VfL Osnabrück v Hertha BSC result

Full-time · VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC

2. Bundesliga · · Bremer Brücke

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC — Hertha BSC won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hertha BSC won 3–1 at Bremer Brücke in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 13 September. Hertha BSC have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Hertha BSC: J. Brekalo (50’), K. Sessa (70’) and Farid Alfa-Ruprecht (90’, assisted by Soufian Gouram); VfL Osnabrück: J. Gómez (82’, assisted by A. Beck).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Brekalo’s goal on 50 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: VfL Osnabrück 1.73, Hertha BSC 2.14, from 14 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — VfL Osnabrück: A. Beck (50’) and R. Fabinski (55’); Hertha BSC: J. Brekalo (10’) and L. Gechter (37’).

What it changes

VfL Osnabrück move down from seventh to 10th (five league matches played). VfL Osnabrück have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Hertha BSC stay first after this result (five league matches played). Hertha BSC have scored 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hertha BSC have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Gersbeck (Hertha BSC) 7.8, J. Gómez (VfL Osnabrück) 7.5 and K. Sessa (Hertha BSC) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (389 of 581).

Next up

VfL Osnabrück next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 31 October 2026.

Hertha BSC next travel to 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfL Osnabrück: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Hertha BSC: 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Bremer Brücke · Osnabrück
  • Referee: Felix Weller, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): VfL Osnabrück 1 · draws 1 · Hertha BSC 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfL Osnabrück 2W 0D 3L · Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L

VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.63 / 5
Corners
against 5.75 / 6.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.75 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 5.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 3.29
Cards
against 2 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVfL Osnabrück for / againstLineHertha BSC for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 6.86 against n 7
Shots
12.13 for · 19.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 17.43 against n 7
Shots on target
3.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 5.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.14 for · 11.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
3.29 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Felix Weller, Germany.

VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück Goalkeeper

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Krumrey591457 min214.1 /90122.4 /9000 /90
VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 591.4
4.14/3

VfL Osnabrück Defensive

VfL Osnabrück — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Muller591457 min112.2 /9081.6 /9051 /90224.3 /9030.6 /9000 /90
N. Wiemann591457 min153 /9091.8 /9051 /90254.9 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
R. Fabinski591457 min163.2 /9071.4 /9081.6 /90265.1 /9020.4 /9000 /90
K. Faber442167 min42.2 /9000 /9000 /9063.2 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
J. Abu Hanna12525 min13.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9027.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Wiemann n 885.3
0.95/1
0.75/0
L. Gechter
J. Muller n 591.4
0.63/0
0.61/1
N. Kolbe
R. Fabinski n 591.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
N. Kolbe
J. Krumrey n 591.4
00/0
0.41/1
—
R. Meissner n 585.2
0.21/0
0.41/1
—
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VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Fabinski n 591.4
3.24/4
N. Wiemann n 885.3
2.67/6
J. Muller n 591.4
2.24/3
R. Meissner n 585.2
1.13/1
P. Kammerbauer n 584.4
1.33/3
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VfL Osnabrück Attacking

VfL Osnabrück — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Meissner585426 min30.6 /9000 /90102.1 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9081.7 /90
Ismail Badjie565325 min10.3 /9000 /9082.2 /9041.1 /9030.8 /9020.6 /90
A. Beck390269 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9041.3 /90
D. Kopacz263125 min10.7 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9032.2 /9032.2 /90
Bernd Riesselmann23162 min00 /9000 /9057.3 /9022.9 /9000 /9011.5 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 885.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Muller n 591.4
0.21/0
00/0
J. Krumrey n 591.4
00/0
00/0
R. Fabinski n 591.4
00/0
00/0
R. Meissner n 585.2
2.15/4
1.34/2
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VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 885.3
0.32/0
00/0
J. Muller n 591.4
00/0
00/0
J. Krumrey n 591.4
00/0
00/0
R. Fabinski n 591.4
00/0
00/0
R. Meissner n 585.2
0.63/0
00/0
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Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC Goalkeeper

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Gersbeck491363 min143.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Gersbeck n 690.5
2.75/3

