Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners prediction

A-League · · McDonald Jones Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners, A-League on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 08:40 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle Jets host Central Coast Mariners in the A-League on Saturday 23 January (kick-off 08:40 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Newcastle Jets’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Newcastle Jets have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Newcastle Jets are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Newcastle Jets’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). At home, Newcastle Jets have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.14.

10 of Central Coast Mariners’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Central Coast Mariners’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Central Coast Mariners have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.00.

Newcastle Jets (fifth) and Central Coast Mariners (fourth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Newcastle Jets the stronger side, 148 rating points above Central Coast Mariners (Newcastle Jets 1636, Central Coast Mariners 1487, after at least 242 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Newcastle Jets are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Central Coast Mariners. The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Newcastle Jets.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, J. Lolley (4.1 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Max Burgess (4.0 per match over three appearances) have been Newcastle Jets’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle Jets (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Max Burgess averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · A-League · McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle Jets 2 · draws 3 · Central Coast Mariners 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newcastle Jets 0W 3D 2L · Central Coast Mariners 1W 2D 2L

Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 2.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 7.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 6 / 7.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNewcastle Jets for / againstLineCentral Coast Mariners for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
2.63 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 21 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 7.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Wood n 828.8
2.76/1
1.22/1
—
Eli Adams n 866.1
2.46/5
2.77/4
—
Max Burgess n 891.4
2.37/7
1.15/3
—
Zach Clough n 844.8
2.36/3
0.82/1
—
L. Rose n 829.6
2.34/2
0.41/0
—
Newcastle Jets — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Wood n 828.8
3.57/1
24/1
Kota Mizunuma n 829.1
3.16/1
1.53/1
Eli Adams n 866.1
2.65/4
1.95/4
X. Bertoncello n 362
2.42/2
11/1
Nikolaos Vergos n 832.5
2.14/2
13/0
Newcastle Jets — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eli Adams n 866.1
0.94/1
0.52/1
P. Wood n 828.8
1.23/0
00/0
Nikolaos Vergos n 832.5
13/0
00/0
Xavier Bertoncello n 843.6
0.51/1
0.31/0
Kota Mizunuma n 829.1
0.82/0
00/0
Newcastle Jets — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Max Burgess n 891.4
3.68/7
Joel Bertolissio n 390
2.73/3
Xavier Bertoncello n 843.6
2.34/4
Kota Mizunuma n 829.1
2.34/2
Z. Schreiber n 865.4
2.24/3
Newcastle Jets — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
James Delianov n 893.8
3.78/7
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Christian Theoharous n 817.9
3.15/0
3.14/1
—
Jesse Mantell n 554.6
24/2
3.64/2
—
A. McCalmont n 886.4
1.64/3
0.53/1
—
Ali Auglah n 885.5
1.45/3
2.17/6
—
Harrison Steele n 824.8
1.42/1
00/0
—
Central Coast Mariners — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nathaniel Blair n 849
2.36/4
1.44/2
S. Ngor n 844.9
2.35/2
1.34/1
Oliver Lavale n 866.8
2.24/4
1.33/3
Bailey Brandtman n 844.5
1.84/2
0.31/0
Ali Auglah n 885.5
1.67/4
0.85/1
Central Coast Mariners — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Ngor n 844.9
0.52/0
0.31/0
Miguel Di Pizio n 868.9
0.21/0
0.53/0
Nathaniel Blair n 849
0.52/0
0.21/0
Ali Auglah n 885.5
0.54/0
00/0
Jesse Mantell n 554.6
0.31/0
00/0
Central Coast Mariners — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Christian Theoharous n 817.9
3.84/2
Haine Eames n 875.4
3.37/6
Jacob Nasso n 837.6
2.76/1
A. De Lima n 830.6
2.64/2
Chris Donnell n 877.5
2.58/6
Central Coast Mariners — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrew Redmayne n 890
4.98/8

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Newcastle JetsDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Central Coast MarinersLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newcastle Jets 2 · 3 draws · Central Coast Mariners 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-10-17 Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Newcastle Jets
  • 2026-04-25 Newcastle Jets 4–0 Central Coast Mariners
  • 2026-02-28 Central Coast Mariners 0–0 Newcastle Jets
  • 2025-10-19 Central Coast Mariners 3–2 Newcastle Jets
  • 2025-04-12 Newcastle Jets 6–0 Central Coast Mariners
  • 2025-02-01 Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Newcastle Jets
League standing · 2026/27
Newcastle Jets#5 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD
Central Coast Mariners#4 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Newcastle Jets scored2
Central Coast Mariners scored2
Newcastle Jets conceded2
Central Coast Mariners conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners?
In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle Jets won 2, Central Coast Mariners won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners?
Recent form — Newcastle Jets 0W 3D 2L; Central Coast Mariners 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →