SC Paderborn 07 v Fortuna Düsseldorf result

Full-time · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf

2. Bundesliga · · Home Deluxe Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Paderborn 07 · Fortuna Düsseldorf · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Fortuna Düsseldorf won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.4% of 645 landed (95% range 61.7–69%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2–1 at Home Deluxe Arena in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 23 August.

The goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Fortuna Düsseldorf: Cedric Itten (35’, assisted by V. Lunddal Friðriksson) and F. Muslija (42’, assisted by S. Appelkamp); SC Paderborn 07: N. Bätzner (84’, assisted by Stefano Marino). Tjark Scheller (12’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cedric Itten’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: SC Paderborn 07 0.00, Fortuna Düsseldorf 0.00, from 17 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Weisbach showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Paderborn 07: Santiago Castañeda (38’) and L. Engelns (57’); Fortuna Düsseldorf: S. Alexandropoulos (31’) and Cedric Itten (34’).

What it changes

SC Paderborn 07 move down from second to eighth (three league matches played).

Fortuna Düsseldorf move up from 18th to 14th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Muslija (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 8.8, T. Oberdorf (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 6.0 and V. Lunddal Friðriksson (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

SC Paderborn 07 next travel to Werder Bremen on 17 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Paderborn 07: Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07, Saturday 17 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Home Deluxe Arena · Paderborn
  • Referee: E. Weisbach
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Paderborn 07 3 · draws 1 · Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Paderborn 07 3W 1D 1L · Fortuna Düsseldorf 2W 0D 3L

SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.67 / 5
Corners
against 2.33 / 4 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
6 / 5
Shots on target
against 3 / 5.33 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.33 / 4.67
Cards
against 1.67 / 4 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
4.5 yellows
Referee · E. Weisbach
1.83 home / 2.67 away
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Paderborn 07 for / againstLineFortuna Düsseldorf for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.67 for · 2.33 against n 3
9.5standard
5 for · 4 against n 3
Shots
11.67 for · 9.33 against n 3
19.5standard
15 for · 12 against n 3
Shots on target
6 for · 3 against n 3
8.5standard
5 for · 5.33 against n 3
Fouls committed
15.33 for · 10.33 against n 3
21.5standard
15 for · 13.67 against n 3
Cards shown
1.33 for · 1.67 against n 3
3.5standard
4.67 for · 4 against n 3

Referee: E. Weisbach — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 22.67 fouls over 6 matches (1.83 to the home side, 2.67 to the away side).

SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Hansen n 323
3.93/0
00/0
—
L. Curda n 387.7
3.13/3
00/0
A. El Azzouzi
S. Castañeda n 352.3
2.93/1
0.61/0
A. El Azzouzi
F. Bilbija n 874
2.77/5
1.45/4
T. Rossmann
T. Scheller n 369.7
2.23/2
00/0
—
SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Grimaldi n 428.8
5.53/2
3.93/2
S. Tigges n 839.3
3.47/3
1.45/0
F. Bilbija n 874
1.87/5
1.57/3
S. Marino n 318.7
1.61/0
1.61/0
M. Hansen n 323
1.31/0
1.31/0
SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Grimaldi n 428.8
2.32/1
00/0
S. Tigges n 839.3
0.93/0
00/0
L. Curda n 387.7
00/0
0.72/0
F. Bilbija n 874
0.64/0
00/0
L. Engelns n 385
0.41/0
00/0
SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Curda n 387.7
2.42/2
M. Hoffmeier n 491.3
2.23/3
N. Bätzner n 855.3
23/2
L. Engelns n 385
1.82/1
F. Bilbija n 874
1.78/2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Rossmann n 429
3.94/1
2.32/1
F. Bilbija
C. Rasmussen n 852.6
2.45/4
2.15/3
—
C. Itten n 857.5
2.25/4
0.42/0
—
A. El Azzouzi n 887.6
2.18/4
1.26/3
S. Castañeda
G. Haag n 860.8
1.94/3
25/2
—
Fortuna Düsseldorf — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Muslija n 828.4
2.82/2
1.22/1
C. Itten n 857.5
2.56/3
1.65/2
T. Rossmann n 429
2.33/0
0.81/0
J. Hettwer n 326.7
2.31/1
00/0
S. Appelkamp n 456.8
1.22/1
0.81/1
Fortuna Düsseldorf — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Appelkamp n 456.8
0.81/1
0.41/0
C. Itten n 857.5
1.25/1
00/0
F. Muslija n 828.4
0.41/0
0.41/0
V. Lunddal Friðriksson n 868
0.21/0
0.53/0
C. Rasmussen n 852.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Fortuna Düsseldorf — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Lenz n 818.6
64/2
M. Heyer n 785.3
3.27/6
S. Alexandropoulos n 868.6
3.18/5
A. El Azzouzi n 887.6
2.68/7
G. Haag n 860.8
2.26/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC Paderborn 07Fortuna Düsseldorf
43%Possession57%
17Shots14
4Shots on target6
5Shots off target4
8Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box11
9Corners7
12Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
4Saves3
373Passes513
86%Pass accuracy87%

SC Paderborn 07 player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Seimen9000000007.9
M. Hoffmeier9000000207.2
C. Brackelmann9000101506.9
L. Curda9000000507.2
R. Obermair9000321107.2
F. Bilbija8000101006.6
M. Baur8000002107
A. Grimaldi7400001106.3
L. Engelns60001000Y6
S. Castañeda45000012Y6.7
T. Scheller12000001R3
M. Hansen sub4500001207.3
N. Bätzner sub3110111007.7
S. Marino sub1701111007
S. Michel sub1100000006.3
Lucas Copado sub1100100106.7

Fortuna Düsseldorf player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Kastenmeier9000000008.2
V. Lunddal Friðriksson9001001107.2
E .Egouli9000000307.5
T. Oberdorf9000000308.3
A. El Azzouzi9000101207.3
C. Itten90103200Y7.5
S. Appelkamp8901003006.9
F. Muslija8910533308.3
K. Schmidt7500000206.6
T. Rossmann7500000107.3
S. Alexandropoulos45000000Y6.3
M. Heyer sub4500001406.9
C. Lenz sub1600111206.3
C. Rasmussen sub1600001006.3
G. Haag sub10000000–
J. Hettwer sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SC Paderborn 07 v Fortuna Düsseldorf — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC Paderborn 07WLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Fortuna DüsseldorfWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Paderborn 07 3 · 1 draw · Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2025-04-13 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf
  • 2024-11-09 Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • 2023-08-19 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–2 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2023-02-03 SC Paderborn 07 4–1 Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • 2022-07-22 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2–1 SC Paderborn 07
League standing · 2025/26
SC Paderborn 07#3 pos62 pts34 pl+14 GD
Fortuna Düsseldorf#17 pos37 pts34 pl-20 GD
Goals per game
SC Paderborn 07 scored1.74
Fortuna Düsseldorf scored0.97
SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Paderborn 07 v Fortuna Düsseldorf?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Paderborn 07 v Fortuna Düsseldorf was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Paderborn 07 and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 3, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Paderborn 07 and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Recent form — SC Paderborn 07 3W 1D 1L; Fortuna Düsseldorf 2W 0D 3L.

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