Hertha BSC Defensive

Hertha BSC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Gechter491363 min92.2 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90205 /9061.5 /9010.2 /90
N. Kolbe491363 min51.2 /9092.2 /9030.7 /90256.2 /9010.2 /9000 /90
J. Eitschberger487349 min123.1 /9041 /9010.3 /90307.7 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
D. Zeefuik291181 min31.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
M. Pedersen286172 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.6 /9021 /9000 /90
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Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Gechter n 890.4
1.15/3
0.22/0
N. Wiemann
N. Kolbe n 881.5
0.32/0
1.87/3
R. Fabinski
M. Gersbeck n 690.5
00/0
0.21/0
—
J. Brekalo n 879.3
27/4
0.94/1
—
K. Sessa n 875.4
1.34/4
1.24/3
—
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Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Gechter n 890.4
1.46/3
N. Kolbe n 881.5
1.16/2
K. Sessa n 875.4
1.26/2
J. Brekalo n 879.3
0.72/2
J. Eitschberger n 872
3.46/4
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Hertha BSC Attacking

Hertha BSC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Grønning464257 min20.7 /9000 /90103.5 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9000 /90
L. Schuler42496 min00 /9010.9 /9043.8 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9010.9 /90
Oluwaseun Adewumi33295 min32.8 /9000 /9043.8 /9043.8 /9000 /9010.9 /90
M. Winkler285170 min10.5 /9021.1 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9052.6 /9031.6 /90
J. Brekalo489356 min30.8 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9041 /90133.3 /90143.5 /90
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Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Gechter n 890.4
0.75/1
0.22/0
N. Kolbe n 881.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Gersbeck n 690.5
00/0
00/0
J. Brekalo n 879.3
1.46/2
0.74/1
K. Sessa n 875.4
1.36/3
0.11/0
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Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Gechter n 890.4
0.11/0
00/0
M. Gersbeck n 690.5
00/0
00/0
N. Kolbe n 881.5
00/0
00/0
J. Brekalo n 879.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
K. Sessa n 875.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC
43%Possession57%
1.73Expected goals (xG)2.14
14Shots22
7Shots on target7
5Shots off target9
2Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box14
4Corners5
0Offsides3
12Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves6
381Passes509
73%Pass accuracy81%

VfL Osnabrück Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Fabinski90000004Y6.6
N. Wiemann9000100406.2
B. Jacobsen9000001006.7
A. Beck90010033Y7
R. Meissner9000431005.2
J. Krumrey9000000008.3
J. Muller8900000105.6
J. Gómez8910432108.2
P. Kammerbauer7700000106.9
F. Wagner7700211306.3
L. Munst6800000006.5
D. Kyereh sub2200000006.2
Bernd Riesselmann sub1300100006.5
K. Faber sub1300000006.3
L. Raimund sub10000000–
T. Janotta sub10000000–

Hertha BSC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Brekalo90103231Y7
K. Sessa9010211207.7
N. Kolbe9000001207.6
L. Gechter90000001Y7.3
J. Eitschberger9000001206.9
M. Gersbeck9000000007.9
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson8700210006.9
P. Klemens8700003107
Oluwaseun Adewumi7700100107
M. Pedersen7700202107.2
S. Grønning6800100006.7
G. Nilsson sub2200111007.2
D. Zeefuik sub1300000106.5
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht sub1310210207.9
Selim Telib sub1000000106.3
Soufian Gouram sub1001212006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfL Osnabrück v Hertha BSC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfL OsnabrückLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Hertha BSCWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
VfL Osnabrück 1 · 1 draw · Hertha BSC 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2024-05-19 VfL Osnabruck 2–1 Hertha Berlin
  • 2023-12-16 Hertha Berlin 0–0 VfL Osnabruck
League standing · 2026/27
VfL Osnabrück#8 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD
Hertha BSC#1 pos25 pts9 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
VfL Osnabrück scored1.56
Hertha BSC scored2.22
VfL Osnabrück conceded1.67
Hertha BSC conceded0.89

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfL Osnabrück v Hertha BSC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Osnabrück v Hertha BSC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC?
In their last 2 meetings, VfL Osnabrück won 1, Hertha BSC won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC?
Recent form — VfL Osnabrück 2W 0D 3L; Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L.

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