Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory result

Full-time · Brisbane Roar 1–0 Melbourne Victory

A-League · · Suncorp Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Brisbane Roar 1–0 Melbourne Victory — Brisbane Roar won this A-League match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Brisbane Roar beat Melbourne Victory 1–0 at Suncorp Stadium in the A-League on Friday 28 November. It is Brisbane Roar’s first win over Melbourne Victory since 3 March 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Brisbane Roar led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Brisbane Roar: Samuel Klein (3’, assisted by Justin Vidic). Denis Genreau (90’) was sent off.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Brisbane Roar 0.42, Melbourne Victory 0.53, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Shaun Evans, Australia showed five yellow cards and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brisbane Roar: Justin Vidic (31’), Michael Ruhs (60’) and Dean Bouzanis (90+12’); Melbourne Victory: Sebastian Esposito (31’) and Roderick Miranda (35’).

What it changes

Brisbane Roar move up from fifth to second (six league matches played). Brisbane Roar are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Melbourne Victory move down from 10th to 11th (six league matches played). Melbourne Victory have lost their last three matches. Melbourne Victory have failed to score in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Youstin Salas (Brisbane Roar) 8.7, Samuel Klein (Brisbane Roar) 5.3 and Jason Davidson (Melbourne Victory) 4.2 led the match.

Next up

Brisbane Roar next host Perth Glory on 23 October 2026.

Melbourne Victory next travel to Wellington Phoenix on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brisbane Roar: Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Melbourne Victory: Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Brisbane Roar 1–0 Melbourne Victory · A-League
  • Venue: Suncorp Stadium · Brisbane
  • Referee: Shaun Evans, Australia
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brisbane Roar 3 · draws 2 · Melbourne Victory 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brisbane Roar 2W 2D 1L · Melbourne Victory 1W 1D 3L

Brisbane Roar 1–0 Melbourne Victory (A-League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.6 / 4.6
Corners
against 4.4 / 2.6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.6 / 4.6
Shots on target
against 2.2 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
3.4 / 1.2
Cards
against 2 / 1.8 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Shaun Evans, Australia
2.2 home / 1.8 away
over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 November 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 November 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrisbane Roar for / againstLineMelbourne Victory for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.6 for · 4.4 against n 5
9.5standard
4.6 for · 2.6 against n 5
Shots
10.6 for · 11 against n 5
19.5standard
15.6 for · 14.2 against n 5
Shots on target
2.6 for · 2.2 against n 5
8.5standard
4.6 for · 5 against n 5
Fouls committed
12 for · 13.2 against n 5
21.5standard
8.8 for · 10.2 against n 5
Cards shown
3.4 for · 2 against n 5
3.5standard
1.2 for · 1.8 against n 5

Referee: Shaun Evans, Australia — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 5 matches (2.2 to the home side, 1.8 to the away side).

Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noah Maieroni n 39.3
16.12/2
3.21/0
—
Justin Vidic n 571.8
2.35/4
0.51/1
J. Reec
Michael Ruhs n 844.8
2.35/3
1.84/2
Denis Genreau
C. Long n 859
1.96/1
1.13/1
—
Georgios Vrakas n 846.1
1.77/0
1.54/2
Denis Genreau
Brisbane Roar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Q. Macnicol n 313.7
4.41/1
00/0
Justin Vidic n 571.8
24/3
13/1
Samuel Klein n 585
1.75/1
0.21/0
Jay O'Shea n 690
1.33/3
0.52/1
Henry Hore n 751.1
12/1
0.82/1
Brisbane Roar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jay O'Shea n 690
0.32/0
0.21/0
Justin Vidic n 571.8
0.52/0
00/0
Henry Hore n 751.1
0.52/0
00/0
Michael Ruhs n 844.8
00/0
0.31/0
L. Herrington n 578
0.21/0
00/0
Brisbane Roar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Youstin Salas n 779.3
3.76/6
A. Burke-Gilroy n 354.7
3.33/2
Noah Maieroni n 39.3
3.21/0
Samuel Klein n 585
34/3
J. McGarry n 856.4
2.64/4
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Denis Genreau n 857.6
2.16/3
25/4
Georgios Vrakas
J. Reec n 622.3
23/0
00/0
Justin Vidic
Louis D'Arrigo n 523.2
1.62/0
2.33/0
—
J. Inserra n 489.8
1.54/2
0.31/0
—
X. Stella n 535.2
1.52/1
00/0
—
Melbourne Victory — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Clarismario n 539.4
3.25/2
0.92/0
Matthew Grimaldi n 858.4
2.34/3
1.22/2
Denis Genreau n 857.6
2.36/3
1.24/2
Juan Mata n 842.9
2.14/2
1.34/1
Nikolaos Vergos n 857.4
1.85/2
1.24/2
Melbourne Victory — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matthew Grimaldi n 858.4
0.41/1
0.41/1
Louis D'Arrigo n 523.2
0.81/0
00/0
Denis Genreau n 857.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Juan Mata n 842.9
0.52/0
00/0
Keegan Jelacic n 866
0.32/0
00/0
Melbourne Victory — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Denis Genreau n 857.6
4.16/6
Keegan Jelacic n 866
3.46/5
Louis D'Arrigo n 523.2
3.12/2
J. Inserra n 489.8
2.54/3
Joshua Rawlins n 375
2.43/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
41%Possession59%
0.42Expected goals (xG)0.53
11Shots11
2Shots on target6
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box5
8Corners3
1Offsides1
6Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
6Saves1
307Passes434
69%Pass accuracy75%

Brisbane Roar player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dean Bouzanis90000000Y9.2
Youstin Salas9000001607.9
Dimitrios Valkanis9000000107.5
L. Herrington9000100107.2
J. McGarry9000002207.7
M. Stajic9000100206.9
Jay O'Shea9000102106.5
Justin Vidic85012011Y6.6
Michael Ruhs72000012Y6.5
Samuel Klein6410221007.6
Georgios Vrakas6400000106.5
Noah Maieroni sub2600000106.7
Q. Macnicol sub2600101006.2
C. Long sub1800000106.2
Henry Hore sub1700000006.2

Melbourne Victory player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jack Duncan9000000006.9
Sebastian Esposito90000004Y7.3
Roderick Miranda90000010Y7.3
Jason Davidson9000110406.3
Jordi Valadon9000110206.3
Denis Genreau90001023R6.2
J. Inserra8000100106.5
Louis D'Arrigo7200100006.2
Keegan Jelacic7200001406.9
J. Reec6400111006.3
Matthew Grimaldi4500001106.3
Clarismario sub4500331306.6
Nikolaos Vergos sub2600000006.5
Juan Mata sub1800000106.9
Nishan Velupillay sub1800000006.3
Joshua Rawlins sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Brisbane RoarWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Melbourne VictoryDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brisbane Roar 3 · 2 draws · Melbourne Victory 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar 1–1 Melbourne Victory
  • 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory 2–0 Brisbane Roar
  • 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory 0–0 Brisbane Roar
  • 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar 3–2 Melbourne Victory
  • 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory 0–1 Brisbane Roar
  • 2023-01-06 Melbourne Victory 0–1 Brisbane Roar
League standing · 2025/26
Brisbane Roar#11 pos26 pts26 pl-9 GD
Melbourne Victory#4 pos40 pts26 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Brisbane Roar scored1.04
Melbourne Victory scored1.69
Brisbane Roar conceded1.38
Melbourne Victory conceded1.27

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory?
In their last 6 meetings, Brisbane Roar won 3, Melbourne Victory won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory?
Recent form — Brisbane Roar 2W 2D 1L; Melbourne Victory 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →