Port FC v Beijing Guoan prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · True BG Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Port FC v Beijing Guoan, AFC Champions League Elite on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 12:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Port FC host Beijing Guoan in AFC Champions League Elite on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 12:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Port FC or Beijing Guoan (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of Beijing Guoan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Port FC are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Beijing Guoan are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Beijing Guoan have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Port FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Port FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Port FC have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.00.

Both teams scored in 10 of Beijing Guoan’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Beijing Guoan have six wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.00.

Port FC (15th) and Beijing Guoan (fifth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Beijing Guoan the stronger side, 299 rating points above Port FC (Beijing Guoan 1593, Port FC 1294, after at least 12 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Port FC XI (4-4-2): M. Falkesgaard, M. Bihr, E. Sviatchenko, C. Otton, P. Akkratum, N. Shimura, P. Chamratsamee, Bruno, J. Kaewprom, I. Al Sabhi, J. Soonsup-Bell — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Falkesgaard (5.0 per match over three appearances) and M. Bihr (3.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Port FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Falkesgaard averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 270 minutes. M. Bihr averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 449 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted Beijing Guoan XI (4-4-2): H. Sen, G. Ramos, Y. Bai, G. Wang, T. Yue, A. Konte, Z. Xizhe, Dawhan, S. Erjini'ao, Z. Yuning, B. Nkololo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Dudziak (5.1 per match over three appearances, two goals) and Sai Erjini'ao (4.5 per match over 29 appearances, six goals and eight assists) have been Beijing Guoan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Beijing Guoan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sai Erjini'ao averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 2424 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · True BG Stadium
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Port FC 0W 0D 5L · Beijing Guoan 4W 1D 0L

Port FC v Beijing Guoan (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.13
Goals
against 2.88 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.43
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 2.29
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePort FC for / againstLineBeijing Guoan for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.43 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
7.13 for · 16.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 14.43 against n 7
Shots on target
2.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.57 for · 13 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.71 against n 7

Port FC

Port FC Goalkeeper

Port FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Michael Falkesgaard390270 min124 /90–00 /90
Port FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port FC before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Michael Falkesgaard n 390
43/2

Port FC Defensive

Port FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bihr390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90144.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Peerawat Akkratum362185 min21 /9041.9 /9000 /9073.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Suphanan Bureerat351153 min21.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9052.9 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90
C. Otton290180 min31.5 /90105 /9000 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
E. Sviatchenko290180 min00 /9063 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9000 /90
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Port FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port FC before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noboru Shimura n 688.5
1.24/2
0.84/1
—
Michael Falkesgaard n 390
00/0
00/0
—
M. Bihr n 390
00/0
13/0
—
Peeradol Chamratsamee n 869.1
14/1
0.53/0
—
Bruno n 373.7
23/1
1.23/0
—
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Port FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port FC before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Noboru Shimura n 688.5
1.94/3
M. Bihr n 390
1.73/2
Peeradol Chamratsamee n 869.1
14/2
Bruno n 373.7
23/2
Peerawat Akkratum n 361.7
11/1
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Port FC Attacking

Port FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Issam Al Sabhi351153 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.2 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell339117 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /9010.8 /90
Lucas Tocantins261121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.5 /90
Teerasak Poeiphimai24794 min00 /9000 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9011 /9021.9 /90
Kaká Mendes17272 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
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Port FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port FC before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bihr n 390
0.71/1
0.31/0
Noboru Shimura n 688.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
Michael Falkesgaard n 390
00/0
00/0
Peeradol Chamratsamee n 869.1
0.52/1
0.21/0
Bruno n 373.7
0.81/1
00/0
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Port FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port FC before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Bihr n 390
0.31/0
00/0
Noboru Shimura n 688.5
0.21/0
00/0
Michael Falkesgaard n 390
00/0
00/0
Peeradol Chamratsamee n 869.1
00/0
00/0
Bruno n 373.7
00/0
00/0
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Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan Goalkeeper

Beijing Guoan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Hou Sen27902430 min863.2 /90301.1 /9000 /90
Zhang Jianzhi390270 min62 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Beijing Guoan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beijing Guoan before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hou Sen n 890
37/5
Zhang Jianzhi n 790
2.45/3

Beijing Guoan Defensive

Beijing Guoan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Guilherme Ramos27902430 min391.4 /90321.2 /90150.6 /901816.7 /90461.7 /9060.2 /90
Yang Bai26842179 min251 /90220.9 /9060.2 /90692.8 /90210.9 /9010 /90
Gang Wang24701681 min372 /90150.8 /9060.3 /90814.3 /90160.9 /9030.2 /90
Tze-Nam Yue21651368 min342.2 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90714.7 /90231.5 /9020.1 /90
Abdugheni Abduhamit16661054 min252.1 /9090.8 /90110.9 /90635.4 /90201.7 /9060.5 /90
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Beijing Guoan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beijing Guoan before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zhang Yuning n 875.4
1.66/4
0.73/2
—
Guilherme Ramos n 890
1.66/3
0.64/1
—
Hou Sen n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Sai Erjini'ao n 871.4
0.93/2
1.14/2
—
Yang Bai n 881.6
0.63/1
0.32/0
—
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Beijing Guoan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beijing Guoan before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zhang Yuning n 875.4
0.95/1
Guilherme Ramos n 890
2.38/5
Sai Erjini'ao n 871.4
2.45/4
Yang Bai n 881.6
15/2
Aboubacar Konte n 890
1.46/3
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Beijing Guoan Attacking

Beijing Guoan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Zhang Yuning28772143 min130.5 /9070.3 /90602.5 /90311.3 /90341.4 /90190.8 /90
Fábio Abreu22801757 min120.6 /9060.3 /90552.8 /90351.8 /90241.2 /9060.3 /90
Yang Liyu1149538 min00 /9000 /9081.3 /9010.2 /9030.5 /9000 /90
C. Akolo353160 min10.6 /9000 /9063.4 /9031.7 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Z. Jiang12020 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9029 /90
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Beijing Guoan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beijing Guoan before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Zhang Yuning n 875.4
1.96/4
1.25/3
Guilherme Ramos n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
Hou Sen n 890
00/0
00/0
Sai Erjini'ao n 871.4
1.36/2
0.63/1
Yang Bai n 881.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Beijing Guoan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Beijing Guoan before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Zhang Yuning n 875.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
Hou Sen n 890
00/0
00/0
Guilherme Ramos n 890
00/0
00/0
Sai Erjini'ao n 871.4
0.32/0
00/0
Yang Bai n 881.6
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Port FC v Beijing Guoan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Port FCLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 3 conceded per game
Beijing GuoanWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Port FC#15 pos0 pts3 pl-8 GD
Beijing Guoan#5 pos7 pts3 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Port FC scored0.67
Beijing Guoan scored2
Port FC conceded3.33
Beijing Guoan conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Port FC v Beijing Guoan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port FC v Beijing Guoan is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Port FC and Beijing Guoan?
Recent form — Port FC 0W 0D 5L; Beijing Guoan 4W 1D 0L.

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