	55.1 /90	33.1 /90	44.1 /90	33.1 /90
See more players · Pro

VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Vinicius Souza n 8	79.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
F. Reese n 8	77.5	3.6 6/6	1 5/2
M. Damar n 8	76.8	3.4 8/7	2.2 6/4
J. Mæhle n 8	90	1.1 4/2	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Vinicius Souza n 8	79.5	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
F. Reese n 8	77.5	0.3 2/0	0.9 4/1
M. Damar n 8	76.8	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
J. Mæhle n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hertha BSCWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

VfL WolfsburgDWDLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hertha BSC 1 · 2 draws · VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2.5 goals/game

2023-05-27 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hertha Berlin
2023-01-24 Hertha Berlin 0–5 VfL Wolfsburg
2022-01-15 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Hertha Berlin
2021-08-21 Hertha Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg
2021-02-27 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 Hertha Berlin
2020-11-01 Hertha Berlin 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

League standing · 2026/27

Hertha BSC#1 pos28 pts10 pl+15 GD

VfL Wolfsburg#3 pos19 pts10 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Hertha BSC scored2.3

VfL Wolfsburg scored2.5

Hertha BSC conceded0.8

VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg?: In their last 6 meetings, Hertha BSC won 1, VfL Wolfsburg won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg?: Recent form — Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L; VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 07:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.