Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar prediction

A-League · · AAMI Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Melbourne City · Brisbane Roar · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar, A-League on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 06:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Melbourne City host Brisbane Roar in the A-League on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 06:00 UK).

The key numbers

Melbourne City have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Melbourne City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Brisbane Roar, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Melbourne City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Melbourne City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Melbourne City have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.00.

Nine of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Brisbane Roar have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71.

Melbourne City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Brisbane Roar are winless in their last 12 matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Melbourne City the stronger side, 229 rating points above Brisbane Roar (Melbourne City 1514, Brisbane Roar 1285, after at least 240 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Brisbane Roar 2–3 Melbourne City.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · A-League · AAMI Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Melbourne City 5 · draws 1 · Brisbane Roar 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Melbourne City 2W 1D 2L · Brisbane Roar 0W 2D 3L

Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.25
Corners
against 5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMelbourne City for / againstLineBrisbane Roar for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Melbourne City
Melbourne City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Younis n 847.3
3.86/5
1.43/2
—
Besian Kutleshi n 830.4
2.24/2
1.12/1
—
D. Arzani n 872.1
1.76/3
1.97/3
—
Z. Schreiber n 865.4
1.76/4
15/1
—
M. Caputo n 855.3
1.65/2
0.62/1
—
Melbourne City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Memeti n 841.3
2.54/3
1.13/1
M. Younis n 847.3
2.15/3
0.52/0
D. Arzani n 872.1
1.96/4
1.26/2
A. Mabil n 831.9
1.83/2
1.42/2
E. Durakovic n 820
1.73/0
0.61/0
Melbourne City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Mabil n 831.9
0.41/0
0.72/0
D. Arzani n 872.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Memeti n 841.3
0.52/0
00/0
A. Kuen n 880.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Rashani n 866
0.21/0
0.21/0
Melbourne City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Atkinson n 897.5
3.98/7
Besian Kutleshi n 830.4
3.36/2
Kavian Rahmani n 863.8
2.88/7
M. Younis n 847.3
2.45/3
E. Durakovic n 820
2.33/1
Melbourne City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Macklin Freke n 478.8
42/2
Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samuel Klein n 840.8
3.35/4
1.43/2
—
Noah Maieroni n 881.1
2.56/6
0.73/2
—
Justin Vidic n 847
2.26/2
1.75/2
—
Henry Hore n 871.9
26/3
0.84/1
—
J. McGarry n 884
1.96/4
1.15/3
—
Brisbane Roar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Q. Macnicol n 824.4
3.75/1
1.83/1
Justin Vidic n 847
3.46/3
13/1
N. D'Agostino n 841.9
2.75/4
1.65/1
Samuel Klein n 840.8
2.56/2
1.13/1
Michael Ruhs n 863.4
28/2
0.73/1
Brisbane Roar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Q. Macnicol n 824.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
C. Long n 868.3
0.53/0
00/0
N. D'Agostino n 841.9
0.52/0
00/0
Niall Thom n 634.3
0.41/0
00/0
Samuel Klein n 840.8
0.31/0
00/0
Brisbane Roar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Shaw n 713.9
2.83/0
Youstin Salas n 889.8
2.68/7
Jordan Lauton n 833.8
2.34/2
Jacob Brazete n 626.8
2.22/2
J. McGarry n 884
1.96/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Melbourne CityWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Brisbane RoarLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Melbourne City 5 · 1 draw · Brisbane Roar 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Brisbane Roar 2–3 Melbourne City
  • 2026-01-06 Melbourne City 1–0 Brisbane Roar
  • 2025-10-31 Brisbane Roar 0–0 Melbourne City
  • 2025-04-11 Melbourne City 3–2 Brisbane Roar
  • 2025-01-11 Melbourne City 1–0 Brisbane Roar
  • 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar 1–4 Melbourne City
League standing · 2026/27
Melbourne City#12 pos0 pts1 pl-2 GD
Brisbane Roar#9 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Melbourne City scored1
Brisbane Roar scored0
Melbourne City conceded3
Brisbane Roar conceded0

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar?
In their last 6 meetings, Melbourne City won 5, Brisbane Roar won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar?
Recent form — Melbourne City 2W 1D 2L; Brisbane Roar 0W 2D 3L.

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