VfL Osnabrück v Dynamo Dresden result

Full-time · VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 12:00 BST · Bremer Brücke

Updated 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfL Osnabrück · Dynamo Dresden

The model’s pre-match pick

VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.67 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden drew 1–1 at Bremer Brücke in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: VfL Osnabrück out-shot Dynamo Dresden 11 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.02 xG to 0.57 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Dynamo Dresden led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Dynamo Dresden: N. Hauptmann (38’, assisted by J. Sterner); VfL Osnabrück: R. Fabinski (87’, assisted by K. Faber).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Fabinski’s goal on 87 minutes.

Discipline

Florian Exner, Germany showed nine yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — VfL Osnabrück: R. Meissner (45’), R. Fabinski (75’), K. Faber (84’), A. Beck (90+1’) and L. Flach (90+1’); Dynamo Dresden: N. Rapp (68’), J. Sterner (72’), Patrice Čović (81’) and Simon Straudi (82’).

What it changes

VfL Osnabrück move up from ninth to eighth (seven league matches played). VfL Osnabrück have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Dynamo Dresden move up from 17th to 16th (seven league matches played). Dynamo Dresden have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dynamo Dresden have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Osnabrück are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Dynamo Dresden are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. VfL Osnabrück have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Dynamo Dresden have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Fabinski (VfL Osnabrück) 6.4, N. Hauptmann (Dynamo Dresden) 6.2 and J. Sterner (Dynamo Dresden) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

VfL Osnabrück next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 31 October 2026.

Dynamo Dresden next travel to Hannover 96 on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfL Osnabrück: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Dynamo Dresden: Hannover 96 v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Bremer Brücke · Osnabrück
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): VfL Osnabrück 1 · draws 1 · Dynamo Dresden 0 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: VfL Osnabrück 2W 1D 2L · Dynamo Dresden 1W 1D 3L

VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2

Goals

against 2.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3 / 6.75

Corners

against 6.5 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 6.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	VfL Osnabrück for / against	Line	Dynamo Dresden for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 19.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.75 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Florian Exner, Germany.

VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück Goalkeeper

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Krumrey	7	91637 min	284 /90	152.1 /90	00 /90

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 7	91	4 6/5

VfL Osnabrück Defensive

VfL Osnabrück — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Wiemann	7	91637 min	202.8 /90	111.6 /90	60.8 /90	334.7 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90
R. Fabinski	7	91637 min	233.2 /90	111.6 /90	81.1 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
J. Muller	7	91636 min	131.8 /90	131.8 /90	60.8 /90	253.5 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
K. Faber	5	37184 min	52.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	73.4 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
J. Abu Hanna	1	2525 min	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	1.2 7/2	0.6 5/0	—
R. Fabinski n 7	91	0.6 4/0	0.4 3/0	—
J. Krumrey n 7	91	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1	—
J. Muller n 7	90.9	0.8 5/1	0.6 2/1	—
R. Meissner n 7	86.1	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	B. Bobzien
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VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Fabinski n 7	91	3.2 6/6
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	2.6 8/6
J. Muller n 7	90.9	1.8 6/3
R. Meissner n 7	86.1	0.9 4/1
B. Jacobsen n 7	85.3	2 4/3
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VfL Osnabrück Attacking

VfL Osnabrück — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Meissner	7	86603 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	172.5 /90	111.6 /90	71 /90	81.2 /90
L. Munst	6	48287 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
A. Beck	5	90449 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	51 /90	00 /90	102 /90	40.8 /90
Ismail Badjie	5	65325 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.2 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90
Bernd Riesselmann	3	45135 min	00 /90	00 /90	53.3 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90	32 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	0.5 4/0	0.2 2/0
J. Krumrey n 7	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 7	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 7	90.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 7	86.1	2.5 7/6	1.6 6/4
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VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	0.2 2/0	0 0/0
J. Krumrey n 7	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 7	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 7	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 7	86.1	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden Goalkeeper

Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Schreiber	7	90630 min	253.6 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90

Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Schreiber n 8	90	3.4 6/5

Dynamo Dresden Defensive

Dynamo Dresden — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Rossipal	7	88613 min	131.9 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90	294.3 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
J. Sterner	7	65455 min	102 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	173.4 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
F. Muller	6	74441 min	30.6 /90	81.6 /90	61.2 /90	183.7 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
T. Keller	5	86429 min	20.4 /90	71.5 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90
A. Muhamedbegovic	5	63314 min	92.6 /90	30.9 /90	41.1 /90	195.4 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
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Dynamo Dresden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Schreiber n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Rossipal n 8	85.3	1.1 5/3	0.3 2/0	—
B. Bobzien n 8	87.6	0.9 6/1	2.4 8/6	R. Meissner
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	1.7 7/5	0.8 5/1	—
V. Vermeij n 8	78.5	2 7/5	0.6 3/1	—
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Dynamo Dresden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Rossipal n 8	85.3	1.8 7/4
B. Bobzien n 8	87.6	1.4 6/3
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	1.7 7/4
V. Vermeij n 8	78.5	1 5/2
N. Hauptmann n 8	75.4	1.5 4/3
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Dynamo Dresden Attacking

Dynamo Dresden — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
V. Vermeij	7	79554 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	121.9 /90	20.3 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
K. Inanoglu	5	52258 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	62.1 /90	20.7 /90
C. Daferner	2	2753 min	00 /90	00 /90	35.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
B. Bobzien	7	87611 min	20.3 /90	30.4 /90	101.5 /90	71 /90	162.4 /90	233.4 /90
R. Wagner	7	84585 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
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Dynamo Dresden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Schreiber n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Rossipal n 8	85.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
B. Bobzien n 8	87.6	1.4 7/3	0.9 6/1
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
V. Vermeij n 8	78.5	2 7/5	0.6 3/1
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Dynamo Dresden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dynamo Dresden before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Schreiber n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Rossipal n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
B. Bobzien n 8	87.6	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1
R. Wagner n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
V. Vermeij n 8	78.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfL Osnabrück		Dynamo Dresden
44%	Possession	56%
2.02	Expected goals (xG)	0.57
11	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	2
2	Shots off target	3
4	Blocked shots	5
8	Shots inside the box	5
4	Corners	10
1	Offsides	1
7	Fouls	11
5	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
481	Passes	605
82%	Pass accuracy	85%

VfL Osnabrück Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Krumrey	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
R. Fabinski	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	Y	8.2
J. Muller	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.6
N. Wiemann	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
A. Beck	90	0	0	1	1	3	0	Y	7
R. Meissner	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6
B. Jacobsen	82	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
P. Kammerbauer	61	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.6
J. Gómez	61	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
Bernd Riesselmann	61	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
F. Wagner	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
L. Flach sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.9
D. Kyereh sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Faber sub	29	0	1	0	0	1	0	Y	7
Ismail Badjie sub	29	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
L. Raimund sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Dynamo Dresden Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Grill	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Sterner	90	0	1	1	0	3	1	Y	7.3
N. Rapp	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.3
F. Muller	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
R. Wagner	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.6
T. Raschl	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
Simon Straudi	87	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
P. Čović	87	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6.2
B. Bobzien	87	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.3
N. Hauptmann	82	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.9
V. Vermeij	69	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
C. Daferner sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Lemmer sub	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
A. Muhamedbegovic sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Kennedy Okpala sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
A. Rossipal sub	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfL Osnabrück v Dynamo Dresden — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

VfL OsnabrückWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Dynamo DresdenWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

VfL Osnabrück 1 · 1 draw · Dynamo Dresden 0 · 3.5 goals/game

2020-06-28 Dynamo Dresden 2–2 VfL Osnabruck
2019-12-15 VfL Osnabruck 3–0 Dynamo Dresden

League standing · 2026/27

VfL Osnabrück#8 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD

Dynamo Dresden#15 pos8 pts9 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

VfL Osnabrück scored1.56

Dynamo Dresden scored1.22

VfL Osnabrück conceded1.67

Dynamo Dresden conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfL Osnabrück v Dynamo Dresden?: TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Osnabrück v Dynamo Dresden was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden?: In their last 2 meetings, VfL Osnabrück won 1, Dynamo Dresden won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden?: Recent form — VfL Osnabrück 2W 1D 2L; Dynamo Dresden 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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