Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory prediction
Team pages: Brisbane Roar · Melbourne Victory · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory, A-League on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 07:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Brisbane Roar host Melbourne Victory in the A-League on Saturday 9 January (kick-off 07:00 UK).
The key numbers
Brisbane Roar are winless in their last 12 matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Brisbane Roar have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.88.
Nine of Melbourne Victory’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Melbourne Victory’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Melbourne Victory have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.43.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Melbourne Victory the stronger side, 196 rating points above Brisbane Roar (Melbourne Victory 1481, Brisbane Roar 1285, after at least 240 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Brisbane Roar are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Melbourne Victory. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Melbourne Victory 1–1 Brisbane Roar.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · A-League · Suncorp Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Brisbane Roar 2 · draws 3 · Melbourne Victory 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Brisbane Roar 0W 2D 3L · Melbourne Victory 2W 1D 2L
Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Brisbane Roar for / against | Line | Melbourne Victory for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.57 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.29 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.29 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.43 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
Brisbane Roar
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Klein n 8 | 40.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | — |
| Noah Maieroni n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Justin Vidic n 8 | 47 | 2.2 | 1.7 | — |
| Henry Hore n 8 | 71.9 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| J. McGarry n 8 | 84 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Macnicol n 8 | 24.4 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| Justin Vidic n 8 | 47 | 3.4 | 1 |
| N. D'Agostino n 8 | 41.9 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Samuel Klein n 8 | 40.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Michael Ruhs n 8 | 63.4 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Macnicol n 8 | 24.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| C. Long n 8 | 68.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| N. D'Agostino n 8 | 41.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Niall Thom n 6 | 34.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Samuel Klein n 8 | 40.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Shaw n 7 | 13.9 | 2.8 |
| Youstin Salas n 8 | 89.8 | 2.6 |
| Jordan Lauton n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 |
| Jacob Brazete n 6 | 26.8 | 2.2 |
| J. McGarry n 8 | 84 | 1.9 |
Melbourne Victory
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Sawyer n 3 | 44.3 | 5.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Nishan Velupillay n 8 | 54.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| G. May n 8 | 68.5 | 1.6 | 1 | — |
| Brendan Hamill n 8 | 59.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | — |
| Louis D'Arrigo n 8 | 40.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. May n 8 | 68.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| R. Piscopo n 8 | 18.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Charles Nduka n 8 | 70.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Nikolaos Vergos n 8 | 32.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Harrison Sawyer n 3 | 44.3 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mata n 8 | 74.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Nikolaos Vergos n 8 | 32.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Harrison Sawyer n 3 | 44.3 | 0 | 0.7 |
| R. Piscopo n 8 | 18.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Denis Genreau n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Clarismario n 8 | 41.1 | 3 |
| Denis Genreau n 8 | 87.1 | 2.6 |
| J. Inserra n 8 | 65 | 2.6 |
| Sebastian Esposito n 8 | 81.4 | 2.4 |
| Jordi Valadon n 8 | 77.1 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Duncan n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory 1–1 Brisbane Roar
- 2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar 1–0 Melbourne Victory
- 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar 1–1 Melbourne Victory
- 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory 2–0 Brisbane Roar
- 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory 0–0 Brisbane Roar
- 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar 3–2 Melbourne Victory
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory?
- In their last 6 meetings, Brisbane Roar won 2, Melbourne Victory won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory?
- Recent form — Brisbane Roar 0W 2D 3L; Melbourne Victory 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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