Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory prediction

A-League · · AAMI Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory, A-League on Sun, 03 Jan 2027 06:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Melbourne Victory host Perth Glory in the A-League on Sunday 3 January (kick-off 06:00 UK).

The key numbers

Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Perth Glory, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Melbourne Victory’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Melbourne Victory’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Melbourne Victory have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.00.

10 of Perth Glory’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Perth Glory’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Perth Glory have no wins, five draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.56 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.78.

Melbourne Victory (11th) and Perth Glory (10th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Melbourne Victory the stronger side, 49 rating points above Perth Glory (Melbourne Victory 1481, Perth Glory 1433, after at least 240 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 January 2026, finished Melbourne Victory 3–2 Perth Glory.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · A-League · AAMI Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Melbourne Victory 6 · draws 0 · Perth Glory 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Melbourne Victory 2W 1D 2L · Perth Glory 2W 2D 1L

Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.57 / 2.38
Corners
against 5.71 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2
Cards
against 1.57 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMelbourne Victory for / againstLinePerth Glory for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.57 for · 5.71 against n 7
9.5standard
2.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 10.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.25 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.29 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.29 for · 11.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Harrison Sawyer n 344.3
5.42/2
1.41/1
—
Nishan Velupillay n 854.5
1.75/3
1.93/3
—
G. May n 868.5
1.66/3
14/2
—
Brendan Hamill n 859.4
1.14/2
0.42/0
—
Louis D'Arrigo n 840.5
1.14/0
1.13/1
—
Melbourne Victory — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. May n 868.5
2.86/5
1.14/3
R. Piscopo n 818.6
2.44/0
1.22/0
Charles Nduka n 870.6
2.15/4
1.14/2
Nikolaos Vergos n 832.5
2.14/2
13/0
Harrison Sawyer n 344.3
22/1
1.41/1
Melbourne Victory — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Mata n 874.3
0.63/1
0.64/0
Nikolaos Vergos n 832.5
13/0
00/0
Harrison Sawyer n 344.3
00/0
0.71/0
R. Piscopo n 818.6
00/0
0.61/0
Denis Genreau n 887.1
00/0
0.53/1
Melbourne Victory — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Clarismario n 841.1
35/3
Denis Genreau n 887.1
2.68/7
J. Inserra n 865
2.66/5
Sebastian Esposito n 881.4
2.47/6
Jordi Valadon n 877.1
27/5
Melbourne Victory — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jack Duncan n 890
1.94/2
Perth Glory
Perth Glory — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Scicluna n 825.9
35/1
3.56/2
—
T. Lawrence n 880.9
2.26/6
1.15/3
—
William Freney n 877.5
28/5
0.94/1
—
Henry Hore n 871.9
26/3
0.84/1
—
C. Timmins n 845.3
26/2
25/2
—
Perth Glory — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adam Taggart n 852
35/3
1.12/2
Gabriel Popovic n 838.1
2.75/3
1.22/2
T. Lawrence n 880.9
2.28/4
1.36/1
Jaiden Kucharski n 860.8
1.73/2
0.63/0
Sebastian Despotovski n 865
1.65/3
0.74/0
Perth Glory — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Lawrence n 880.9
0.73/1
0.11/0
Stefan Colakovski n 844.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Gabriel Popovic n 838.1
0.62/0
00/0
Sebastian Despotovski n 865
0.32/0
0.21/0
L. Tevere n 846.8
00/0
0.51/1
Perth Glory — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Anthony Didulica n 517
5.34/1
W. Freney n 881.5
4.48/7
Nicholas Pennington n 887.5
3.28/7
William Freney n 877.5
3.28/6
Giovanni De Abreu n 875.3
38/5
Perth Glory — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthew Sutton n 890
3.87/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Melbourne VictoryWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Perth GloryDWDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Melbourne Victory 6 · 0 draws · Perth Glory 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-02 Melbourne Victory 3–2 Perth Glory
  • 2025-10-31 Perth Glory 0–2 Melbourne Victory
  • 2025-02-01 Perth Glory 0–2 Melbourne Victory
  • 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory 2–0 Perth Glory
  • 2024-03-31 Melbourne Victory 2–1 Perth Glory
  • 2024-01-06 Perth Glory 2–3 Melbourne Victory
League standing · 2026/27
Melbourne Victory#11 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Perth Glory#10 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Melbourne Victory scored1
Perth Glory scored1
Melbourne Victory conceded2
Perth Glory conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory?
In their last 6 meetings, Melbourne Victory won 6, Perth Glory won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory?
Recent form — Melbourne Victory 2W 1D 2L; Perth Glory 2W 2D 1L.

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