Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al Sadd prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Al-Qadisiyah FC · Al Sadd

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al Sadd, AFC Champions League Elite on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 18:15 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al Sadd in AFC Champions League Elite on Monday 26 October (kick-off 18:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Al Sadd’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Al Sadd are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Al-Qadisiyah FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Qadisiyah FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Al-Qadisiyah FC have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.25.

10 of Al Sadd’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Al Sadd have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.13.

Al-Qadisiyah FC (sixth) and Al Sadd (16th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Mohammed Abu Al Shamat (6.6 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and five assists) and T. Reijnders (5.1 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Al-Qadisiyah FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Qadisiyah FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohammed Abu Al Shamat averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 976 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. T. Reijnders averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1449 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3W 2D 0L · Al Sadd 0W 2D 3L

Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al Sadd (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Qadisiyah FC for / againstLineAl Sadd for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
19 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Houssa n 77.7
53/0
1.71/0
—
Haitham Asiri n 819
34/1
33/2
—
Cameron Puertas n 857.9
1.96/3
0.41/1
—
Turki Al Ammar n 819.1
1.83/0
0.61/0
—
C. Bonsu Baah n 879
1.76/5
26/4
—
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Houssa n 77.7
3.32/0
3.32/0
J. Quiñones n 889.3
2.98/7
1.56/5
T. Reijnders n 878.3
2.77/6
1.26/2
M. Retegui n 877.3
2.37/6
1.77/5
Abdullah Al Salem n 827.1
2.13/1
0.82/0
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Houssa n 77.7
1.71/0
00/0
M. Retegui n 877.3
0.96/0
0.32/0
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat n 878.3
0.43/0
0.75/0
J. Quiñones n 889.3
0.54/0
0.31/1
C. Bonsu Baah n 879
0.11/0
0.64/0
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat n 878.3
4.28/7
Haitham Asiri n 819
3.63/2
E. Houssa n 77.7
3.32/0
Cameron Puertas n 857.9
2.98/6
Mohammed Al Qahtani n 824.9
2.74/2
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Casteels n 890
2.15/4
Al Sadd
Al Sadd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mohamed Al Manai n 829
3.55/2
0.41/0
—
Rafa Mújica n 869.1
2.45/4
0.52/1
—
M. Camara n 873.9
2.17/4
27/3
—
Y. Abdurisag n 748.7
1.85/1
1.13/1
—
Hashim Ali n 832.6
1.43/1
0.71/1
—
Al Sadd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rafa Mújica n 869.1
3.66/6
2.46/5
J. Dilrosun n 858.6
2.38/3
1.55/3
Mohamed Al Manai n 829
2.34/1
0.82/0
Roberto Firmino n 890.4
2.17/5
15/2
Hashim Ali n 832.6
2.14/1
0.31/0
Al Sadd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rafa Mújica n 869.1
1.35/2
0.21/0
Roberto Firmino n 890.4
0.43/0
0.43/0
Hassan Al Haydos n 823
0.51/0
00/0
Claudinho n 897.5
0.22/0
0.22/0
J. Dilrosun n 858.6
0.42/0
00/0
Al Sadd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Paulo Otávio n 897.5
4.48/8
Giovani n 849.1
2.55/4
Pedro Miguel n 884.3
1.97/3
Mohamed Al Manai n 829
1.95/0
Boualem Khoukhi n 889.9
1.88/4
Al Sadd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Meshaal Barsham n 894.5
2.76/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al Sadd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-Qadisiyah FCDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Al SaddLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 3 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Qadisiyah FC#6 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD
Al Sadd#16 pos0 pts2 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Al-Qadisiyah FC scored1.5
Al Sadd scored0
Al-Qadisiyah FC conceded1
Al Sadd conceded2.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al Sadd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al Sadd is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al Sadd?
Recent form — Al-Qadisiyah FC 3W 2D 0L; Al Sadd 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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